Tanzania - Ligi kuu BaraData current as of 23 July 2026

Mtibwa Sugar vs Tanzania Prisons: match statistics

170%(1.99)
X20%(2.90)
210%(3.93)

Mtibwa Sugar is in impressive home form with an 80% win rate and a five-match unbeaten streak (WDWWW). The hosts have earned 5 points in their last five matches (PPG 2.2) and maintain a solid defense, conceding an average of only 0.4 goals per game at home. Tanzania Prisons is in disastrous away form - 83% loss rate, just 0.33 goals scored on average per match, and a dreadful six-match winless streak on the road. The difference in form, offensive efficiency, and goal difference (GD +5 vs -3) decisively favors the hosts. With a 60% clean sheet rate for Mtibwa Sugar in home games and an 83% Failed To Score rate for the visitors, a comfortable home victory is predicted.

Mtibwa Sugar vs Tanzania Prisons: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Mtibwa Sugar play Tanzania Prisons in Ligi kuu Bara (Tanzania). The match date is 2 February 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Mtibwa Sugar: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. Tanzania Prisons: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Mtibwa Sugar scores 0.83 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. Tanzania Prisons scores 0.72 and concedes 1.31. League average: 2.17 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Mtibwa Sugar 50%, Tanzania Prisons 31%. Over 2.5: Mtibwa Sugar 53%, Tanzania Prisons 38%. League level: BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 39%.

xG, shots and style

Mtibwa Sugar has higher xG: 1.00 vs 0.95. Mtibwa Sugar: 3.5 shots per match, Tanzania Prisons: 3.6.

Match halves

Mtibwa Sugar: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.43. Tanzania Prisons: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.38.

Goals by minute

Mtibwa Sugar: 76-90+ (8 goals). Tanzania Prisons: 0-15 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ligi kuu Bara: 2.17 goals per match, BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 39%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Match description

Mtibwa Sugar is in impressive home form with an 80% win rate and a five-match unbeaten streak (WDWWW). The hosts have earned 5 points in their last five matches (PPG 2.2) and maintain a solid defense, conceding an average of only 0.4 goals per game at home. Tanzania Prisons is in disastrous away form - 83% loss rate, just 0.33 goals scored on average per match, and a dreadful six-match winless streak on the road. The difference in form, offensive efficiency, and goal difference (GD +5 vs -3) decisively favors the hosts. With a 60% clean sheet rate for Mtibwa Sugar in home games and an 83% Failed To Score rate for the visitors, a comfortable home victory is predicted.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

-1Possession (%)-1
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
-1Shots-1
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
-1Shots on target-1
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
0xG0
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
3Corners10
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
75Dangerous attacks63
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
-1Fouls-1
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
-1Cards-1
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
0.83Goals scored / match0.72
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
1.6Goals conceded / match1.31
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
29%Average possession35%
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
1.2Shots on target / match1.13
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

3.5Shots per match3.63
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
1.2Shots on target1.13
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
23.8%Shot conversion19.8%
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
29%Possession35%
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
1xG for0.95
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
1.58xG against1.29
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons

Shooting quality

Mtibwa Sugar: Counter-attackingTanzania Prisons: Counter-attacking
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
Accuracy (shots on target)34%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.290.26
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.690.64

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Mtibwa Sugar
LLLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
20% W30% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-9-15
0.90 pts / match · goal difference -23
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-5
0.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-4-5
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
LLWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 0.85Opponent xG: 1.61BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%
Tanzania Prisons
LWWLD
Season result split
28% W19% R53% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-6-17
1.03 pts / match · goal difference -19
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-1-11
Last 5 away
3-0-2
WWLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 0.87Opponent xG: 1.15BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Mtibwa Sugar is 15% better for: goals scored per match.

0.83 goals / match - Mtibwa Sugar · 0.72 goals / match - Tanzania Prisons

Tanzania Prisons is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.6 goals / match - Mtibwa Sugar · 1.31 goals / match - Tanzania Prisons

Mtibwa Sugar scoring profile: strong

Mtibwa Sugar scores in 57% of matches (17 of 30 matches), while Tanzania Prisons keeps a clean sheet in 31% (10 of 32 matches).

