MSV Duisburg vs Schweinfurt: match statistics
MSV Duisburg are the clear favorites for this match. The hosts are in 3rd place in the table with an impressive record of 73% home wins and a +12 goal difference at their own stadium. Their home form is excellent with a 'wwwwddwwdww' run, averaging 2.09 goals per game and failing to score in just 9% of their matches. Schweinfurt are bottom, in 20th place, with a catastrophic away record – 92% losses, a -24 goal difference, and just 8% away wins. The visitors fail to score in 50% of their away matches, conceding an average of 2.67 goals, which, given the hosts' efficiency, virtually decides the outcome. All statistics point to a certain victory for MSV Duisburg, although a draw cannot be entirely ruled out if the hosts have an off day.
MSV Duisburg vs Schweinfurt: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
MSV Duisburg played Schweinfurt in 3. Liga (Germany). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
MSV Duisburg: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Schweinfurt: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
MSV Duisburg scores 1.79 and concedes 1.29 goals per match. Schweinfurt scores 0.83 and concedes 2.33. League average: 3.15 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: MSV Duisburg 63%, Schweinfurt 54%. Over 2.5: MSV Duisburg 67%, Schweinfurt 67%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
MSV Duisburg has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.44. MSV Duisburg: 12.2 shots per match, Schweinfurt: 11.9.
Match halves
MSV Duisburg: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.08. Schweinfurt: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.33.
Goals by minute
MSV Duisburg: 76-90+ (11 goals). Schweinfurt: 16-30 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3. Liga: 3.15 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
MSV Duisburg are the clear favorites for this match. The hosts are in 3rd place in the table with an impressive record of 73% home wins and a +12 goal difference at their own stadium. Their home form is excellent with a 'wwwwddwwdww' run, averaging 2.09 goals per game and failing to score in just 9% of their matches. Schweinfurt are bottom, in 20th place, with a catastrophic away record – 92% losses, a -24 goal difference, and just 8% away wins. The visitors fail to score in 50% of their away matches, conceding an average of 2.67 goals, which, given the hosts' efficiency, virtually decides the outcome. All statistics point to a certain victory for MSV Duisburg, although a draw cannot be entirely ruled out if the hosts have an off day.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| MSV Duisburg | Schweinfurt | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.18 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
MSV Duisburg is 125% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - MSV Duisburg · 0.8 pts / match - Schweinfurt
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
MSV Duisburg is 116% better for: goals scored per match.
1.79 goals / match - MSV Duisburg · 0.83 goals / match - Schweinfurt
MSV Duisburg is 81% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.29 goals / match - MSV Duisburg · 2.33 goals / match - Schweinfurt
MSV Duisburg scores in 79% of matches (19 of 24 matches), while Schweinfurt keeps a clean sheet in 4% (1 of 24 matches).
Schweinfurt scores in 58% of matches (14 of 24 matches), while MSV Duisburg keeps a clean sheet in 33% (8 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - MSV Duisburg
Over / Under - Schweinfurt
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
MSV Duisburg is 76% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.46 pts / match - MSV Duisburg · 0.83 pts / match - Schweinfurt
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
MSV Duisburg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Schweinfurt - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -13 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
MSV Duisburg
Schweinfurt
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).
Teams vs league
| MSV Duisburg | Liga | Schweinfurt | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.08 | 3.15 | • 3.17 |
| Both teams scored | • 63% | 63% | ▼ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 63% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 22% | ▼ 4% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 76% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 83% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: MSV Duisburg 1 - 0 - 0 Schweinfurt. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of MSV Duisburg vs Schweinfurt?
The 3. Liga match finished MSV Duisburg 3:1 Schweinfurt. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before MSV Duisburg vs Schweinfurt?
MSV Duisburg score 1.79 goals per game on average and Schweinfurt 0.83. The 3. Liga average is 3.15 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 63% of MSV Duisburg's matches and 54% of Schweinfurt's.
What form are MSV Duisburg and Schweinfurt in?
Over the last 5 games MSV Duisburg have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Schweinfurt 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for MSV Duisburg vs Schweinfurt?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for MSV Duisburg vs Schweinfurt: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.