MP vs EIF: match statistics
MP vs EIF: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
MP played EIF in Ykkösliiga (Finland). The match was played on 31 May 2026. Venue: Mikkelin Urheilupuisto. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
MP: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. EIF: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
MP scores 0.75 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. EIF scores 2.13 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.18 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: MP 25%, EIF 63%. Over 2.5: MP 25%, EIF 88%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 36%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. MP: 11.4 shots per match, EIF: 10.5.
Match halves
MP: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.38. EIF: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.25.
Goals by minute
MP: 76-90+ (2 goals). EIF: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ykkösliiga: 2.18 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 36%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The favorites appear to be the visitors (EIF): they have scored 17 goals away this season (avg. 1.67 per game) versus just 6 goals for MP at home (0.67 per game). EIF have superior shooting efficiency: on average 4.67 shots on target per game and a conversion rate of 17%, while MP record 3.67 shots on target and only 5% conversion, despite similar xG (both 1.4 xG per game). However, the visitors’ defense on the road is vulnerable – EIF concede 3.67 goals away on average and their matches average 5.33 total goals, whereas MP at home concede 1.33 and the average total is 2.00. Overall form slightly favors EIF (3 wins in the last 5 and 1.8 pts/game) over MP (2 wins and 1.2 pts/game), although the visitors have lost their last three away fixtures ('lll'), which reduces certainty. Considering the offensive advantage (17 goals vs 6) and significantly higher shot conversion (17% vs 5%), I forecast an EIF victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I recommend BTTS - Yes with a 72% probability: both teams display strong season BTTS profiles — MP 60% and EIF 67% — providing a clear signal for both teams to score. MP averages 2.4 goals for and concedes 1.0, while EIF scores 1.67 and concedes 3.67; EIF’s high concession rate (3.67) combined with MP’s solid finishing (22% conversion) support both teams finding the net. In the last 5 matches EIF has scored 12 goals (2.4 avg) and conceded 9 (1.8), and MP has scored 6 and conceded 9, indicating both sides have been regularly scoring and conceding recently. Additionally xG is comparable (MP xG 1.37 vs EIF xG 1.40) and the percentage of matches over 2.5 goals is high (MP 80%, EIF 100%), which raises the likelihood of multiple goals. However, the league shows low BTTS (37%) and a high clean sheet expected rate (72%), so I do not assign an extreme probability — hence the final 72% for Yes vs 28% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG estimates are roughly 1.45 for the home side and 1.45 for the away side (2.90 total), calculated as the average of home attack xG 1.37 and away defense xG 1.52 ((1.37+1.52)/2=1.45) and similarly for the visitors (1.40 and 1.49). Season metrics show MP has 80% of matches over 1.5 and 80% over 2.5, while EIF has 100% for both lines, which strongly supports Over 1.5 and also provides a strong signal for Over 2.5. MP averages 2.4 goals scored per match with a conversion rate of 22%, EIF 1.67 goals with a 17% conversion, and EIF concedes on average 3.67 goals — these figures increase the expected number of scoring opportunities. Additionally, BTTS occurs in 60% of MP matches and 67% of EIF matches, and EIF has no clean sheets (0%), raising the likelihood of goals from both sides; therefore the strongest signal from the data is a bet on Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back MP to lead at the break and to win at full-time (1/1) as the most likely scenario. MP led at half-time in 3 of their last 5 matches (60%), averaging 1.0 goals by the break while conceding just 0.2, whereas EIF did not lead at half-time in any of their last 5 matches (0%) and concedes an average of 2.0 goals by the break. MP averages 2.4 goals per game while EIF concedes 3.67 goals per game; xG is similar (1.37 versus 1.40), but MP has superior shot conversion (22% versus EIF’s 17%) and more shots on target (5.2 vs 4.67), which supports greater efficiency for the home side. Additionally, MP wins 80% of matches this season and keeps a clean sheet at half-time in 80% of games, so I assigned the highest probability to 1/1, lower weight to scenarios with a half-time draw, and virtually zero chance to EIF leading at the break.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| MP | EIF | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 48% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.17 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
EIF is 184% better for: goals scored per match.
0.75 goals / match - MP · 2.13 goals / match - EIF
MP is 77% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - MP · 2 goals / match - EIF
MP scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while EIF keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
EIF scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while MP keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - MP
Over / Under - EIF
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
MP is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - MP · 1.38 pts / match - EIF
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
MP - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
EIF - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
MP
EIF
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ykkösliiga).
Teams vs league
| MP | Liga | EIF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.88 | 2.18 | ▲ 4.13 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 39% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 36% | ▲ 88% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 35% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 63% | 55% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 66% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of MP vs EIF?
The Ykkösliiga match finished MP 1:0 EIF. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before MP vs EIF?
MP score 0.75 goals per game on average and EIF 2.13. The Ykkösliiga average is 2.18 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 36% of games. Both teams score in 25% of MP's matches and 63% of EIF's.
What form are MP and EIF in?
Over the last 5 games MP have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and EIF 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for MP vs EIF?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.