Municipal Liberia vs Deportivo Saprissa: match statistics
Municipal Liberia vs Deportivo Saprissa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Municipal Liberia played Deportivo Saprissa in Primera División FPD (Costa Rica). The match was played on 3 May 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Municipal Liberia: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Deportivo Saprissa: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Municipal Liberia scores 1.18 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Deportivo Saprissa scores 1.83 and concedes 1.15. League average: 2.49 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Municipal Liberia 47%, Deportivo Saprissa 60%. Over 2.5: Municipal Liberia 45%, Deportivo Saprissa 68%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Deportivo Saprissa has higher xG: 1.86 vs 1.45. Municipal Liberia: 11.9 shots per match, Deportivo Saprissa: 15.6.
Match halves
Municipal Liberia: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.63. Deportivo Saprissa: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.10.
Goals by minute
Municipal Liberia: 76-90+ (10 goals). Deportivo Saprissa: 76-90+ (26 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División FPD: 2.49 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 75%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win (1): Municipal Liberia have won all 5 of their last matches, scoring 11 and conceding only 3 in that period, equating to an average of 3 points per game over the last five fixtures. At home Liberia average 1.32 goals scored and concede 0.95 per match, with xG for 1.54 versus xG against 1.26, 4.32 shots on target per game and only 11% of matches without scoring, indicating an effective and relatively stable defense. Deportivo Saprissa posts strong season numbers (73 goals and 22 wins), but away they score 1.5 and concede 1.4 on average, have xG for 1.61 versus xG against 1.39 and only 30% clean sheets on the road, which signals greater defensive vulnerability away from home. The visitors register slightly more shots on target (4.95 vs 4.32) and have a higher conversion rate (11% vs 10%), so they are dangerous in attack, but a higher share of matches without scoring (20% vs 11%) and lower average points in the last 5 (2 vs 3) favor Liberia.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams give a strong signal for BTTS - Municipal Liberia posts a season BTTS of 65% while Deportivo Saprissa is at 55%; in the last 5 matches these are 60% and 80% respectively, strongly favoring Goal/Goal. Offensively Municipal averages 2.15 goals per game (45 goals this season; 11 in last 5 = 2.2), and Saprissa 1.5 (73 this season; 13 in last 5 = 2.6), with average goals conceded 0.9 and 1.4 on the season (last 5: 0.6 and 1.0), so both sides regularly score and occasionally concede. xG supports this: home xG 2.10 vs xG against Saprissa 1.39, and away xG 1.61 vs xG against the hosts 1.37, with hosts creating more chances (18.05 shots and 6.5 shots on target vs 13.05 and 4.95). Only 30% of matches end in a clean sheet for either team, and over 2.5 with BTTS occurs in 60% of home matches and 50% of away matches, further increasing the likelihood of both teams scoring; therefore 72% for BTTS - Yes and 28% for BTTS - No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Municipal Liberia scores an average of 2.15 goals per match and concedes 0.90, while Saprissa averages 1.50 scored and 1.40 conceded, indicating strong goal potential on both sides. Based on xG (Liberia 2.10 vs Saprissa defense 1.39; Saprissa 1.61 vs Liberia defense 1.37) I estimate 1.75 expected goals for the home side and 1.49 for the visitors, totaling 3.24 expected goals. Season metrics show 90% of Liberia’s matches and 80% of Saprissa’s matches finished over 1.5 goals, and Over 2.5 stands at 80% for Liberia and 55% for Saprissa (last 5 matches: 60%/80%), yielding a moderately high probability for >2.5. Additionally, BTTS occurs in 65% of Liberia’s games and 55% of Saprissa’s, and 95% of both teams’ fixtures featured at least 1 goal, minimizing the risk of a goalless draw. Considering the total xG=3.24, high season over 1.5 rates (90%/80%) and active attacking stats, the strongest signal is Over 1.5, therefore the recommended play is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is Municipal Liberia leading at half-time and the hosts winning the match (1/1) — I assign it 36%. Municipal Liberia led at the break in 45% of matches (leadingAtHTPercentage_home = 45.0) and scored an average of 0.85 goals before half-time versus 0.6 for Saprissa (scoredAVGHT_home = 0.85 vs scoredAVGHT_away = 0.6), while conceding only 0.3 goals by half-time compared to 0.6 for the visitors (concededAVGHT_home = 0.3 vs concededAVGHT_away = 0.6). This advantage is confirmed by xG and shots: the hosts' xG is 2.1 versus 1.61 for the away side (xg_for_avg_home = 2.1 vs xg_for_avg_away = 1.61) and on average 6.5 shots on target for the hosts versus 4.95 for the visitors (shotsOnTargetAVG_home = 6.5 vs shotsOnTargetAVG_away = 4.95), with similar conversion rates of 12% versus 11%. The hosts win 65% of home matches (winPercentage_home = 65.0) and have a 100% win rate in their last five home appearances (last5_winPercentage_overall_home = 100.0), therefore the scenario of maintaining the lead after the break is the strongest.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Municipal Liberia | Deportivo Saprissa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Municipal Liberia is 50% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Municipal Liberia · 2 pts / match - Deportivo Saprissa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Deportivo Saprissa is 55% better for: goals scored per match.
1.18 goals / match - Municipal Liberia · 1.83 goals / match - Deportivo Saprissa
Municipal Liberia scores in 79% of matches (30 of 38 matches), while Deportivo Saprissa keeps a clean sheet in 30% (12 of 40 matches).
Deportivo Saprissa scores in 85% of matches (34 of 40 matches), while Municipal Liberia keeps a clean sheet in 37% (14 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Municipal Liberia
Over / Under - Deportivo Saprissa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportivo Saprissa is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.42 pts / match - Municipal Liberia · 1.58 pts / match - Deportivo Saprissa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Municipal Liberia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Deportivo Saprissa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 2.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +8 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (26 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +15 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Municipal Liberia
Deportivo Saprissa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División FPD).
Teams vs league
| Municipal Liberia | Liga | Deportivo Saprissa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.32 | 2.49 | ▲ 2.98 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 49% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 48% | ▲ 68% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 37% | 30% | • 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 66% | 69% | • 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 76% | 74% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Municipal Liberia 1 - 1 - 2 Deportivo Saprissa. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 75% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Municipal Liberia vs Deportivo Saprissa?
The Primera División FPD match finished Municipal Liberia 1:1 Deportivo Saprissa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Municipal Liberia and Deportivo Saprissa?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Municipal Liberia won 1, Deportivo Saprissa won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Municipal Liberia vs Deportivo Saprissa?
Municipal Liberia score 1.18 goals per game on average and Deportivo Saprissa 1.83. The Primera División FPD average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Municipal Liberia's matches and 60% of Deportivo Saprissa's.
What form are Municipal Liberia and Deportivo Saprissa in?
Over the last 5 games Municipal Liberia have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Deportivo Saprissa 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Municipal Liberia vs Deportivo Saprissa?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.