Muhanga vs Rutsiro: match statistics
Rutsiro appear to have the edge in this encounter despite both teams' recent poor form. Muhanga sit in 18th (last) place in the table and have not won any home matches this season (0% win rate), which is an alarming signal. The hosts are in disastrous form with 4 defeats and only 1 draw in their last 5 matches, averaging just 0.2 points per game. Rutsiro, despite being in 16th place, have better away statistics – a 27% win rate on the road and a higher shot conversion rate (18% vs Muhanga's 10%). Moreover, the visitors score an average of 1 goal per away match, while Muhanga net only 0.56 goals at home. A key factor is also the goal difference: Muhanga -6 at home, Rutsiro -4 away, which, given both teams' overall poor form, gives the visitors a slight but real advantage.
Muhanga vs Rutsiro: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Muhanga played Rutsiro in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Muhanga: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Rutsiro: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Muhanga scores 0.53 and concedes 1.37 goals per match. Rutsiro scores 1.00 and concedes 1.56. League average: 2.06 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Muhanga 32%, Rutsiro 67%. Over 2.5: Muhanga 32%, Rutsiro 50%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Rutsiro has higher xG: 1.10 vs 1.04. Muhanga: 5.7 shots per match, Rutsiro: 6.7.
Match halves
Muhanga: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.16. Rutsiro: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.44.
Goals by minute
Muhanga: 16-30 (3 goals). Rutsiro: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National Soccer League: 2.06 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rutsiro appear to have the edge in this encounter despite both teams' recent poor form. Muhanga sit in 18th (last) place in the table and have not won any home matches this season (0% win rate), which is an alarming signal. The hosts are in disastrous form with 4 defeats and only 1 draw in their last 5 matches, averaging just 0.2 points per game. Rutsiro, despite being in 16th place, have better away statistics – a 27% win rate on the road and a higher shot conversion rate (18% vs Muhanga's 10%). Moreover, the visitors score an average of 1 goal per away match, while Muhanga net only 0.56 goals at home. A key factor is also the goal difference: Muhanga -6 at home, Rutsiro -4 away, which, given both teams' overall poor form, gives the visitors a slight but real advantage.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Muhanga | Rutsiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rutsiro is 89% better for: goals scored per match.
0.53 goals / match - Muhanga · 1 goals / match - Rutsiro
Muhanga is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.37 goals / match - Muhanga · 1.56 goals / match - Rutsiro
Muhanga scores in 42% of matches (8 of 19 matches), while Rutsiro keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 18 matches).
Rutsiro scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while Muhanga keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Muhanga
Over / Under - Rutsiro
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rutsiro is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.95 pts / match - Muhanga · 1 pts / match - Rutsiro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Muhanga - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 16%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Rutsiro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Muhanga
Rutsiro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Muhanga | Liga | Rutsiro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.89 | 2.06 | ▲ 2.56 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 32% | 44% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 32% | 34% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 34% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 68% | 63% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 68% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Muhanga 1 - 0 - 0 Rutsiro. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Muhanga vs Rutsiro?
The National Soccer League match finished Muhanga 2:1 Rutsiro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Muhanga vs Rutsiro?
Muhanga score 0.53 goals per game on average and Rutsiro 1.00. The National Soccer League average is 2.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 32% of Muhanga's matches and 67% of Rutsiro's.
What form are Muhanga and Rutsiro in?
Over the last 5 games Muhanga have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Rutsiro 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Muhanga vs Rutsiro?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.