Motor Lublin vs Lechia Gdańsk: match statistics
The analysis indicates very balanced chances for both teams. Motor Lublin displays solid home form with 60% draws and only 10% losses at their own stadium, making them a tough opponent at home. Lechia Gdańsk shows better offense (1.7 goals on average away) and better form in the last five matches (2.0 PPG vs 1.0 PPG), however, they have serious defensive problems away (averaging 2.4 goals conceded, 0% clean sheets). Motor has scored only 26 goals this season, but at home they maintain a positive goal difference (+2), while Lechia has an away difference of -7. Considering Motor's tendency to draw in home matches and Lechia's shaky defense coupled with their offensive advantage, the most likely scenario is a share of the points.
Motor Lublin vs Lechia Gdańsk: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Motor Lublin played Lechia Gdańsk in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The match was played on 15 February 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Motor Lublin: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Lechia Gdańsk: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Motor Lublin scores 1.30 and concedes 1.65 goals per match. Lechia Gdańsk scores 2.05 and concedes 1.95. League average: 2.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Motor Lublin 65%, Lechia Gdańsk 80%. Over 2.5: Motor Lublin 50%, Lechia Gdańsk 75%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Lechia Gdańsk has higher xG: 1.61 vs 1.48. Motor Lublin: 12.4 shots per match, Lechia Gdańsk: 13.2.
Match halves
Motor Lublin: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.55. Lechia Gdańsk: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 1.10.
Goals by minute
Motor Lublin: 46-60 (9 goals). Lechia Gdańsk: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ekstraklasa: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The analysis indicates very balanced chances for both teams. Motor Lublin displays solid home form with 60% draws and only 10% losses at their own stadium, making them a tough opponent at home. Lechia Gdańsk shows better offense (1.7 goals on average away) and better form in the last five matches (2.0 PPG vs 1.0 PPG), however, they have serious defensive problems away (averaging 2.4 goals conceded, 0% clean sheets). Motor has scored only 26 goals this season, but at home they maintain a positive goal difference (+2), while Lechia has an away difference of -7. Considering Motor's tendency to draw in home matches and Lechia's shaky defense coupled with their offensive advantage, the most likely scenario is a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Motor Lublin | Lechia Gdańsk | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lechia Gdańsk is 120% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Motor Lublin · 2.2 pts / match - Lechia Gdańsk
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lechia Gdańsk is 58% better for: goals scored per match.
1.3 goals / match - Motor Lublin · 2.05 goals / match - Lechia Gdańsk
Motor Lublin is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.65 goals / match - Motor Lublin · 1.95 goals / match - Lechia Gdańsk
Motor Lublin scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while Lechia Gdańsk keeps a clean sheet in 10% (2 of 20 matches).
Lechia Gdańsk scores in 90% of matches (18 of 20 matches), while Motor Lublin keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Motor Lublin
Over / Under - Lechia Gdańsk
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lechia Gdańsk is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / match - Motor Lublin · 1.5 pts / match - Lechia Gdańsk
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Motor Lublin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Lechia Gdańsk - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Motor Lublin
Lechia Gdańsk
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).
Teams vs league
| Motor Lublin | Liga | Lechia Gdańsk | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.95 | 2.78 | ▲ 4.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 58% | ▲ 80% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 25% | ▼ 10% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 73% | ▲ 90% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 80% | ▲ 95% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Motor Lublin 0 - 1 - 0 Lechia Gdańsk. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Motor Lublin vs Lechia Gdańsk?
The Ekstraklasa match finished Motor Lublin 2:3 Lechia Gdańsk. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Motor Lublin vs Lechia Gdańsk?
Motor Lublin score 1.30 goals per game on average and Lechia Gdańsk 2.05. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Motor Lublin's matches and 80% of Lechia Gdańsk's.
What form are Motor Lublin and Lechia Gdańsk in?
Over the last 5 games Motor Lublin have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Lechia Gdańsk 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Motor Lublin vs Lechia Gdańsk?
The statistical background for Motor Lublin vs Lechia Gdańsk — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.