Mura vs Bravo: match statistics
Mura vs Bravo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mura played Bravo in PrvaLiga (Slovenia). The match was played on 11 April 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Mura: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Bravo: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mura scores 1.00 and concedes 1.63 goals per match. Bravo scores 1.74 and concedes 1.67. League average: 3.11 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mura 41%, Bravo 63%. Over 2.5: Mura 52%, Bravo 67%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Bravo has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.41. Mura: 10.8 shots per match, Bravo: 13.5.
Match halves
Mura: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.52. Bravo: half-time lead 52%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Mura: 76-90+ (7 goals). Bravo: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
PrvaLiga: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict an away win (2) because seasonal statistics and recent form favor Bravo. Bravo have 12 wins this season versus Mura’s 6 and have scored 47 goals compared to 27 for the hosts; in the last 5 matches the visitors have scored 9 goals and won 4 games, averaging 2.6 points per match in that period. Mura at home scores 1.31 goals on average with 3.69 shots on target and have 38% of matches goalless for them, whereas Bravo away average 2.00 goals with 5.14 shots on target and only 21% of matches without a goal — a conversion rate of 15% versus Mura’s 11% confirms greater efficiency for the visitors. Mura’s home defense is solid (1.08 goals conceded per game and 31% clean sheets), but in the last 5 matches Mura conceded 7 goals while Bravo conceded only 3, reinforcing the visitors’ form advantage. Higher xG for Bravo away (1.72 vs 1.48 for Mura at home) suggests the visitors are creating better chances, so I give Bravo the higher probability of victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Season-long indicators strongly support BTTS: Bravo has BTTS at 71%, Mura 54%, and the league average is 61%. Both teams create chances — shots per game 13.46 (Mura) vs 13.5 (Bravo), shots on target 5.69 vs 5.14, attacking xG 1.79 vs 1.72 and conversion rate 11% (Mura) vs 15% (Bravo), which increases the likelihood of goals from both sides. Counterargument is Mura's poor recent form regarding BTTS: in the last 5 their BTTS is only 20%, scoring on average 1.0 and conceding 1.4, while Bravo in the same period has 60% BTTS, scores 1.8 and concedes 0.6. Season defensive numbers also favor goals — Mura conceded 44, Bravo 45, and clean sheets are only 23% and 14%; additionally the percentage of matches over 2.5 goals is 62% (Mura) and 71% (Bravo), the league averages 3.1 goals per match. Considering Bravo's 71% BTTS, Mura's 54% and the high xG and shot numbers, but factoring in Mura's weaker 20% BTTS in the last 5, I suggest selecting "BTTS - Yes" with a probability of 65% versus 35% for "No Goal".
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The combined goal potential points to a multi-goal match: Mura xG 1.79, Bravo xG 1.72, with xG against 1.68 (Mura) and 1.58 (Bravo), translating to projected 1.69 goals for the home side and 1.70 for the visitors (total 3.39). Seasonally both teams have a high share of Over 2.5 goals — Mura 62% and Bravo 71% (average 66.5%) — versus a league average of 63%, which strongly supports Over 2.5. Additionally, the BTTS rate is 54% for Mura and 71% for Bravo, and shots on target 5.69 vs 5.14 plus Bravo’s higher conversion (15% vs Mura 11%) increase the likelihood of goals from both sides. The risk is mitigated by Mura’s form (last 5 matches: 1.0 goal per game on average) and the fact that Over 3.5 occurs less frequently for Mura this season (31% vs Bravo 50%), so Over 3.5 is less certain despite the high xG. On this basis I pick Over 2.5 as the best line — it is the strongest signal based on xG=3.39, seasonal 66.5% Over 2.5 and a high share of BTTS matches.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Mura led at the break in 9 of 13 matches this season (69%), averaging 0.85 goals scored before half-time versus Bravo’s 0.64, giving the hosts a clear first-half advantage. At the same time Bravo are in excellent form — they have won 4 of their last 5 matches (80%) and had the lead at half-time in 4 of those 5 (80%), while averaging 1.36 goals in second halves compared to Mura’s 0.62. The second-half difference is pronounced: gd_2hg_away +9 versus gd_2hg_home -5 and points_2hg_away 23 vs points_2hg_home 13, which indicates strong Bravo performance after the break. For that reason the most reliable signal is the scenario of Mura leading at the break but Bravo winning the match — HT/FT 1/2 (26%), although 1/1 also has a significant likelihood (20%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mura | Bravo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bravo is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Mura · 2 pts / match - Bravo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bravo is 74% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Mura · 1.74 goals / match - Bravo
Mura scores in 52% of matches (14 of 27 matches), while Bravo keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 27 matches).
Bravo scores in 78% of matches (21 of 27 matches), while Mura keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mura
Over / Under - Bravo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bravo is 77% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.96 pts / match - Mura · 1.7 pts / match - Bravo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mura - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Bravo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 52% of matches and wins 44%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mura
Bravo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (PrvaLiga).
Teams vs league
| Mura | Liga | Bravo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.63 | 3.11 | ▲ 3.41 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 61% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 52% | 64% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 22% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 81% | 85% | • 85% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 80% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Mura 1 - 1 - 1 Bravo. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mura vs Bravo?
The PrvaLiga match finished Mura 1:2 Bravo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Mura and Bravo?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Mura won 1, Bravo won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Mura vs Bravo?
Mura score 1.00 goals per game on average and Bravo 1.74. The PrvaLiga average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Mura's matches and 63% of Bravo's.
What form are Mura and Bravo in?
Over the last 5 games Mura have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Bravo 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mura vs Bravo?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.