Muang Thong United vs Rayong: match statistics
Rayong presents a clear advantage in this clash, sitting in 6th place in the table compared to Muang Thong United's 14th position. The hosts are in disastrous form with only 1 win in the last 5 matches and a goal difference of -9 at home, conceding an average of 2 goals per match in home games. Rayong, despite playing away, shows solidity – they have not failed to score in any away match this season (FTS% 0%), and their shot conversion rate (10%) is significantly better than the hosts' (6%). Muang Thong wins only 25% of matches at home and has only 38% clean sheets, which, given Rayong's offensive efficiency (average 1.29 goals per match away), places the guests in the role of favorite. Although Rayong often draws away (57% draws), the weak form of the hosts argues for a victory for the guests or at least a split of points.
Muang Thong United vs Rayong: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Muang Thong United played Rayong in Thai League T1 (Thailand). The match was played on 25 January 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Muang Thong United: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Rayong: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Muang Thong United scores 0.88 and concedes 1.94 goals per match. Rayong scores 1.69 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Muang Thong United 41%, Rayong 75%. Over 2.5: Muang Thong United 53%, Rayong 50%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Rayong has higher xG: 1.88 vs 1.65. Muang Thong United: 14.9 shots per match, Rayong: 15.8.
Match halves
Muang Thong United: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.65. Rayong: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 1.06.
Goals by minute
Muang Thong United: 76-90+ (6 goals). Rayong: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Thai League T1: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rayong presents a clear advantage in this clash, sitting in 6th place in the table compared to Muang Thong United's 14th position. The hosts are in disastrous form with only 1 win in the last 5 matches and a goal difference of -9 at home, conceding an average of 2 goals per match in home games. Rayong, despite playing away, shows solidity – they have not failed to score in any away match this season (FTS% 0%), and their shot conversion rate (10%) is significantly better than the hosts' (6%). Muang Thong wins only 25% of matches at home and has only 38% clean sheets, which, given Rayong's offensive efficiency (average 1.29 goals per match away), places the guests in the role of favorite. Although Rayong often draws away (57% draws), the weak form of the hosts argues for a victory for the guests or at least a split of points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Muang Thong United | Rayong | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.18 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rayong is 167% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Muang Thong United · 1.6 pts / match - Rayong
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rayong is 92% better for: goals scored per match.
0.88 goals / match - Muang Thong United · 1.69 goals / match - Rayong
Rayong is 41% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.94 goals / match - Muang Thong United · 1.38 goals / match - Rayong
Muang Thong United scores in 59% of matches (10 of 17 matches), while Rayong keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).
Rayong scores in 100% of matches (16 of 16 matches), while Muang Thong United keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Muang Thong United
Over / Under - Rayong
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rayong is 39% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.76 pts / match - Muang Thong United · 1.06 pts / match - Rayong
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Muang Thong United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Rayong - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Muang Thong United
Rayong
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Thai League T1).
Teams vs league
| Muang Thong United | Liga | Rayong | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.82 | 2.75 | ▲ 3.06 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 56% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 47% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | • 24% | 25% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 63% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 94% | 85% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Muang Thong United 0 - 0 - 1 Rayong. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Muang Thong United vs Rayong?
The Thai League T1 match finished Muang Thong United 1:3 Rayong. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Muang Thong United vs Rayong?
Muang Thong United score 0.88 goals per game on average and Rayong 1.69. The Thai League T1 average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Muang Thong United's matches and 75% of Rayong's.
What form are Muang Thong United and Rayong in?
Over the last 5 games Muang Thong United have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Rayong 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Muang Thong United vs Rayong?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Muang Thong United vs Rayong: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.