Mtibwa Sugar vs Pamba Jiji: match statistics
Mtibwa Sugar presents impressive home form with 75% of matches won at home and a goal difference of +4, remaining unbeaten at their own stadium this season. The hosts are in excellent disposition, winning four of their last five matches overall (wdww in the last 5 home matches), which shows their stability and confidence in front of their own crowd. Pamba Jiji, despite a higher table position, presents weaker away form with only 25% away victories and 50% of matches ending in a draw, indicating difficulties in securing points away from home. Additionally, the visitors have lower xG values away (0.64) compared to the hosts' xG at home (1.13), suggesting lower offensive efficiency for Pamba Jiji in away games. Considering Mtibwa Sugar's advantage in home matches, their great unbeaten run at home, and the visitors' struggles to win on the road, the most probable scenario is a victory for the hosts, although Pamba Jiji's solid defense (50% clean sheets away) may make the match competitive.
Mtibwa Sugar vs Pamba Jiji: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mtibwa Sugar played Pamba Jiji in Ligi kuu Bara (Tanzania). The match was played on 25 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Mtibwa Sugar: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Pamba Jiji: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mtibwa Sugar scores 0.70 and concedes 0.60 goals per match. Pamba Jiji scores 1.22 and concedes 0.67. League average: 1.71 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mtibwa Sugar 30%, Pamba Jiji 33%. Over 2.5: Mtibwa Sugar 20%, Pamba Jiji 44%. League level: BTTS 25%, Over 2.5 26%.
xG, shots and style
Pamba Jiji has higher xG: 1.10 vs 1.02. Mtibwa Sugar: 4.4 shots per match, Pamba Jiji: 3.8.
Match halves
Mtibwa Sugar: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.30. Pamba Jiji: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.22.
Goals by minute
Mtibwa Sugar: 0-15 (2 goals). Pamba Jiji: 0-15 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligi kuu Bara: 1.71 goals per match, BTTS 25%, Over 2.5 26%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Mtibwa Sugar presents impressive home form with 75% of matches won at home and a goal difference of +4, remaining unbeaten at their own stadium this season. The hosts are in excellent disposition, winning four of their last five matches overall (wdww in the last 5 home matches), which shows their stability and confidence in front of their own crowd. Pamba Jiji, despite a higher table position, presents weaker away form with only 25% away victories and 50% of matches ending in a draw, indicating difficulties in securing points away from home. Additionally, the visitors have lower xG values away (0.64) compared to the hosts' xG at home (1.13), suggesting lower offensive efficiency for Pamba Jiji in away games. Considering Mtibwa Sugar's advantage in home matches, their great unbeaten run at home, and the visitors' struggles to win on the road, the most probable scenario is a victory for the hosts, although Pamba Jiji's solid defense (50% clean sheets away) may make the match competitive.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mtibwa Sugar | Pamba Jiji | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 45% | 53% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.61 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Pamba Jiji is 22% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Mtibwa Sugar · 2.2 pts / match - Pamba Jiji
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Pamba Jiji is 74% better for: goals scored per match.
0.7 goals / match - Mtibwa Sugar · 1.22 goals / match - Pamba Jiji
Mtibwa Sugar is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.6 goals / match - Mtibwa Sugar · 0.67 goals / match - Pamba Jiji
Mtibwa Sugar scores in 40% of matches (4 of 10 matches), while Pamba Jiji keeps a clean sheet in 56% (5 of 9 matches).
Pamba Jiji scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while Mtibwa Sugar keeps a clean sheet in 50% (5 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mtibwa Sugar
Over / Under - Pamba Jiji
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Pamba Jiji is 90% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.7 pts / match - Mtibwa Sugar · 1.33 pts / match - Pamba Jiji
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mtibwa Sugar - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Pamba Jiji - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mtibwa Sugar
Pamba Jiji
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligi kuu Bara).
Teams vs league
| Mtibwa Sugar | Liga | Pamba Jiji | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.30 | 1.71 | ▲ 1.89 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 30% | 25% | ▲ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 20% | 26% | ▲ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 47% | ▲ 56% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 50% | 42% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 40% | 52% | ▼ 44% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Mtibwa Sugar vs Pamba Jiji?
The Ligi kuu Bara match finished Mtibwa Sugar 1:0 Pamba Jiji. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mtibwa Sugar vs Pamba Jiji?
Mtibwa Sugar score 0.70 goals per game on average and Pamba Jiji 1.22. The Ligi kuu Bara average is 1.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 26% of games. Both teams score in 30% of Mtibwa Sugar's matches and 33% of Pamba Jiji's.
What form are Mtibwa Sugar and Pamba Jiji in?
Over the last 5 games Mtibwa Sugar have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Pamba Jiji 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mtibwa Sugar vs Pamba Jiji?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.