Tanzania Prisons scoring profile: strong

Tanzania Prisons scores in 47% of matches (15 of 32 matches), while Mtibwa Sugar keeps a clean sheet in 20% (6 of 30 matches).

25Goals scored (season)23
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
48Goals conceded (season)42
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
2.43Average goals in match2.03
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
2Goals scored (last 5)4
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
12Goals conceded (last 5)6
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons

How often they score at least...

57%1 goal47%
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
20%2 goals16%
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
3%3 goals9%
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
3%4 goals0%
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal69%
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
47%2 goals41%
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
27%3 goals16%
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
7%4 goals6%
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

31%
Tanzania Prisons - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.10 of 32 matches
35%
League average

Goal patterns

23%BTTS at half-time19%
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
17%Scored in both halves6%
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons

BTTS and goal count

37%Min. 3 goals and BTTS28%
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
17%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
40%BTTS - last 540%
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

73%Min. 1 goal before half-time56%
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
43%Min. 2 goals before half-time31%
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
3%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons

2nd half

70%Min. 1 goal after half-time56%
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
27%Min. 2 goals after half-time25%
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Tanzania Prisons is 54% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.67 pts / match - Mtibwa Sugar · 1.03 pts / match - Tanzania Prisons

Mtibwa Sugar - half-time state
7% leading47% draw47% trailing
Tanzania Prisons - half-time state
16% leading56% draw28% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.67Points per match (1st half)1.03
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
0.33Goals scored (1st half)0.34
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
0.87Goals conceded (1st half)0.63
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
1.2Average goals (1st half)0.97
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
33%Clean sheet before half-time56%
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
70%No goal before half-time69%
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons

After half-time (2nd half)

1.03Points per match (2nd half)0.97
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
0.43Goals scored (2nd half)0.38
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
0.73Goals conceded (2nd half)0.59
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
1.17Average goals (2nd half)0.97
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
53%Clean sheet after half-time56%
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons
60%No goal after half-time78%
Mtibwa SugarTanzania Prisons

Mtibwa Sugar - second-half results

23% W33% R43% P
20
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-16
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding286%

Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Tanzania Prisons - second-half results

16% W50% R34% P
33
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-9
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.03
PPG before half-time
Lead holding175%

Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Mtibwa Sugar - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.400.20
Goals scored / match0.20.2
Goals conceded / match1.01.4
Average goals in match1.21.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-4-6
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Tanzania Prisons - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.80
Goals scored / match0.00.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match0.41.2
1 goal20%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-2+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Mtibwa Sugar
ScoredConceded
4
9
0-15
1
6
16-30
7
11
31-45
3
8
46-60
2
5
61-75
8
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Tanzania Prisons
ScoredConceded
6
8
0-15
1
5
16-30
4
10
31-45
2
5
46-60
5
7
61-75
5
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.23
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
103%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
41%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+35%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
27%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
23%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 4 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Mtibwa Sugar

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.58
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.19
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+7.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
64%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
184%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.90
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

Tanzania Prisons

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.34
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.25
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+10.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.23
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
83%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
101%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.37
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 26% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligi kuu Bara).

Teams vs league

Mtibwa SugarLigaTanzania Prisons
Average goals in match 2.432.17 2.03
Both teams scored 50%35% 31%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 53%39% 38%
Clean sheets 20%39% 31%
Goal before half-time 73%60% 56%
Goal after half-time 70%63% 56%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.17
Average goals per match
35%
Both teams scored
39%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
39%
Clean sheets
1.30
Home goals / match
0.87
Away goals / match
+49%
Home attack advantage
+33%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
60%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
63%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Mtibwa Sugar 0 - 0 - 1 Tanzania Prisons. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Mtibwa Sugar vs Tanzania Prisons?

The Ligi kuu Bara match finished Mtibwa Sugar 2:1 Tanzania Prisons. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Mtibwa Sugar vs Tanzania Prisons?

Mtibwa Sugar score 0.83 goals per game on average and Tanzania Prisons 0.72. The Ligi kuu Bara average is 2.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Mtibwa Sugar's matches and 31% of Tanzania Prisons's.

What form are Mtibwa Sugar and Tanzania Prisons in?

Over the last 5 games Mtibwa Sugar have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Tanzania Prisons 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mtibwa Sugar vs Tanzania Prisons?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.