Mumbai City vs East Bengal: match statistics
Mumbai City vs East Bengal: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mumbai City played East Bengal in Indian Super League (India). The match was played on 5 May 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Mumbai City: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. East Bengal: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mumbai City scores 1.00 and concedes 0.70 goals per match. East Bengal scores 2.78 and concedes 0.89. League average: 2.46 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mumbai City 40%, East Bengal 56%. Over 2.5: Mumbai City 20%, East Bengal 78%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
East Bengal has higher xG: 2.39 vs 1.49. Mumbai City: 12.4 shots per match, East Bengal: 20.4.
Match halves
Mumbai City: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.50. East Bengal: half-time lead 56%, second-half goals 1.56.
Goals by minute
Mumbai City: 46-60 (3 goals). East Bengal: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Indian Super League: 2.46 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
East Bengal holds a clear offensive advantage: they have scored 25 goals this season and 17 in the last 5 matches (an average of 3.4 per game in that span), while Mumbai City has 10 goals this season and only 3 in the last 5 (0.6 per game). Additionally, the visitors have a significantly higher xG — 2.7 on the road versus 1.57 xG for the home side — indicating East Bengal generates more high-value chances (xG against 1.29 vs 1.11). Shot metrics show a large edge: East Bengal averages 22 shots and 11 on target away with a 14% conversion, while Mumbai at home averages 12.75 shots and 4 on target with a 10% conversion. Mumbai do defend solidly at home, conceding 0.75 goals per match and keeping 50% clean sheets, but the visitors nonetheless have a 100% away win rate and average 2.2 points over the last 5 matches versus 1.6 for the home team. Considering the superior attack, higher xG and current form of East Bengal, the forecast favors an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
East Bengal has a seasonal BTTS rate of 100% and has scored 25 goals this season (avg 3.0 per match); in the last 5 matches they have 17 goals (3.4 per match) with last5 xG_for 2.57 and 11.0 shots on target, which strongly indicates East Bengal will score at least once. Mumbai City has a seasonal BTTS of 50%, season xG_for 2.35 and 7.13 shots on target, but in the last 5 matches BTTS occurred in only 20% of games and the team scored 3 goals (0.6 per match) with last5 xG_for 1.47, which lowers their offensive reliability. Defensively, Mumbai City concedes 0.88 goals on average this season and 0.6 in the last 5, while East Bengal has season xG_for 2.7 and last5 xG_against 1.11, meaning East Bengal’s attack is clearly stronger than the home defense in recent matches. Additionally the league has a seasonal BTTS level of 51%, both teams have a high share of matches over 2.5 goals (Mumbai 75%, East 100%) and the share of over2.5 with BTTS is 38% vs 100%, which together increases the probability of both teams scoring. Considering the above (East Bengal 100% BTTS vs Mumbai 50%, 17 East Bengal goals in the last 5 and last5 xG difference 2.57 vs 1.47) I assess BTTS at 70% vs 30% and recommend a 'yes' bet (BTTS - Yes).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have high goal profiles: Mumbai City averages 2.75 goals per match, East Bengal 3.00, with xG at 2.35 vs 2.70, indicating active attacking play. Averaging home attack xG and opponent xG yields ~1.82 goals for the hosts ((2.35+1.29)/2) and ~1.92 for the visitors ((2.70+1.13)/2), a combined expected 3.74 goals. Seasonal data reinforce the forecast: Over 2.5 occurred in 75% of Mumbai’s matches and 100% of East Bengal’s, while BTTS was 50% vs 100% — a strong signal for goals from both sides. The only meaningful factor reducing the chance of a very high score is Mumbai City’s recent form over the last 5 matches (average 0.6 goals and 0% Over 2.5 in the last 5), so it’s prudent to be selective with the 3.5 line. In summary, the strongest data signal is Over 2.5 (recommendation): expected 3.74 goals and seasonal percentages of 75%/100% provide good backing for this line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back X/2 (Half-Time draw, Full-Time away win) as the most likely scenario. East Bengal holds a 100% away win rate in the available data versus a 50% home win rate for the hosts; additionally the visitors’ xG is 2.7 compared to the hosts’ 2.35 and they average 11.0 shots on target versus 7.13, indicating an offensive advantage for the visitors. I forecast a draw at the break because, seasonally, Mumbai led at half-time in 63% of matches and registered 13 HT goals, but in the last five games East Bengal led at the break in 60% and averaged 1.4 first-half goals, which neutralizes the hosts’ usual leads. In the second half the stats favor the visitors: in their last five matches East Bengal averaged 2.0 goals after the break and exceeded 1.5 second-half goals in 80% of games. For these reasons the strongest signal from the data is X/2.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mumbai City | East Bengal | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
East Bengal is 38% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Mumbai City · 2.2 pts / match - East Bengal
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
East Bengal is 178% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Mumbai City · 2.78 goals / match - East Bengal
Mumbai City is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.7 goals / match - Mumbai City · 0.89 goals / match - East Bengal
Mumbai City scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while East Bengal keeps a clean sheet in 44% (4 of 9 matches).
East Bengal scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Mumbai City keeps a clean sheet in 50% (5 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mumbai City
Over / Under - East Bengal
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
East Bengal is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.7 pts / match - Mumbai City · 2 pts / match - East Bengal
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mumbai City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
East Bengal - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 56% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +8 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mumbai City
East Bengal
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Indian Super League).
Teams vs league
| Mumbai City | Liga | East Bengal | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.70 | 2.46 | ▲ 3.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 52% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 20% | 39% | ▲ 78% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 28% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 72% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 76% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Mumbai City 1 - 1 - 0 East Bengal. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mumbai City vs East Bengal?
The Indian Super League match finished Mumbai City 1:2 East Bengal. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Mumbai City and East Bengal?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Mumbai City won 1, East Bengal won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Mumbai City vs East Bengal?
Mumbai City score 1.00 goals per game on average and East Bengal 2.78. The Indian Super League average is 2.46 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Mumbai City's matches and 56% of East Bengal's.
What form are Mumbai City and East Bengal in?
Over the last 5 games Mumbai City have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and East Bengal 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mumbai City vs East Bengal?
The statistical background for Mumbai City vs East Bengal — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.