Germany - 3. LigaSchauinsland-Reisen-ArenaData current as of 17 October 2026

MSV Duisburg vs Viktoria Köln: match statistics

Reasoning:

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MSV Duisburg vs Viktoria Köln: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

MSV Duisburg play Viktoria Köln in 3. Liga (Germany). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena.

Current form

MSV Duisburg: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Viktoria Köln: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

MSV Duisburg scores 2.89 and concedes 1.22 goals per match. Viktoria Köln scores 2.89 and concedes 1.44. League average: 3.40 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: MSV Duisburg 78%, Viktoria Köln 67%. Over 2.5: MSV Duisburg 100%, Viktoria Köln 89%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 67%.

xG, shots and style

MSV Duisburg has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.63. MSV Duisburg: 14.1 shots per match, Viktoria Köln: 14.1.

Match halves

MSV Duisburg: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 1.89. Viktoria Köln: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 1.44.

Goals by minute

MSV Duisburg: 61-75 (9 goals). Viktoria Köln: 0-15 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

3. Liga: 3.40 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 67%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.05)
(3.60)
(2.80)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

MSV DuisburgViktoria Köln
2.89Goals scored / match2.89
MSV DuisburgViktoria Köln
1.22Goals conceded / match1.44
MSV DuisburgViktoria Köln
46%Average possession57%
MSV DuisburgViktoria Köln
6.22Shots on target / match5.67
MSV DuisburgViktoria Köln

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.11Shots per match14.11
MSV DuisburgViktoria Köln
6.22Shots on target5.67
MSV DuisburgViktoria Köln
20.5%Shot conversion20.5%
MSV DuisburgViktoria Köln
46%Possession57%
MSV DuisburgViktoria Köln
1.75xG for1.63
MSV DuisburgViktoria Köln
1.3xG against1.38
MSV DuisburgViktoria Köln

Shooting quality

MSV Duisburg: Counter-attackingViktoria Köln: Dominant
MSV DuisburgViktoria Köln
Accuracy (shots on target)44%40%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.460.51

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Viktoria Köln is 8% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / match - MSV Duisburg · 2.6 pts / match - Viktoria Köln

MSV Duisburg
LWWWW
Season result split
89% W0% D11% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-0-1
2.67 pts / match · goal difference +15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-0-0
Last 5 at home
4-0-0
WWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.8Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.63Opponent xG: 1.46BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%
Viktoria Köln
WWWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
67% W11% D22% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-1-2
2.11 pts / match · goal difference +13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-0-1
Last 5 away
3-0-1
WLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 3.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.89Opponent xG: 1.45BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 100%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

MSV Duisburg is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.22 goals / match - MSV Duisburg · 1.44 goals / match - Viktoria Köln

MSV Duisburg scoring profile: very strong

MSV Duisburg scores in 100% of matches (9 of 9 matches), while Viktoria Köln keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).

Viktoria Köln scoring profile: very strong

Viktoria Köln scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while MSV Duisburg keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).

26Goals scored (season)26
MSV DuisburgViktoria Köln
11Goals conceded (season)13
MSV DuisburgViktoria Köln
4.11Average goals in match4.33
MSV DuisburgViktoria Köln
14Goals scored (last 5)17
MSV DuisburgViktoria Köln
8Goals conceded (last 5)5
MSV DuisburgViktoria Köln

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal89%
MSV DuisburgViktoria Köln
89%2 goals89%
MSV DuisburgViktoria Köln
67%3 goals67%
MSV DuisburgViktoria Köln
33%4 goals33%
MSV DuisburgViktoria Köln

How often they concede at least...

78%1 goal78%
MSV DuisburgViktoria Köln
44%2 goals33%
MSV DuisburgViktoria Köln
0%3 goals11%
MSV DuisburgViktoria Köln
0%4 goals11%
MSV DuisburgViktoria Köln

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

63%
League average

Goal patterns

11%BTTS at half-time22%
MSV DuisburgViktoria Köln
0%BTTS in both halves11%
MSV DuisburgViktoria Köln
44%Scored in both halves56%
MSV DuisburgViktoria Köln

BTTS and goal count

78%Min. 3 goals and BTTS67%
MSV DuisburgViktoria Köln
22%Min. 3 goals without BTTS22%
MSV DuisburgViktoria Köln
100%BTTS - last 560%
MSV DuisburgViktoria Köln

