MP vs JIPPO: match statistics
MP vs JIPPO: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
MP played JIPPO in Ykkösliiga (Finland). The match was played on 17 May 2026. Venue: Mikkelin Urheilupuisto. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
MP: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. JIPPO: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
MP scores 0.50 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. JIPPO scores 1.00 and concedes 0.33. League average: 2.31 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: MP 17%, JIPPO 33%. Over 2.5: MP 17%, JIPPO 17%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 41%.
xG, shots and style
JIPPO has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.26. MP: 10.0 shots per match, JIPPO: 13.8.
Match halves
MP: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.17. JIPPO: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
MP: 0-15 (1 goals). JIPPO: 76-90+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ykkösliiga: 2.31 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 41%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
JIPPO holds a clear offensive edge: away they score an average of 2.0 goals per match with 14.5 shots and a 14% conversion rate, while MP at home averages only 0.5 goals per match with 10 shots and a 5% conversion. The visitors also generate better expected chances — JIPPO’s average xG away is 1.53, and MP concedes an average home xG against of 1.25, indicating higher quality opportunities created by JIPPO. Defensively both teams concede on average 0.5 goals, but MP fail to score in 50% of their home matches, whereas JIPPO have not had a match without scoring on the road (0% scoreless matches). In the last 5 fixtures MP record 3 wins and 2 losses (1.8 points per match), and JIPPO 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss (1.6 points per match); however, JIPPO’s absence of away defeats (0 losses, 100% wins) combined with markedly better conversion gives the visitors a tangible advantage.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I predict Both Teams To Score = No with a 65% probability versus 35% for BTTS - Yes. MP at home has a 75% clean sheet rate and concedes only 0.25 goals on average this season while scoring just 0.5, strongly indicating a low likelihood of the hosts scoring. JIPPO averages 2.0 goals on the road and has a high conversion rate of 14% seasonally, but in the last 5 matches they scored only 5 goals (1.0 avg) and conceded 0.6, so their short-term scoring form is moderate. xG data shows similar chance creation (xG: MP 1.66 vs JIPPO 1.53), yet MP allows only 0.87 xG against and has a low conversion rate of 4%, meaning the hosts frequently fail to convert chances — overall supporting a No Goal/No BTTS outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG and defensive averages, I estimate MP at ~1.53 expected goals (xG_for 1.66 and opponent xG_against 1.40 → average 1.53), and JIPPO at ~1.20 (xG_for 1.53 and opponent xG_against 0.87 → 1.20), giving a combined total of ~2.73 goals. The raw xG_for sum of both teams is 1.66+1.53=3.19, and in MP’s last 5 matches their xG_for was 1.39 while they scored on average 1.8 goals, showing increased chance volume in recent form. JIPPO has a seasonal average of 2.0 goals and 100% of matches over 1.5; additionally JIPPO’s shot conversion is 14.0% vs 4.0% for MP, so the visitors are more efficient at converting chances. MP, however, has 75% clean sheets this season, which limits the risk of a high-scoring game, but the xG balance and JIPPO’s clinical finishing prevail; therefore I assess an 85% probability for Over 1.5, 62% for Over 2.5 and only 28% for Over 3.5. Best recommendation is Over 1.5 (side: Over, line: 1.5), since the expected 2.73 goals and JIPPO’s 100% of matches over 1.5 indicate the strongest signal for at least two goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The home side MP drew at half-time in 4 of their matches (drawingAtHT_home = 4, drawingAtHTPercentage_home = 100%) and failed to score before the break (scoredAVGHT_home = 0.0), strongly favouring a half-time draw. JIPPO posts a seasonal goals-scored average of 2.0 (seasonScoredAVG_away = 2.0) and a matches-per-game average of 2.5 goals (seasonAVG_away = 2.5) versus MP’s 0.5 and 0.75 (seasonScoredAVG_home = 0.5, seasonAVG_home = 0.75); JIPPO’s win rate is 100% compared to MP’s 25%, so the visitors are superior in the overall outcome. Both teams create chances — home xG 1.66 against away xG 1.53 — yet finishing efficiency lies with JIPPO: 14% versus MP’s 4%, indicating greater conversion by the visitors. In the second half JIPPO averages 1.0 goals (scored_2hg_avg_away = 1.0) versus MP’s 0.5 (scored_2hg_avg_home = 0.5), and the hosts keep a half-time clean sheet record (seasonCSPercentageHT_home = 100%), therefore the strongest scenario is a half-time draw and an away win at full-time (X/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| MP | JIPPO | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.13 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
JIPPO is 83% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - MP · 2.2 pts / match - JIPPO
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
JIPPO is 100% better for: goals scored per match.
0.5 goals / match - MP · 1 goals / match - JIPPO
JIPPO is 203% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - MP · 0.33 goals / match - JIPPO
MP scores in 50% of matches (3 of 6 matches), while JIPPO keeps a clean sheet in 67% (4 of 6 matches).
JIPPO scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while MP keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - MP
Over / Under - JIPPO
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
MP is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - MP · 1.17 pts / match - JIPPO
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
MP - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
JIPPO - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
MP
JIPPO
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ykkösliiga).
Teams vs league
| MP | Liga | JIPPO | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.50 | 2.31 | ▼ 1.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 17% | 38% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 17% | 41% | ▼ 17% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 33% | 38% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 56% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 33% | 63% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of MP vs JIPPO?
The Ykkösliiga match finished MP 1:3 JIPPO. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before MP vs JIPPO?
MP score 0.50 goals per game on average and JIPPO 1.00. The Ykkösliiga average is 2.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 17% of MP's matches and 33% of JIPPO's.
What form are MP and JIPPO in?
Over the last 5 games MP have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and JIPPO 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for MP vs JIPPO?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.