MTK vs Diósgyőr: match statistics
MTK presents solid home form with a record of 42% wins and a positive goal difference (+6) at their own stadium, scoring an average of 2.5 goals per match. Diósgyőr has very poor results on the road (67% losses, 0% clean sheets) and a negative goal difference (-11), conceding an average of 2.17 goals per match. MTK's advantage in possession (51% vs 46%) and shot efficiency (17% vs 12%) further speaks in favor of the hosts. Although the recent form of both teams is variable, MTK's home statistics and Diósgyőr's disastrous away results point to a home victory. However, one must consider MTK's tendency to draw at home (17%) and the fact that Diósgyőr has earned 1.4 points per game in their last 5 matches, which could result in a competitive encounter.
MTK vs Diósgyőr: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
MTK played Diósgyőr in NB I (Hungary). The match was played on 8 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
MTK: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Diósgyőr: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
MTK scores 1.83 and concedes 2.21 goals per match. Diósgyőr scores 1.33 and concedes 1.63. League average: 3.00 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: MTK 71%, Diósgyőr 71%. Over 2.5: MTK 79%, Diósgyőr 58%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
MTK has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.25. MTK: 13.3 shots per match, Diósgyőr: 11.3.
Match halves
MTK: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.13. Diósgyőr: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
MTK: 76-90+ (10 goals). Diósgyőr: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NB I: 3.00 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 4.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
MTK presents solid home form with a record of 42% wins and a positive goal difference (+6) at their own stadium, scoring an average of 2.5 goals per match. Diósgyőr has very poor results on the road (67% losses, 0% clean sheets) and a negative goal difference (-11), conceding an average of 2.17 goals per match. MTK's advantage in possession (51% vs 46%) and shot efficiency (17% vs 12%) further speaks in favor of the hosts. Although the recent form of both teams is variable, MTK's home statistics and Diósgyőr's disastrous away results point to a home victory. However, one must consider MTK's tendency to draw at home (17%) and the fact that Diósgyőr has earned 1.4 points per game in their last 5 matches, which could result in a competitive encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| MTK | Diósgyőr | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Diósgyőr is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - MTK · 1.2 pts / match - Diósgyőr
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
MTK is 38% better for: goals scored per match.
1.83 goals / match - MTK · 1.33 goals / match - Diósgyőr
Diósgyőr is 36% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.21 goals / match - MTK · 1.63 goals / match - Diósgyőr
MTK scores in 88% of matches (21 of 24 matches), while Diósgyőr keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 24 matches).
Diósgyőr scores in 79% of matches (19 of 24 matches), while MTK keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - MTK
Over / Under - Diósgyőr
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Diósgyőr is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.96 pts / match - MTK · 1.38 pts / match - Diósgyőr
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
MTK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Diósgyőr - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 21%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
MTK
Diósgyőr
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB I).
Teams vs league
| MTK | Liga | Diósgyőr | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.04 | 3.00 | • 2.96 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 62% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 79% | 60% | ▼ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 21% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 68% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 88% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Other recorded players
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- MTKGoalÁtrok István Zalán
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): MTK 1 - 0 - 1 Diósgyőr. Average goals 4.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of MTK vs Diósgyőr?
The NB I match finished MTK 1:1 Diósgyőr. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between MTK and Diósgyőr?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches MTK won 1, Diósgyőr won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before MTK vs Diósgyőr?
MTK score 1.83 goals per game on average and Diósgyőr 1.33. The NB I average is 3.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 71% of MTK's matches and 71% of Diósgyőr's.
What form are MTK and Diósgyőr in?
Over the last 5 games MTK have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Diósgyőr 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for MTK vs Diósgyőr?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.