Municipal Limeño vs Hércules: match statistics
Municipal Limeño vs Hércules: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Municipal Limeño played Hércules in Salvadoran Primera División (El Salvador). The match was played on 29 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Municipal Limeño: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Hércules: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Municipal Limeño scores 1.34 and concedes 1.18 goals per match. Hércules scores 0.86 and concedes 2.28. League average: 2.74 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Municipal Limeño 55%, Hércules 58%. Over 2.5: Municipal Limeño 47%, Hércules 61%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Municipal Limeño has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.07. Municipal Limeño: 9.6 shots per match, Hércules: 6.6.
Match halves
Municipal Limeño: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.87. Hércules: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
Municipal Limeño: 76-90+ (15 goals). Hércules: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Salvadoran Primera División: 2.74 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-0. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Municipal Limeño shows clearly better form and home stats, with mostly wins in the last 5 (wwwwl) and PPG 2.4. At home they score 1.68 and concede only 1.05, with xG 1.53 confirming offensive efficiency. Hércules perform poorly away with only 0.94 goals per match and 2.06 conceded, indicating defensive issues and low output. Differences in avg SOT and possession (4.21 vs 2.72 SOT, 53% vs 45% possession) and higher FTS% for the visitors further favor the hosts. On this basis a Municipal Limeño win is more likely than a draw or Hércules win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Season stats show BTTS tendency: Municipal Limeño 61%, Hércules 56%, league 55%, increasing BTTS probability. Both teams concede high averages (home GA 2.50; away GA 2.06) and have poor CS rates (home 0%, away 17%), favoring goals both sides. Last 5 favor the home side (WWWWL, 11 goals) while visitors scored only 2 in last 5, slightly reducing BTTS confidence. xG indicates both create chances (xG_for ~1.12 vs 1.02) and concede notable xG_against, so mutual goals are natural. Considering seasonal and defensive weaknesses, I recommend BTTS = YES.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Model based on xG and form: home xG 1.12 vs opponent defense 1.82 suggests ~1.47 xG for Municipal Limeño, while Hércules (1.02 vs 1.49) ~1.26 xG. Both teams show high percentages of matches over 0.5 and 1.5 goals (home 89%/67% over1.5/over2.5; away 83%/56%), and the last 5 show strong home offense (gf_last5_home 11) and high away defensive vulnerability (ga_l5_away 12). High BTTS (home 61%, away 56%) and a league average ~2.72 support Over 1.5 and give a slight edge to Over 2.5. Given strong certainty of at least 2 goals, I select Over 1.5 as the best signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Data indicate low offensive efficiency for both teams with high average goals conceded, favoring low-scoring draws. High BTTS percentages suggest counter exchanges, but overall xG and shots are moderate, limiting total goals. Recent home results show form improvement and stronger position at HT, yet season-wide stats favor a draw as the most stable outcome. The most probable scenario is draw at the break and draw at full-time, typically 0:0 or 1:1 (X/X).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Municipal Limeño | Hércules | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Municipal Limeño is 1100% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Municipal Limeño · 0.2 pts / match - Hércules
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Municipal Limeño is 56% better for: goals scored per match.
1.34 goals / match - Municipal Limeño · 0.86 goals / match - Hércules
Municipal Limeño is 93% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.18 goals / match - Municipal Limeño · 2.28 goals / match - Hércules
Municipal Limeño scores in 79% of matches (30 of 38 matches), while Hércules keeps a clean sheet in 8% (3 of 36 matches).
Hércules scores in 64% of matches (23 of 36 matches), while Municipal Limeño keeps a clean sheet in 29% (11 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Municipal Limeño
Over / Under - Hércules
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Municipal Limeño is 83% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.37 pts / match - Municipal Limeño · 0.75 pts / match - Hércules
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Municipal Limeño - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Hércules - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -8 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (20). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Municipal Limeño
Hércules
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Salvadoran Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Municipal Limeño | Liga | Hércules | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.53 | 2.74 | ▲ 3.14 |
| Both teams scored | • 55% | 55% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 54% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 27% | ▼ 8% |
| Goal before half-time | • 68% | 68% | • 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 78% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Municipal LimeñoGoalJavier de Jesús Ferman Reyes
- HérculesGoalRodrigo José Rivera Sánchez
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Municipal Limeño 2 - 1 - 0 Hércules. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Municipal Limeño vs Hércules?
The Salvadoran Primera División match finished Municipal Limeño 1:1 Hércules. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Municipal Limeño and Hércules?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Municipal Limeño won 2, Hércules won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Municipal Limeño vs Hércules?
Municipal Limeño score 1.34 goals per game on average and Hércules 0.86. The Salvadoran Primera División average is 2.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Municipal Limeño's matches and 58% of Hércules's.
What form are Municipal Limeño and Hércules in?
Over the last 5 games Municipal Limeño have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Hércules 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Municipal Limeño vs Hércules?
The statistical background for Municipal Limeño vs Hércules — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.