Muhanga vs Police: match statistics
Police sits in 4th place in the table and presents a much more solid defense, particularly away, where they keep a clean sheet in 70% of matches and concede an average of only 0.3 goals per match. Muhanga is in 17th position with just a 10% win rate at home and a negative goal difference (-5). The hosts fail to score in 50% of home meetings, while Police has better xG indicators (1.13 vs 0.95) and higher possession (59% vs 55%). The recent form of both teams is poor, but Police has a decidedly better seasonal record (9 wins vs 4) and greater defensive stability. Considering Muhanga's offensive weakness at home and Police's defensive strength away, I expect a low score with an advantage for the guests or a draw, however, seasonal statistics favor a victory for Police.
Muhanga vs Police: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Muhanga play Police in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match date is 28 February 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Muhanga: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Police: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Muhanga scores 0.74 and concedes 1.32 goals per match. Police scores 0.82 and concedes 0.56. League average: 2.12 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Muhanga 35%, Police 35%. Over 2.5: Muhanga 35%, Police 18%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
Police has higher xG: 1.13 vs 0.99. Muhanga: 5.6 shots per match, Police: 6.1.
Match halves
Muhanga: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.26. Police: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
Muhanga: 16-30 (7 goals). Police: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National Soccer League: 2.12 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Police sits in 4th place in the table and presents a much more solid defense, particularly away, where they keep a clean sheet in 70% of matches and concede an average of only 0.3 goals per match. Muhanga is in 17th position with just a 10% win rate at home and a negative goal difference (-5). The hosts fail to score in 50% of home meetings, while Police has better xG indicators (1.13 vs 0.95) and higher possession (59% vs 55%). The recent form of both teams is poor, but Police has a decidedly better seasonal record (9 wins vs 4) and greater defensive stability. Considering Muhanga's offensive weakness at home and Police's defensive strength away, I expect a low score with an advantage for the guests or a draw, however, seasonal statistics favor a victory for Police.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Muhanga | Police | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Police is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
0.74 goals / match - Muhanga · 0.82 goals / match - Police
Police is 136% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.32 goals / match - Muhanga · 0.56 goals / match - Police
Muhanga scores in 53% of matches (18 of 34 matches), while Police keeps a clean sheet in 47% (16 of 34 matches).
Police scores in 59% of matches (20 of 34 matches), while Muhanga keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Muhanga
Over / Under — Police
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Police is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / match - Muhanga · 1.44 pts / match - Police
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Muhanga - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Police - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Muhanga
Police
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Muhanga | Liga | Police | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.06 | 2.12 | ▼ 1.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 35% | 46% | ▼ 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 38% | ▼ 18% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 34% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 61% | ▼ 47% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 62% | 70% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Muhanga 0 - 0 - 1 Police. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Muhanga vs Police?
The National Soccer League match finished Muhanga 1:1 Police. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Muhanga vs Police?
Muhanga score 0.74 goals per game on average and Police 0.82. The National Soccer League average is 2.12 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Muhanga's matches and 35% of Police's.
What form are Muhanga and Police in?
Over the last 5 games Muhanga have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Police 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Muhanga vs Police?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Muhanga vs Police: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.