MTK vs Kazincbarcika: match statistics
MTK is showing significantly better home form, winning 56% of their matches at home with an impressive average of 2.89 goals per game. The hosts have a positive goal difference of +10 in home matches, while Kazincbarcika has a disastrous -15 goal difference in away games. The visitors have lost all of their last 5 matches, scoring only 3 goals and conceding 11, confirming their dire form. Kazincbarcika wins only 11% of away games, scoring an average of 0.78 goals, while MTK has a shot conversion rate of 20% in home matches. The difference in possession (48% vs 41%), shots on target (5.78 vs 2.67), and expected goals (1.65 vs 0.96) further favor the hosts. Considering all statistics, an MTK victory is the most likely scenario for this match.
MTK vs Kazincbarcika: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
MTK played Kazincbarcika in NB I (Hungary). The match was played on 31 January 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
MTK: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Kazincbarcika: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
MTK scores 1.89 and concedes 2.05 goals per match. Kazincbarcika scores 0.89 and concedes 2.05. League average: 3.08 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: MTK 63%, Kazincbarcika 58%. Over 2.5: MTK 74%, Kazincbarcika 68%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
MTK has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.07. MTK: 13.5 shots per match, Kazincbarcika: 8.7.
Match halves
MTK: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 1.16. Kazincbarcika: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.32.
Goals by minute
MTK: 46-60 (8 goals). Kazincbarcika: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NB I: 3.08 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
MTK is showing significantly better home form, winning 56% of their matches at home with an impressive average of 2.89 goals per game. The hosts have a positive goal difference of +10 in home matches, while Kazincbarcika has a disastrous -15 goal difference in away games. The visitors have lost all of their last 5 matches, scoring only 3 goals and conceding 11, confirming their dire form. Kazincbarcika wins only 11% of away games, scoring an average of 0.78 goals, while MTK has a shot conversion rate of 20% in home matches. The difference in possession (48% vs 41%), shots on target (5.78 vs 2.67), and expected goals (1.65 vs 0.96) further favor the hosts. Considering all statistics, an MTK victory is the most likely scenario for this match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| MTK | Kazincbarcika | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
MTK is 112% better for: goals scored per match.
1.89 goals / match - MTK · 0.89 goals / match - Kazincbarcika
MTK scores in 84% of matches (16 of 19 matches), while Kazincbarcika keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 19 matches).
Kazincbarcika scores in 68% of matches (13 of 19 matches), while MTK keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - MTK
Over / Under - Kazincbarcika
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
MTK is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - MTK · 0.95 pts / match - Kazincbarcika
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
MTK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Kazincbarcika - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 16%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -12 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
MTK
Kazincbarcika
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB I).
Teams vs league
| MTK | Liga | Kazincbarcika | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.95 | 3.08 | ▼ 2.95 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 61% | ▼ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 74% | 61% | ▲ 68% |
| Clean sheets | • 21% | 21% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 89% | 69% | • 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 89% | ▼ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: MTK 0 - 0 - 1 Kazincbarcika. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of MTK vs Kazincbarcika?
The NB I match finished MTK 1:3 Kazincbarcika. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before MTK vs Kazincbarcika?
MTK score 1.89 goals per game on average and Kazincbarcika 0.89. The NB I average is 3.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 63% of MTK's matches and 58% of Kazincbarcika's.
What form are MTK and Kazincbarcika in?
Over the last 5 games MTK have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Kazincbarcika 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for MTK vs Kazincbarcika?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.