Mtibwa Sugar vs Singida Black Stars: match statistics
Mtibwa Sugar displays significantly better home form with 63% of matches won at home and an impressive streak in their last five home matches (WDWWWWDL). The hosts hold a higher position in the table (4th place) and have a positive goal difference at home (+4), while Singida Black Stars have a negative away goal difference (-6). The visitors have won only 13% of their away matches and failed to score in 63% of those games, indicating serious offensive issues (averaging 0.38 goals per away match). xG statistics also favor the hosts (0.99 vs 0.7), and Mtibwa Sugar have scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches, while Singida have managed only 1. Considering the home advantage, better form, and significant differences in offensive efficiency, a decisive victory for the hosts is the most likely scenario.
Mtibwa Sugar vs Singida Black Stars: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mtibwa Sugar played Singida Black Stars in Ligi kuu Bara (Tanzania). The match was played on 22 February 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Mtibwa Sugar: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Singida Black Stars: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mtibwa Sugar scores 0.86 and concedes 0.79 goals per match. Singida Black Stars scores 0.54 and concedes 0.85. League average: 1.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mtibwa Sugar 43%, Singida Black Stars 15%. Over 2.5: Mtibwa Sugar 29%, Singida Black Stars 0%. League level: BTTS 31%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Singida Black Stars has higher xG: 1.29 vs 0.97. Mtibwa Sugar: 3.9 shots per match, Singida Black Stars: 2.3.
Match halves
Mtibwa Sugar: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.43. Singida Black Stars: half-time lead 8%, second-half goals 0.08.
Goals by minute
Mtibwa Sugar: 76-90+ (4 goals). Singida Black Stars: 0-15 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligi kuu Bara: 1.85 goals per match, BTTS 31%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Mtibwa Sugar displays significantly better home form with 63% of matches won at home and an impressive streak in their last five home matches (WDWWWWDL). The hosts hold a higher position in the table (4th place) and have a positive goal difference at home (+4), while Singida Black Stars have a negative away goal difference (-6). The visitors have won only 13% of their away matches and failed to score in 63% of those games, indicating serious offensive issues (averaging 0.38 goals per away match). xG statistics also favor the hosts (0.99 vs 0.7), and Mtibwa Sugar have scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches, while Singida have managed only 1. Considering the home advantage, better form, and significant differences in offensive efficiency, a decisive victory for the hosts is the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mtibwa Sugar | Singida Black Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 13% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.25 | 0.56 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.52 | 1.74 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mtibwa Sugar is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Mtibwa Sugar · 1 pts / match - Singida Black Stars
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mtibwa Sugar is 59% better for: goals scored per match.
0.86 goals / match - Mtibwa Sugar · 0.54 goals / match - Singida Black Stars
Mtibwa Sugar is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.79 goals / match - Mtibwa Sugar · 0.85 goals / match - Singida Black Stars
Mtibwa Sugar scores in 57% of matches (8 of 14 matches), while Singida Black Stars keeps a clean sheet in 46% (6 of 13 matches).
Singida Black Stars scores in 54% of matches (7 of 13 matches), while Mtibwa Sugar keeps a clean sheet in 43% (6 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mtibwa Sugar
Over / Under - Singida Black Stars
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Singida Black Stars is 62% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.71 pts / match - Mtibwa Sugar · 1.15 pts / match - Singida Black Stars
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mtibwa Sugar - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Singida Black Stars - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 8% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mtibwa Sugar
Singida Black Stars
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligi kuu Bara).
Teams vs league
| Mtibwa Sugar | Liga | Singida Black Stars | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.64 | 1.85 | ▼ 1.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 43% | 31% | ▼ 15% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 29% | 28% | ▼ 0% |
| Clean sheets | • 43% | 42% | ▲ 46% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 57% | 50% | ▼ 8% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 56% | ▼ 8% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Singida Black StarsGoalMossi Nduwumwe
- Singida Black StarsGoalMalanga Horso Mwaku
- Singida Black StarsGoalKennedy Wilson Juma
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Mtibwa Sugar 1 - 0 - 0 Singida Black Stars. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mtibwa Sugar vs Singida Black Stars?
The Ligi kuu Bara match finished Mtibwa Sugar 1:3 Singida Black Stars. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mtibwa Sugar vs Singida Black Stars?
Mtibwa Sugar score 0.86 goals per game on average and Singida Black Stars 0.54. The Ligi kuu Bara average is 1.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Mtibwa Sugar's matches and 15% of Singida Black Stars's.
What form are Mtibwa Sugar and Singida Black Stars in?
Over the last 5 games Mtibwa Sugar have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Singida Black Stars 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mtibwa Sugar vs Singida Black Stars?
The statistical background for Mtibwa Sugar vs Singida Black Stars — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.