Mukura vs Marines: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Mukura played Marines in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match was played on 24 December 2025. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Mukura: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Marines: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Mukura scores 0.85 and concedes 0.77 goals per match. Marines scores 1.14 and concedes 0.79. League average: 1.88 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Mukura 31%, Marines 29%. Over 2.5: Mukura 8%, Marines 29%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 30%.

xG, shots and style

Marines has higher xG: 1.27 vs 0.98. Mukura: 5.2 shots per match, Marines: 8.4.

Match halves

Mukura: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.38. Marines: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.57.

Goals by minute

Mukura: 31-45+ (3 goals). Marines: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

National Soccer League: 1.88 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 30%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
2 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

43Possession (%)57
MukuraMarines
2Shots1
MukuraMarines
2Shots on target1
MukuraMarines
0xG0
MukuraMarines
4Corners3
MukuraMarines
0Dangerous attacks0
MukuraMarines
-1Fouls-1
MukuraMarines
-1Cards-1
MukuraMarines

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.85Goals scored / match1.14
MukuraMarines
0.77Goals conceded / match0.79
MukuraMarines
44%Average possession47%
MukuraMarines
1.54Shots on target / match3.29
MukuraMarines

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

5.23Shots per match8.43
MukuraMarines
1.54Shots on target3.29
MukuraMarines
16.2%Shot conversion13.6%
MukuraMarines
44%Possession47%
MukuraMarines
0.98xG for1.27
MukuraMarines
0.85xG against1.18
MukuraMarines

Shooting quality

Mukura: Counter-attackingMarines: Counter-attacking
MukuraMarines
Accuracy (shots on target)29%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.190.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.550.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Mukura is 43% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Mukura · 1.4 pts / match - Marines

Mukura
DWLWW
Season result split
38% W31% R31% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-4-4
1.46 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-1-2
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
DWLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.15Opponent xG: 0.91BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 0%
Marines
WLWLD
Season result split
50% W7% R43% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-1-6
1.57 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-0-4
Last 5 away
2-0-3
WLWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.54Opponent xG: 1.41BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Marines is 34% better for: goals scored per match.

0.85 goals / match - Mukura · 1.14 goals / match - Marines

Mukura scoring profile: strong

Mukura scores in 69% of matches (9 of 13 matches), while Marines keeps a clean sheet in 43% (6 of 14 matches).

Marines scoring profile: strong

Marines scores in 71% of matches (10 of 14 matches), while Mukura keeps a clean sheet in 46% (6 of 13 matches).

11Goals scored (season)16
MukuraMarines
10Goals conceded (season)11
MukuraMarines
1.62Average goals in match1.93
MukuraMarines
5Goals scored (last 5)5
MukuraMarines
3Goals conceded (last 5)4
MukuraMarines

How often they score at least...

69%1 goal71%
MukuraMarines
15%2 goals43%
MukuraMarines
0%3 goals0%
MukuraMarines
0%4 goals0%
MukuraMarines

How often they concede at least...

54%1 goal57%
MukuraMarines
23%2 goals21%
MukuraMarines
0%3 goals0%
MukuraMarines
0%4 goals0%
MukuraMarines

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

8%BTTS at half-time0%
MukuraMarines
0%BTTS in both halves0%
MukuraMarines
15%Scored in both halves21%
MukuraMarines

BTTS and goal count

8%Min. 3 goals and BTTS29%
MukuraMarines
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
MukuraMarines
20%BTTS - last 520%
MukuraMarines

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

69%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
MukuraMarines
8%Min. 2 goals before half-time7%
MukuraMarines
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
MukuraMarines

2nd half

62%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
MukuraMarines
15%Min. 2 goals after half-time36%
MukuraMarines
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time7%
MukuraMarines

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Marines is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.46 pts / match - Mukura · 1.79 pts / match - Marines

Mukura - half-time state
38% leading31% draw31% trailing
Marines - half-time state
50% leading29% draw21% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.46Points per match (1st half)1.79
MukuraMarines
0.46Goals scored (1st half)0.57
MukuraMarines
0.38Goals conceded (1st half)0.21
MukuraMarines
0.85Average goals (1st half)0.79
MukuraMarines
69%Clean sheet before half-time79%
MukuraMarines
54%No goal before half-time50%
MukuraMarines

After half-time (2nd half)

1.38Points per match (2nd half)1.21
MukuraMarines
0.38Goals scored (2nd half)0.57
MukuraMarines
0.38Goals conceded (2nd half)0.57
MukuraMarines
0.77Average goals (2nd half)1.14
MukuraMarines
69%Clean sheet after half-time57%
MukuraMarines
62%No goal after half-time57%
MukuraMarines

Mukura - second-half results

31% W46% R23% P
19
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.46
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Marines - second-half results

29% W36% R36% P
25
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.79
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Mukura - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.60
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match0.61.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Marines - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.20
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match1.00.8
1 goal100%40%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Mukura
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
2
2
16-30
3
1
31-45
1
0
46-60
3
2
61-75
1
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Marines
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
2
2
16-30
5
1
31-45
1
2
46-60
1
3
61-75
6
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.77
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.8 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
30%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
49%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Mukura

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
89%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
84%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.54
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
9% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
9%

Marines

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.26
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.39
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
124%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
82%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
38% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
38%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).

Teams vs league

MukuraLigaMarines
Average goals in match 1.621.88 1.93
Both teams scored 31%38% 29%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 8%30% 29%
Clean sheets 46%38% 43%
Goal before half-time 69%60% 71%
Goal after half-time 62%66% 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.88
Average goals per match
38%
Both teams scored
30%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
38%
Clean sheets
0.96
Home goals / match
0.92
Away goals / match
+4%
Home attack advantage
+4%
Home defence advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
60%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
24%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Home team

Away team

Other recorded players

Taïba Mbonyumwami⚽ 1

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. MarinesGoalTaïba Mbonyumwami

FAQ

What was the result of Mukura vs Marines?

The National Soccer League match finished Mukura 2:1 Marines. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Mukura vs Marines?

Mukura score 0.85 goals per game on average and Marines 1.14. The National Soccer League average is 1.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 30% of games. Both teams score in 31% of Mukura's matches and 29% of Marines's.

What form are Mukura and Marines in?

Over the last 5 games Mukura have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Marines 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mukura vs Marines?

The statistical background for Mukura vs Marines — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.