Türkiye - 1. LigMuğla Atatürk StadyumuData current as of 15 October 2026

Muğlaspor vs Bursaspor: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Muğlaspor vs Bursaspor: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Muğlaspor play Bursaspor in 1. Lig (Türkiye). The match date is 15 October 2026. Venue: Muğla Atatürk Stadyumu.

Current form

Muğlaspor: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match. Bursaspor: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Muğlaspor scores 1.00 and concedes 0.89 goals per match. Bursaspor scores 1.89 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.65 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Muğlaspor 44%, Bursaspor 67%. Over 2.5: Muğlaspor 22%, Bursaspor 78%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 47%.

xG, shots and style

Bursaspor has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.35. Muğlaspor: 11.2 shots per match, Bursaspor: 14.7.

Match halves

Muğlaspor: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.33. Bursaspor: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 1.11.

Goals by minute

Muğlaspor: 31-45+ (4 goals). Bursaspor: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

1. Lig: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 47%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

MuğlasporBursaspor
1Goals scored / match1.89
MuğlasporBursaspor
0.89Goals conceded / match1
MuğlasporBursaspor
48%Average possession60%
MuğlasporBursaspor
4.11Shots on target / match4.56
MuğlasporBursaspor

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.22Shots per match14.67
MuğlasporBursaspor
4.11Shots on target4.56
MuğlasporBursaspor
8.9%Shot conversion12.9%
MuğlasporBursaspor
48%Possession60%
MuğlasporBursaspor
1.35xG for1.62
MuğlasporBursaspor
1.3xG against0.93
MuğlasporBursaspor

Shooting quality

Muğlaspor: BalancedBursaspor: Dominant
MuğlasporBursaspor
Accuracy (shots on target)37%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.240.41

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Bursaspor is 43% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Muğlaspor · 2 pts / match - Bursaspor

Muğlaspor
WDDDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
22% W67% D11% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-6-1
1.33 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-4-0
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-3-0
Last 5 at home
1-3-0
DWDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.45Opponent xG: 1.46BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%
Bursaspor
WWDWL
Season result split
67% W11% D22% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-1-2
2.11 pts / match · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-0-1
Last 5 away
4-0-1
WLWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.75Opponent xG: 0.85BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Bursaspor is 89% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - Muğlaspor · 1.89 goals / match - Bursaspor

Muğlaspor is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.89 goals / match - Muğlaspor · 1 goals / match - Bursaspor

Muğlaspor scoring profile: strong

Muğlaspor scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while Bursaspor keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).

Bursaspor scoring profile: very strong

Bursaspor scores in 100% of matches (9 of 9 matches), while Muğlaspor keeps a clean sheet in 44% (4 of 9 matches).

9Goals scored (season)17
MuğlasporBursaspor
8Goals conceded (season)9
MuğlasporBursaspor
1.89Average goals in match2.89
MuğlasporBursaspor
7Goals scored (last 5)11
MuğlasporBursaspor
6Goals conceded (last 5)6
MuğlasporBursaspor

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal100%
MuğlasporBursaspor
33%2 goals67%
MuğlasporBursaspor
0%3 goals11%
MuğlasporBursaspor
0%4 goals11%
MuğlasporBursaspor

How often they concede at least...

56%1 goal67%
MuğlasporBursaspor
33%2 goals33%
MuğlasporBursaspor
0%3 goals0%
MuğlasporBursaspor
0%4 goals0%
MuğlasporBursaspor

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

55%
League average

Goal patterns

44%BTTS at half-time22%
MuğlasporBursaspor
22%BTTS in both halves0%
MuğlasporBursaspor
33%Scored in both halves22%
MuğlasporBursaspor

BTTS and goal count

22%Min. 3 goals and BTTS67%
MuğlasporBursaspor
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
MuğlasporBursaspor
80%BTTS - last 580%
MuğlasporBursaspor

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

78%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
MuğlasporBursaspor
44%Min. 2 goals before half-time44%
MuğlasporBursaspor
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
MuğlasporBursaspor

2nd half

44%Min. 1 goal after half-time78%
MuğlasporBursaspor
22%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%
MuğlasporBursaspor
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%
MuğlasporBursaspor

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bursaspor is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.33 pts / match - Muğlaspor · 1.44 pts / match - Bursaspor

Muğlaspor - half-time state
22% leading67% draw11% trailing
Bursaspor - half-time state
44% leading11% draw44% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.33Points per match (1st half)1.44
MuğlasporBursaspor
0.67Goals scored (1st half)0.78
MuğlasporBursaspor
0.56Goals conceded (1st half)0.78
MuğlasporBursaspor
1.22Average goals (1st half)1.56
MuğlasporBursaspor
44%Clean sheet before half-time33%
MuğlasporBursaspor
33%No goal before half-time44%
MuğlasporBursaspor

After half-time (2nd half)

1.11Points per match (2nd half)2
MuğlasporBursaspor
0.33Goals scored (2nd half)1.11
MuğlasporBursaspor
0.33Goals conceded (2nd half)0.22
MuğlasporBursaspor
0.67Average goals (2nd half)1.33
MuğlasporBursaspor
67%Clean sheet after half-time78%
MuğlasporBursaspor
67%No goal after half-time33%
MuğlasporBursaspor

Muğlaspor - second-half results

11% W78% D11% L
12
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Bursaspor - second-half results

56% W33% D11% L
13
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.44
PPG before half-time
Lead holding152%

Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.6

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Muğlaspor - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.00
Goals scored / match1.00.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.4
Average goals in match1.80.8
1 goal100%40%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal0%60%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 80% - Half-time goals total: 5
Bursaspor - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.00
Goals scored / match0.81.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.4
Average goals in match1.61.8
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference0+5
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Muğlaspor
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
1
0
16-30
4
2
31-45
1
2
46-60
0
1
61-75
2
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Bursaspor
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
5
4
16-30
2
2
31-45
3
1
46-60
1
0
61-75
6
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.39
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
90%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
56%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
67%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Muğlaspor

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.35
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.41
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
69%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
74%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Bursaspor

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.69
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.27
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
158%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
69%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
35% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
35%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Lig).

Teams vs league

MuğlasporLigaBursaspor
Average goals in match▼ 1.892.65▲ 2.89
Both teams scored▼ 44%55%▲ 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 22%47%▲ 78%
Clean sheets▲ 44%26%▲ 33%
Goal before half-time▲ 78%74%▲ 100%
Goal after half-time▼ 44%78%• 78%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.65
Average goals per match
55%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.45
Home goals / match
1.20
Away goals / match
+21%
Home attack advantage
+17%
Home defence advantage
+1%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Muğlaspor and Bursaspor play?

Muğlaspor face Bursaspor on 15 October 2026 in 1. Lig at Muğla Atatürk Stadyumu. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Muğlaspor vs Bursaspor?

Muğlaspor score 1.00 goals per game on average and Bursaspor 1.89. The 1. Lig average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Muğlaspor's matches and 67% of Bursaspor's.

What form are Muğlaspor and Bursaspor in?

Over the last 5 games Muğlaspor have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and Bursaspor 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Muğlaspor vs Bursaspor?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Muğlaspor vs Bursaspor: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.