MTK vs Ferencváros: match statistics
Ferencváros presents decidedly higher form and quality than MTK, confirmed by their table position (2nd place vs 9th place) and away match record. The visitors win an impressive 73% of their away matches, maintaining an impressive goal difference (+12) and conceding an average of just 0.73 goals per match. Despite decent scoring efficiency in home matches (averaging 2.64 goals per match), MTK has serious defensive problems, conceding an average of 1.91 goals in every home fixture. The form over the last five matches also speaks in favor of Ferencváros (1.8 points per match vs 0.8 points for MTK). High advantage in possession (56% vs 51%) and better xG statistics demonstrate the dominance of the visitors, who should control the course of this meeting and secure the full three points.
MTK vs Ferencváros: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
MTK played Ferencváros in NB I (Hungary). The match was played on 23 February 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
MTK: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Ferencváros: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
MTK scores 1.86 and concedes 2.18 goals per match. Ferencváros scores 1.86 and concedes 1.09. League average: 3.03 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: MTK 68%, Ferencváros 59%. Over 2.5: MTK 77%, Ferencváros 68%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Ferencváros has higher xG: 1.91 vs 1.60. MTK: 13.7 shots per match, Ferencváros: 16.1.
Match halves
MTK: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 1.09. Ferencváros: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.82.
Goals by minute
MTK: 46-60 (9 goals). Ferencváros: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NB I: 3.03 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ferencváros presents decidedly higher form and quality than MTK, confirmed by their table position (2nd place vs 9th place) and away match record. The visitors win an impressive 73% of their away matches, maintaining an impressive goal difference (+12) and conceding an average of just 0.73 goals per match. Despite decent scoring efficiency in home matches (averaging 2.64 goals per match), MTK has serious defensive problems, conceding an average of 1.91 goals in every home fixture. The form over the last five matches also speaks in favor of Ferencváros (1.8 points per match vs 0.8 points for MTK). High advantage in possession (56% vs 51%) and better xG statistics demonstrate the dominance of the visitors, who should control the course of this meeting and secure the full three points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| MTK | Ferencváros | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ferencváros is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - MTK · 1.8 pts / match - Ferencváros
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ferencváros is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.18 goals / match - MTK · 1.09 goals / match - Ferencváros
MTK scores in 86% of matches (19 of 22 matches), while Ferencváros keeps a clean sheet in 36% (8 of 22 matches).
Ferencváros scores in 95% of matches (21 of 22 matches), while MTK keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - MTK
Over / Under - Ferencváros
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ferencváros is 91% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - MTK · 1.91 pts / match - Ferencváros
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
MTK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ferencváros - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
MTK
Ferencváros
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB I).
Teams vs league
| MTK | Liga | Ferencváros | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.05 | 3.03 | • 2.95 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 61% | ▼ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 77% | 59% | ▲ 68% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 21% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 91% | 69% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 88% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): MTK 0 - 1 - 1 Ferencváros. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of MTK vs Ferencváros?
The NB I match finished MTK 1:3 Ferencváros. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between MTK and Ferencváros?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches MTK won 0, Ferencváros won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before MTK vs Ferencváros?
MTK score 1.86 goals per game on average and Ferencváros 1.86. The NB I average is 3.03 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 68% of MTK's matches and 59% of Ferencváros's.
What form are MTK and Ferencváros in?
Over the last 5 games MTK have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Ferencváros 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for MTK vs Ferencváros?
The statistical background for MTK vs Ferencváros — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.