Hungary - NB IHidegkuti Nándor StadionData current as of 16 October 2026

MTK vs Vasas: match statistics

Reasoning:

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MTK vs Vasas: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

MTK play Vasas in NB I (Hungary). The match date is 16 October 2026. Venue: Hidegkuti Nándor Stadion.

Current form

MTK: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Vasas: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

MTK scores 1.67 and concedes 1.89 goals per match. Vasas scores 2.00 and concedes 1.33. League average: 3.19 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: MTK 78%, Vasas 67%. Over 2.5: MTK 89%, Vasas 67%. League level: BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 60%.

xG, shots and style

MTK has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.63. MTK: 12.7 shots per match, Vasas: 13.0.

Match halves

MTK: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 1.00. Vasas: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 1.44.

Goals by minute

MTK: 61-75 (4 goals). Vasas: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NB I: 3.19 goals per match, BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 60%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.47)
(3.60)
(2.72)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.67Goals scored / match2
MTKVasas
1.89Goals conceded / match1.33
MTKVasas
52%Average possession51%
MTKVasas
6.56Shots on target / match5.22
MTKVasas

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.67Shots per match13
MTKVasas
6.56Shots on target5.22
MTKVasas
13.2%Shot conversion15.4%
MTKVasas
52%Possession51%
MTKVasas
1.67xG for1.63
MTKVasas
1.6xG against1.36
MTKVasas

Shooting quality

MTK: Efficient finishingVasas: Efficient finishing
MTKVasas
Accuracy (shots on target)52%40%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Vasas is 75% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - MTK · 1.4 pts / match - Vasas

MTK
WDLLL
Season result split
22% W33% D44% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-4
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-3
Last 5 at home
2-0-3
WLWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.68Opponent xG: 1.82BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%
Vasas
LLWWD
Season result split
44% W33% D22% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-3-2
1.67 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Last 5 away
2-1-1
DWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.77Opponent xG: 1.49BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Vasas is 20% better for: goals scored per match.

1.67 goals / match - MTK · 2 goals / match - Vasas

Vasas is 42% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.89 goals / match - MTK · 1.33 goals / match - Vasas

MTK scoring profile: very strong

MTK scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Vasas keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).

Vasas scoring profile: very strong

Vasas scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while MTK keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 matches).

15Goals scored (season)18
MTKVasas
17Goals conceded (season)12
MTKVasas
3.56Average goals in match3.33
MTKVasas
6Goals scored (last 5)9
MTKVasas
10Goals conceded (last 5)9
MTKVasas

How often they score at least...

89%1 goal78%
MTKVasas
56%2 goals56%
MTKVasas
22%3 goals33%
MTKVasas
0%4 goals22%
MTKVasas

How often they concede at least...

89%1 goal78%
MTKVasas
67%2 goals44%
MTKVasas
33%3 goals11%
MTKVasas
0%4 goals0%
MTKVasas

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

44%BTTS at half-time22%
MTKVasas
11%BTTS in both halves11%
MTKVasas
33%Scored in both halves33%
MTKVasas

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS56%
MTKVasas
22%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
MTKVasas
80%BTTS - last 580%
MTKVasas

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

78%Min. 1 goal before half-time44%
MTKVasas
56%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
MTKVasas
22%Min. 3 goals before half-time22%
MTKVasas

2nd half

89%Min. 1 goal after half-time89%
MTKVasas
67%Min. 2 goals after half-time78%
MTKVasas
44%Min. 3 goals after half-time44%
MTKVasas

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Vasas is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.11 pts / match - MTK · 1.22 pts / match - Vasas

MTK - half-time state
22% leading44% draw33% trailing
Vasas - half-time state
22% leading56% draw22% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.11Points per match (1st half)1.22
MTKVasas
0.67Goals scored (1st half)0.56
MTKVasas
0.89Goals conceded (1st half)0.44
MTKVasas
1.56Average goals (1st half)1
MTKVasas
33%Clean sheet before half-time67%
MTKVasas
44%No goal before half-time67%
MTKVasas

After half-time (2nd half)

1.44Points per match (2nd half)1.44
MTKVasas
1Goals scored (2nd half)1.44
MTKVasas
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.89
MTKVasas
2Average goals (2nd half)2.33
MTKVasas
33%Clean sheet after half-time44%
MTKVasas
33%No goal after half-time22%
MTKVasas

MTK - second-half results

44% W11% D44% L
10
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.11
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Vasas - second-half results

33% W44% D22% L
11
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.22
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

MTK - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.60
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.61.4
Average goals in match1.22.0
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference0-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Vasas - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.00
Goals scored / match0.61.2
Goals conceded / match0.61.2
Average goals in match1.22.4
1 goal40%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

MTK
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
1
4
16-30
2
3
31-45
2
3
46-60
4
2
61-75
3
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Vasas
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
0
1
16-30
2
0
31-45
2
2
46-60
4
2
61-75
7
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.44
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
108%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
73%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
69%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

MTK

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
0.00
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
92%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
137%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Vasas

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.27
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.40
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.37
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
145%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
73%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.9
Late goals
39% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
39%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB I).

Teams vs league

MTKLigaVasas
Average goals in match▲ 3.563.19▲ 3.33
Both teams scored▲ 78%66%• 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 89%60%▲ 67%
Clean sheets▼ 11%19%▲ 22%
Goal before half-time▲ 78%68%▼ 44%
Goal after half-time▲ 89%81%▲ 89%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.19
Average goals per match
66%
Both teams scored
60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
19%
Clean sheets
1.81
Home goals / match
1.38
Away goals / match
+31%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
62%
2 goals
28%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

FAQ

When do MTK and Vasas play?

MTK face Vasas on 16 October 2026 in NB I at Hidegkuti Nándor Stadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before MTK vs Vasas?

MTK score 1.67 goals per game on average and Vasas 2.00. The NB I average is 3.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 78% of MTK's matches and 67% of Vasas's.

What form are MTK and Vasas in?

Over the last 5 games MTK have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Vasas 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for MTK vs Vasas?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for MTK vs Vasas: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.