Poland - EkstraklasaData current as of 13 September 2026

Motor Lublin vs Zagłębie Lubin: match statistics

135%(2.00)
X35%(3.40)
230%(3.48)

The match promises to be very even, suggesting a draw. Motor Lublin shows solid form in their last five matches (3 wins, 2 points per match) and is strong at home with 54% draws and a positive goal difference of +3 at their own stadium. Zagłębie Lubin has a better overall season record (11 wins) and also good recent form (2 points per match), but away from home they concede more goals (on average 1.42) and have a negative goal difference (-1). Both teams have similar xG values (Motor 1.42 vs Zagłębie 1.44) and a similar average of goals scored per match. Considering Motor's high percentage of draws at home and the even strength of both teams, the most likely outcome is a share of the points, although Motor has a slight advantage as the host.

Motor Lublin vs Zagłębie Lubin: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Motor Lublin played Zagłębie Lubin in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The match was played on 20 March 2026. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Motor Lublin: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Zagłębie Lubin: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Motor Lublin scores 1.36 and concedes 1.52 goals per match. Zagłębie Lubin scores 1.60 and concedes 1.16. League average: 2.75 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Motor Lublin 64%, Zagłębie Lubin 56%. Over 2.5: Motor Lublin 52%, Zagłębie Lubin 52%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

Zagłębie Lubin has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.42. Motor Lublin: 11.8 shots per match, Zagłębie Lubin: 11.9.

Match halves

Motor Lublin: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.52. Zagłębie Lubin: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.84.

Goals by minute

Motor Lublin: 46-60 (11 goals). Zagłębie Lubin: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ekstraklasa: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

The match promises to be very even, suggesting a draw. Motor Lublin shows solid form in their last five matches (3 wins, 2 points per match) and is strong at home with 54% draws and a positive goal difference of +3 at their own stadium. Zagłębie Lubin has a better overall season record (11 wins) and also good recent form (2 points per match), but away from home they concede more goals (on average 1.42) and have a negative goal difference (-1). Both teams have similar xG values (Motor 1.42 vs Zagłębie 1.44) and a similar average of goals scored per match. Considering Motor's high percentage of draws at home and the even strength of both teams, the most likely outcome is a share of the points, although Motor has a slight advantage as the host.

View the statistical overview

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

47Possession (%)53
Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin
9Shots9
Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin
1Shots on target1
Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin
0.85xG1.04
Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin
4Corners5
Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin
29Dangerous attacks55
Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin
14Fouls14
Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin
0Cards0
Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin
1.36Goals scored / match1.6
Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin
1.52Goals conceded / match1.16
Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin
51%Average possession40%
Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin
3.68Shots on target / match4.08
Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.8Shots per match11.92
Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin
3.68Shots on target4.08
Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin
11.5%Shot conversion13.4%
Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin
51%Possession40%
Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin
1.42xG for1.45
Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin
1.85xG against1.86
Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin

Shooting quality

Motor Lublin: BalancedZagłębie Lubin: Counter-attacking
Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin
Accuracy (shots on target)31%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.39

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Motor Lublin
LWWDW
Season result split
32% W40% D28% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-10-7
1.36 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-7-2
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
DWLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.16Opponent xG: 1.86BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Zagłębie Lubin
DWWWL
Season result split
44% W32% D24% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-8-6
1.64 pts / match · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-3-4
Last 5 away
4-0-1
LWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.30Opponent xG: 2.08BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Zagłębie Lubin is 18% better for: goals scored per match.

1.36 goals / match - Motor Lublin · 1.6 goals / match - Zagłębie Lubin

Zagłębie Lubin is 31% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.52 goals / match - Motor Lublin · 1.16 goals / match - Zagłębie Lubin

Motor Lublin scoring profile: very strong

Motor Lublin scores in 80% of matches (20 of 25 matches), while Zagłębie Lubin keeps a clean sheet in 32% (8 of 25 matches).

Zagłębie Lubin scoring profile: very strong

Zagłębie Lubin scores in 76% of matches (19 of 25 matches), while Motor Lublin keeps a clean sheet in 24% (6 of 25 matches).

34Goals scored (season)40
Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin
38Goals conceded (season)29
Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin
2.88Average goals in match2.76
Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin
8Goals scored (last 5)7
Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin
5Goals conceded (last 5)2
Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal76%
Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin
48%2 goals52%
Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin
8%3 goals16%
Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin
0%4 goals8%
Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin

How often they concede at least...