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

78%Min. 1 goal before half-time89%
MSV DuisburgViktoria Köln
44%Min. 2 goals before half-time56%
MSV DuisburgViktoria Köln
22%Min. 3 goals before half-time22%
MSV DuisburgViktoria Köln

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time89%
MSV DuisburgViktoria Köln
78%Min. 2 goals after half-time78%
MSV DuisburgViktoria Köln
56%Min. 3 goals after half-time44%
MSV DuisburgViktoria Köln

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Viktoria Köln is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.56 pts / match - MSV Duisburg · 2.11 pts / match - Viktoria Köln

MSV Duisburg - half-time state
44% leading22% draw33% trailing
Viktoria Köln - half-time state
67% leading11% draw22% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.56Points per match (1st half)2.11
MSV DuisburgViktoria Köln
1Goals scored (1st half)1.44
MSV DuisburgViktoria Köln
0.56Goals conceded (1st half)0.56
MSV DuisburgViktoria Köln
1.56Average goals (1st half)2
MSV DuisburgViktoria Köln
56%Clean sheet before half-time56%
MSV DuisburgViktoria Köln
56%No goal before half-time33%
MSV DuisburgViktoria Köln

After half-time (2nd half)

2.33Points per match (2nd half)1.89
MSV DuisburgViktoria Köln
1.89Goals scored (2nd half)1.44
MSV DuisburgViktoria Köln
0.67Goals conceded (2nd half)0.89
MSV DuisburgViktoria Köln
2.56Average goals (2nd half)2.33
MSV DuisburgViktoria Köln
56%Clean sheet after half-time44%
MSV DuisburgViktoria Köln
0%No goal after half-time22%
MSV DuisburgViktoria Köln

MSV Duisburg - second-half results

78% W0% D22% L
14
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
+11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.56
PPG before half-time
Lead holding202%

Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 89%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Viktoria Köln - second-half results

56% W22% D22% L
19
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.11
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

MSV Duisburg - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.80
Goals scored / match1.21.6
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match2.02.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals40%60%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal60%0%
Goal difference+2+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 6
Viktoria Köln - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.602.00
Goals scored / match1.81.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.8
Average goals in match2.02.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%100%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+8+4
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 9

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

MSV Duisburg
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
3
1
16-30
3
3
31-45
2
3
46-60
9
1
61-75
6
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Viktoria Köln
ScoredConceded
7
0
0-15
1
4
16-30
5
1
31-45
6
2
46-60
2
4
61-75
5
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

4.22
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.2 : 2.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
124%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
73%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-76%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
89%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
4+
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

MSV Duisburg

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.45
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+1.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
171%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
72%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.9
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

Viktoria Köln

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+1.26
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
170%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
85%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.49
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 27% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).

Teams vs league

MSV DuisburgLigaViktoria Köln
Average goals in match▲ 4.113.40▲ 4.33
Both teams scored▲ 78%63%▲ 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 100%67%▲ 89%
Clean sheets▲ 22%20%▲ 22%
Goal before half-time• 78%78%▲ 89%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%80%▲ 89%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.40
Average goals per match
63%
Both teams scored
67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
1.69
Home goals / match
1.70
Away goals / match
+-1%
Home attack advantage
+-1%
Home defence advantage
+-3%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
10%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
31%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): MSV Duisburg 0 - 2 - 0 Viktoria Köln. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

FAQ

When do MSV Duisburg and Viktoria Köln play?

MSV Duisburg face Viktoria Köln on 18 October 2026 in 3. Liga at Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between MSV Duisburg and Viktoria Köln?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches MSV Duisburg won 0, Viktoria Köln won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before MSV Duisburg vs Viktoria Köln?

MSV Duisburg score 2.89 goals per game on average and Viktoria Köln 2.89. The 3. Liga average is 3.40 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 78% of MSV Duisburg's matches and 67% of Viktoria Köln's.

What form are MSV Duisburg and Viktoria Köln in?

Over the last 5 games MSV Duisburg have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Viktoria Köln 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for MSV Duisburg vs Viktoria Köln?

The statistical background for MSV Duisburg vs Viktoria Köln — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.