Mura vs Aluminij: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to an even matchup between the two teams, which favors a draw. Mura is in poor form with only one win in their last five matches, yet they show decent efficiency at home with a 44% draw rate and a positive goal difference (+2). Aluminij, despite their higher league position, is also in a form crisis with a mere 0.8 points per match in their last five outings and a high rate of goals conceded away from home (1.8 on average). Both teams have an identical average possession percentage (46%), suggesting a tactical equilibrium. Considering the poor form of both sides and their balanced xG statistics, the most probable outcome is a share of the points, with a slight advantage given to the hosts due to playing in front of their own supporters.
Mura vs Aluminij: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mura played Aluminij in PrvaLiga (Slovenia). The match was played on 8 February 2026. Final score: 0:3.
Current form
Mura: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Aluminij: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mura scores 1.05 and concedes 1.45 goals per match. Aluminij scores 1.45 and concedes 1.80. League average: 3.16 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mura 45%, Aluminij 80%. Over 2.5: Mura 45%, Aluminij 75%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Mura has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.33. Mura: 10.8 shots per match, Aluminij: 9.6.
Match halves
Mura: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.55. Aluminij: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.90.
Goals by minute
Mura: 76-90+ (6 goals). Aluminij: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
PrvaLiga: 3.16 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to an even matchup between the two teams, which favors a draw. Mura is in poor form with only one win in their last five matches, yet they show decent efficiency at home with a 44% draw rate and a positive goal difference (+2). Aluminij, despite their higher league position, is also in a form crisis with a mere 0.8 points per match in their last five outings and a high rate of goals conceded away from home (1.8 on average). Both teams have an identical average possession percentage (46%), suggesting a tactical equilibrium. Considering the poor form of both sides and their balanced xG statistics, the most probable outcome is a share of the points, with a slight advantage given to the hosts due to playing in front of their own supporters.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mura | Aluminij | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Aluminij is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Mura · 0.8 pts / match - Aluminij
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aluminij is 38% better for: goals scored per match.
1.05 goals / match - Mura · 1.45 goals / match - Aluminij
Mura is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.45 goals / match - Mura · 1.8 goals / match - Aluminij
Mura scores in 55% of matches (11 of 20 matches), while Aluminij keeps a clean sheet in 15% (3 of 20 matches).
Aluminij scores in 90% of matches (18 of 20 matches), while Mura keeps a clean sheet in 15% (3 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mura
Over / Under - Aluminij
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mura - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 20%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Aluminij - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mura
Aluminij
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (PrvaLiga).
Teams vs league
| Mura | Liga | Aluminij | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.50 | 3.16 | • 3.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 63% | ▲ 80% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 65% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 21% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 80% | 85% | • 85% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 80% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Mura 0 - 2 - 0 Aluminij. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mura vs Aluminij?
The PrvaLiga match finished Mura 0:3 Aluminij. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Mura and Aluminij?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Mura won 0, Aluminij won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Mura vs Aluminij?
Mura score 1.05 goals per game on average and Aluminij 1.45. The PrvaLiga average is 3.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Mura's matches and 80% of Aluminij's.
What form are Mura and Aluminij in?
Over the last 5 games Mura have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Aluminij 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mura vs Aluminij?
The statistical background for Mura vs Aluminij — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.