MP vs KäPa: match statistics
MP vs KäPa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
MP played KäPa in Ykkösliiga (Finland). The match was played on 19 April 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
MP: 0-0-2, 0.00 points/match. KäPa: 1-1-0, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
MP scores 0.00 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. KäPa scores 2.00 and concedes 1.50. League average: 1.90 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: MP 0%, KäPa 100%. Over 2.5: MP 0%, KäPa 100%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 40%.
xG, shots and style
MP has higher xG: 1.26 vs 1.05. MP: 9.5 shots per match, KäPa: 6.5.
Match halves
MP: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.00. KäPa: half-time lead 100%, second-half goals 0.00.
Goals by minute
MP: 0-15 (0 goals). KäPa: 0-15 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ykkösliiga: 1.90 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 40%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the away win ('2'). KäPa have scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches (1.8 per game) versus MP’s 4 goals (0.8 per game). In away metrics KäPa average 8 shots and 5 shots on target with xG 1.14, while the hosts register 0 shots and 0 xG in home stats. KäPa also collect more points over the last 5 fixtures — 1.6 points per game versus MP’s 1.0 — and sit 5th in the table compared to the hosts’ 8th. Both teams concede: MP have conceded 5 goals in their last five matches (1.0 average), KäPa 8 goals (1.6 average), so KäPa’s edge comes primarily from better-quality chances and efficiency (9 vs 4 goals, conversion rate 25%). Based on this I assess result probabilities as: home 15%, draw 25%, away 60%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have a season BTTS rate of 100% (MP 100% and KäPa 100%), and in the last 5 matches the home side has 60% BTTS while the visitors have 100%, which is a strong signal that both sides will score. Season goals averages are 2.0 for MP and 2.0 for KäPa, with average goals conceded 2.0 (MP) versus 1.0 (KäPa); additionally both teams have 0% clean sheets, so a No Goal outcome is unlikely. xG metrics are similar: xG for attack 0.96 (MP) versus 1.14 (KäPa) and xG against 1.10 vs 0.99, and the last 5 matches show MP scored 4 and conceded 5 while KäPa scored 9 and conceded 8, confirming both teams’ ability to score and concede. Furthermore both teams have 100% of matches over 2.5 goals and 100% of matches combining over2.5 with BTTS, therefore BTTS - Yes is clearly the more likely pick here.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The combined xG for both teams is 0.96 (MP) + 1.14 (KäPa) = 2.10, which translates to an expected ~0.98 goals for MP and 1.12 for KäPa (total 2.10). Both teams have had 100% of their season matches with over 1.5 goals and in 100% of fixtures goals have been scored by both sides, which strongly supports at least two goals in this match. KäPa averages 8 shots per game with 5 on target, MP has 5 shots with 2 on target, and MP’s high conversion rate of 40% (vs 25% KäPa) increases the likelihood of converting the existing chances. In the last 5 matches MP scored 4 goals (0.8 avg) and KäPa 9 goals (1.8 avg), while the league average goals is 2.11, very close to our xG of 2.10; this aligns the attacking signals and confirms choosing Over 1.5 as the strongest option.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The primary signal comes from half-time form: in the last 5 matches the visitors led at the break in 60% of cases, while the home team did so in 0%, and the average goals by half are 1.0 for the visitors versus 0.2 for the hosts (60.0 vs 0.0; 1.0 vs 0.2). Over the full match the visitors hold a clear advantage — average goals in the last 5 are 3.4 for the visitors against 1.8 for the hosts and 40% wins for visitors vs 20% for hosts (3.4 vs 1.8; 40.0% vs 20.0%). Chance-creation metrics also favor the visitors: xG 1.14 versus 0.96 (1.14 vs 0.96) and on average 8 shots with 5 on target for visitors versus 5 shots with 2 on target for hosts (8.0/5.0 vs 5.0/2.0). Despite the hosts having a higher conversion rate (conversion 40% vs 25%), the greater volume of visitors’ chances and higher season PPG (3.0 vs 1.0) argue for the visitors maintaining the advantage through 90 minutes. Therefore the most likely scenario is visitors leading at half-time and winning at full-time (2/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| MP | KäPa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 54% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.00 | 0.57 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
MP is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - MP · 1.5 goals / match - KäPa
MP scores in 0% of matches (0 of 2 matches), while KäPa keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).
KäPa scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while MP keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - MP
Over / Under - KäPa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
KäPa is 500% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.5 pts / match - MP · 3 pts / match - KäPa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
MP - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
KäPa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 100% of matches and wins 50%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 1.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 2.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.5 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 0% |
| No goal | 0% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
MP
KäPa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ykkösliiga).
Teams vs league
| MP | Liga | KäPa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.00 | 1.90 | ▲ 3.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 0% | 40% | ▲ 100% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 0% | 40% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 45% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 60% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | • 50% | 50% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of MP vs KäPa?
The Ykkösliiga match finished MP 0:1 KäPa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before MP vs KäPa?
MP score 0.00 goals per game on average and KäPa 2.00. The Ykkösliiga average is 1.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 0% of MP's matches and 100% of KäPa's.
What form are MP and KäPa in?
Over the last 5 games MP have a 0-0-2 record (0.00 points per game) and KäPa 1-1-0 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for MP vs KäPa?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.