76%1 goal68%
Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin
40%2 goals32%
Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin
20%3 goals8%
Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin
12%4 goals4%
Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

56%
Zagłębie Lubin - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.14 of 25 matches
58%
League average

Goal patterns

40%BTTS at half-time16%
Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin
8%BTTS in both halves8%
Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin
16%Scored in both halves32%
Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin

BTTS and goal count

48%Min. 3 goals and BTTS48%
Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin
4%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin
60%BTTS - last 520%
Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

72%Min. 1 goal before half-time76%
Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin
44%Min. 2 goals before half-time40%
Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin
28%Min. 3 goals before half-time12%
Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin

2nd half

68%Min. 1 goal after half-time72%
Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin
44%Min. 2 goals after half-time52%
Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time12%
Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Zagłębie Lubin is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.36 pts / match - Motor Lublin · 1.44 pts / match - Zagłębie Lubin

Motor Lublin - half-time state
28% leading52% draw20% trailing
Zagłębie Lubin - half-time state
36% leading36% draw28% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.36Points per match (1st half)1.44
Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin
0.84Goals scored (1st half)0.76
Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin
0.72Goals conceded (1st half)0.56
Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin
1.56Average goals (1st half)1.32
Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin
48%Clean sheet before half-time56%
Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin
40%No goal before half-time52%
Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin

After half-time (2nd half)

1.16Points per match (2nd half)1.44
Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin
0.52Goals scored (2nd half)0.84
Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin
0.8Goals conceded (2nd half)0.6
Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin
1.32Average goals (2nd half)1.44
Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin
44%Clean sheet after half-time56%
Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin
64%No goal after half-time40%
Motor LublinZagłębie Lubin

Motor Lublin - second-half results

24% W44% D32% L
34
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.36
PPG before half-time
Lead holding114%

Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Zagłębie Lubin - second-half results

32% W48% D20% L
36
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
36
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.44
PPG before half-time
Lead holding122%

Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Motor Lublin - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.00
Goals scored / match1.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match1.80.8
1 goal80%40%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+30
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6
Zagłębie Lubin - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.80
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.0
Average goals in match1.20.6
1 goal80%40%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%100%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+2+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Motor Lublin
ScoredConceded
8
5
0-15
4
5
16-30
9
8
31-45
11
5
46-60
0
5
61-75
2
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.

Zagłębie Lubin
ScoredConceded
10
4
0-15
3
5
16-30
6
5
31-45
3
10
46-60
7
2
61-75
11
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.82
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
103%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+42%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
61%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Motor Lublin

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.43
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.27
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.33
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
86%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
130%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.64
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
6% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 24% come in the first quarter-hour.
6%

Zagłębie Lubin

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.41
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.85
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.70
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
137%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
73%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.36
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).

Teams vs league

Motor LublinLigaZagłębie Lubin
Average goals in match 2.882.75 2.76
Both teams scored 64%58% 56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 52%53% 52%
Clean sheets 24%25% 32%
Goal before half-time 72%74% 76%
Goal after half-time 68%77% 72%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.75
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.58
Home goals / match
1.17
Away goals / match
+35%
Home attack advantage
+26%
Home defence advantage
+19%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Motor LublinGoalMbaye Jacques NdiayeAssist: Karol Czubak
  2. Zagłębie LubinSubstitutionOn: Michalis KosidisOff: Filip Kocaba
  3. Motor LublinSubstitutionOn: Bright EdeOff: Filip Luberecki
  4. Motor LublinSubstitutionOn: Thomas Santos ChristensenOff: Mbaye Jacques Ndiaye

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Damian KosMatches officiated: 17
4.88Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 247%Home wins24%Draws28%Away wins

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Motor Lublin 0 - 1 - 0 Zagłębie Lubin. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Zagłębie Lubin
2 : 2
Motor Lublin SA

FAQ

What was the result of Motor Lublin vs Zagłębie Lubin?

The Ekstraklasa match finished Motor Lublin 1:0 Zagłębie Lubin. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Motor Lublin vs Zagłębie Lubin?

Motor Lublin score 1.36 goals per game on average and Zagłębie Lubin 1.60. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Motor Lublin's matches and 56% of Zagłębie Lubin's.

What form are Motor Lublin and Zagłębie Lubin in?

Over the last 5 games Motor Lublin have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Zagłębie Lubin 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Motor Lublin vs Zagłębie Lubin?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Motor Lublin vs Zagłębie Lubin: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.