MTK vs ETO: match statistics
MTK vs ETO: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
MTK played ETO in NB I (Hungary). The match was played on 20 September 2026. Venue: Hidegkuti Nándor Stadion. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
MTK: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. ETO: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
MTK scores 2.00 and concedes 1.71 goals per match. ETO scores 2.00 and concedes 1.29. League average: 3.30 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: MTK 86%, ETO 57%. Over 2.5: MTK 86%, ETO 71%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
MTK has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.14. MTK: 12.1 shots per match, ETO: 8.6.
Match halves
MTK: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.14. ETO: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 1.43.
Goals by minute
MTK: 0-15 (3 goals). ETO: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NB I: 3.30 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-2. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
MTK have significantly stronger home numbers: they average 2.00 goals with an xG of 1.72, while ETO score 1.33 goals away from home and generate just 1.05 xG. The hosts also create more chances, averaging 13.25 shots and 7.5 shots on target per match, compared with ETO’s 8.67 shots and 2.67 on target. The league leaders are in better overall form, with 3 wins in their last 5 matches and 12 goals scored, but all 3 of their away fixtures have ended in draws. MTK also score consistently, having failed to find the net in none of their home matches, while ETO have not kept a clean sheet away from home. The hosts’ edge in the quality of chances created and home advantage is not substantial, but it points towards a narrow MTK win in an open game.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS signal is strengthened by the teams’ form over their last five matches: MTK recorded both teams scoring in 80% of games, while ETO did so in 60%, averaging 1.6 and 2.4 goals scored respectively. ETO kept a clean sheet in none of its away matches, while scoring in every one, which clearly supports a Goal/Goal outcome. MTK averages 2.50 goals scored at home, while its defense allows opponents an xG of 1.88, higher than ETO’s 1.44 away from home. The latest quality data is also offensive: MTK’s xG stands at 1.74 and ETO’s at 1.33, while both teams conceded an average of 1.2 and 1.4 goals respectively. MTK’s season-long 25% BTTS rate and the hosts’ 50% clean-sheet rate call for caution, but current form and ETO’s profile tilt the prediction toward BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have exceeded the 1.5-goal line in 100% of their league matches so far, which is the strongest signal pointing to a high probability of at least two goals. MTK average 2.50 goals at home, while ETO score 1.33 away from home, with the hosts allowing opponents an xG of 1.88. In their last five matches, MTK averaged 2.8 total goals, while ETO matches produced as many as 3.8 goals, with both teams recording Over 2.5 goals in 60% and 80% of their matches, respectively. The estimate of 3.05 goals is also supported by the current quality of chances: MTK’s xG stands at 1.74 and ETO’s at 1.33, while the opponents’ defensive xG figures are 1.48 and 1.52. Over 1.5 is the best selection, as it is clearly supported by both the full-season data and recent form, with lower risk than the 2.5 and 3.5 lines.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely HT/FT outcome is a draw at half-time followed by an MTK win, as ETO were level at the break in 67% of their away matches, while MTK had a half-time draw in 25% of their home fixtures. The opening stages are expected to be cautious: the hosts concede an average of just 0.25 goals before the break, compared with 0.33 for the visitors, while the corresponding total-goal averages are 0.75 and 1.00. After the interval, MTK’s home advantage increases significantly: they score an average of 2.0 goals in the second half and won it in 75% of their matches, whereas ETO have not won a single second half away from home. The hosts have also won 75% of their home matches and average 4.75 shots on target compared with ETO’s 2.67, further supporting the scenario of an MTK turnaround after the break. However, ETO’s strong current form must be taken into account, as they have scored an average of 2.4 goals per match in their last five fixtures; therefore, a draw at half-time followed by an ETO win remains a significant alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| MTK | ETO | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 60% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.52 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
ETO is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - MTK · 1.6 pts / match - ETO
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
ETO is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.71 goals / match - MTK · 1.29 goals / match - ETO
MTK scores in 100% of matches (7 of 7 matches), while ETO keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).
ETO scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while MTK keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - MTK
Over / Under - ETO
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
ETO is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - MTK · 1.71 pts / match - ETO
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
MTK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
ETO - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
MTK
ETO
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB I).
Teams vs league
| MTK | Liga | ETO | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.71 | 3.30 | • 3.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 86% | 64% | ▼ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 86% | 64% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 20% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 70% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 80% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): MTK 0 - 1 - 2 ETO. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of MTK vs ETO?
The NB I match finished MTK 1:2 ETO. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between MTK and ETO?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches MTK won 0, ETO won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before MTK vs ETO?
MTK score 2.00 goals per game on average and ETO 2.00. The NB I average is 3.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 86% of MTK's matches and 57% of ETO's.
What form are MTK and ETO in?
Over the last 5 games MTK have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and ETO 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for MTK vs ETO?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for MTK vs ETO: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.