Mtibwa Sugar vs Namungo: match statistics
Mtibwa Sugar boasts impressive home form with an 83% win rate at home and a streak of five consecutive victories at their own stadium. The hosts are unbeaten in home matches this season, keeping clean sheets in half of their games and conceding an average of just 0.5 goals per match. Namungo displays poor away efficiency with just a 20% win rate and 40% losses, scoring an average of only 0.6 goals per away match. Mtibwa Sugar's positive goal difference (+6) in home matches contrasts with Namungo's negative goal difference (-3) on the road. Despite Namungo's good recent overall form (2.6 points per match), their evident struggles in away fixtures and the hosts' dominance on home turf argue in favor of a Mtibwa Sugar victory.
Mtibwa Sugar vs Namungo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mtibwa Sugar played Namungo in Ligi kuu Bara (Tanzania). The match was played on 7 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Mtibwa Sugar: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Namungo: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mtibwa Sugar scores 0.83 and concedes 0.58 goals per match. Namungo scores 0.91 and concedes 0.73. League average: 1.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mtibwa Sugar 33%, Namungo 36%. Over 2.5: Mtibwa Sugar 25%, Namungo 9%. League level: BTTS 27%, Over 2.5 25%.
xG, shots and style
Namungo has higher xG: 1.07 vs 0.99. Mtibwa Sugar: 3.8 shots per match, Namungo: 6.4.
Match halves
Mtibwa Sugar: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.42. Namungo: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.73.
Goals by minute
Mtibwa Sugar: 76-90+ (3 goals). Namungo: 61-75 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligi kuu Bara: 1.75 goals per match, BTTS 27%, Over 2.5 25%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Mtibwa Sugar boasts impressive home form with an 83% win rate at home and a streak of five consecutive victories at their own stadium. The hosts are unbeaten in home matches this season, keeping clean sheets in half of their games and conceding an average of just 0.5 goals per match. Namungo displays poor away efficiency with just a 20% win rate and 40% losses, scoring an average of only 0.6 goals per away match. Mtibwa Sugar's positive goal difference (+6) in home matches contrasts with Namungo's negative goal difference (-3) on the road. Despite Namungo's good recent overall form (2.6 points per match), their evident struggles in away fixtures and the hosts' dominance on home turf argue in favor of a Mtibwa Sugar victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mtibwa Sugar | Namungo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.26 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.50 | 0.46 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Namungo is 18% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Mtibwa Sugar · 2.6 pts / match - Namungo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Namungo is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
0.83 goals / match - Mtibwa Sugar · 0.91 goals / match - Namungo
Mtibwa Sugar is 26% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.58 goals / match - Mtibwa Sugar · 0.73 goals / match - Namungo
Mtibwa Sugar scores in 50% of matches (6 of 12 matches), while Namungo keeps a clean sheet in 45% (5 of 11 matches).
Namungo scores in 82% of matches (9 of 11 matches), while Mtibwa Sugar keeps a clean sheet in 50% (6 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mtibwa Sugar
Over / Under - Namungo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Namungo is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.75 pts / match - Mtibwa Sugar · 0.91 pts / match - Namungo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mtibwa Sugar - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Namungo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mtibwa Sugar
Namungo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligi kuu Bara).
Teams vs league
| Mtibwa Sugar | Liga | Namungo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.42 | 1.75 | ▼ 1.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 33% | 27% | ▲ 36% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 25% | 25% | ▼ 9% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 44% | • 45% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 50% | 47% | ▲ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Mtibwa Sugar vs Namungo?
The Ligi kuu Bara match finished Mtibwa Sugar 1:1 Namungo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mtibwa Sugar vs Namungo?
Mtibwa Sugar score 0.83 goals per game on average and Namungo 0.91. The Ligi kuu Bara average is 1.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 25% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Mtibwa Sugar's matches and 36% of Namungo's.
What form are Mtibwa Sugar and Namungo in?
Over the last 5 games Mtibwa Sugar have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Namungo 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mtibwa Sugar vs Namungo?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.