Mura vs Koper: match statistics
Mura vs Koper: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mura played Koper in PrvaLiga (Slovenia). The match was played on 3 May 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Mura: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Koper: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mura scores 0.97 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. Koper scores 2.16 and concedes 1.35. League average: 3.13 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mura 43%, Koper 71%. Over 2.5: Mura 53%, Koper 71%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Koper has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.44. Mura: 11.1 shots per match, Koper: 13.4.
Match halves
Mura: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.53. Koper: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 1.16.
Goals by minute
Mura: 76-90+ (8 goals). Koper: 31-45+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
PrvaLiga: 3.13 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 3.67, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The favorite in this match is Koper: the visitors have scored 67 goals this season versus Mura’s 29, and away they average 2.0 goals per game compared to Mura’s 1.2 at home. Form supports Koper’s edge — in the last 5 matches they have 4 wins and 1 draw (an average of 2.6 points per game), while Mura have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses (0.8 points per game). In terms of quality of play Koper also dominates: average away xG 1.72 versus Mura’s home xG 1.49, 5 shots on target per game vs 3.6 and a conversion rate 15% vs 10%; in the last 5 fixtures Koper scored 14 goals, Mura only 4. Mura do have some defensive strengths at home — they concede 1.2 goals on average at home and have 27% clean-sheet rate versus 1.6 conceded goals and 13% clean sheets for Koper away — however the disparity in efficiency and chance quality favors the visitors. Therefore I predict an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have a high BTTS rate this season: Mura 69% and Koper 73%, versus a league average BTTS of 60%, which strongly supports a Both Teams To Score scenario. Both sides generate a similar number of offensive opportunities — xG 1.73 for Mura vs 1.72 for Koper and on average 4.75 and 5.0 shots on target per match — so both have realistic scoring chances. Mura keeps a clean sheet in 25% of matches and concedes 1.13 goals per game on average, while Koper records a clean sheet in 13% and concedes 1.60 goals per game; that implies Mura concedes in about 75% of matches and Koper in about 87%. In the last 5 matches Koper scored 14 goals (2.8 per match) and had BTTS in 60% of games, whereas Mura scored 4 goals in 5 matches (0.8 per match) and had BTTS in 40% — this suggests Koper is most likely to score and Mura tends to concede. Considering the seasonal 69%/73% BTTS, high percentages of matches over 2.5 goals (75% Mura, 67% Koper) and comparable xG, I assess BTTS probability at 75% vs 25% and recommend the selection "BTTS - Yes".
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have a very high rate of matches over 1.5 goals: Mura 81% and Koper 93%, and the combined projected xG is around 3.20 (1.63 for Mura and 1.57 for Koper), which indicates a strong probability of at least two goals. Mura averages 13.56 shots and 4.75 on target, Koper 13.2 shots and 5.0 on target, with conversion rates of 17% and 15% — translating into realistic scoring chances from both sides. The share of matches in which both teams score is 69% for Mura and 73% for Koper, while the league averages 3.12 goals per game; therefore I assess Over 2.5 goals at 76% due to the frequent high-scoring outputs of both teams (Mura Over2.5 75%, Koper 67%). The 3.5 line is less predictable: Mura have 38% of matches with at least 4 goals, Koper 53%, and form shows a gap (last 5 matches: Mura 4 goals scored, Koper 14), so I give Over 3.5 a 42% probability. In summary, the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (est. 92%) — high Over1.5 rates for both teams, combined xG 3.20 and a high rate of both teams scoring provide a clear edge to the 'over' side at the 1.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Seasonal statistics favor Mura: the hosts won 75% of home matches and average 2.31 goals per game versus Koper’s 2.00, with Mura conceding 1.13 on average compared to Koper’s 1.60. Mura led at the break in 10 matches (63%) and average 1.06 goals by halftime while conceding only 0.25 by halftime, which strongly argues for an HT lead. However, in the last 5 matches Mura have only a 20% win rate and average 0.2 goals by halftime, whereas Koper have won 80% of their last 5 and averaged 1.4 halftime goals, so I lower the confidence of the prediction. xG is almost level (1.73 for Mura vs 1.72 for Koper), but Mura’s better finishing (shot conversion 17% vs 15%) and solid second-half metrics (30 points gained in second halves, averaging 1.88 pts/2H, 56% second-half wins) suggest Mura should hold the lead. For that reason the most likely scenario is 1/1 (40%), with alternatives X/1 (10%) and 2/2 (22%) accounting for Koper’s good form and the risk of a turnaround after the break.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mura | Koper | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.44 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Koper is 225% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Mura · 2.6 pts / match - Koper
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Koper is 123% better for: goals scored per match.
0.97 goals / match - Mura · 2.16 goals / match - Koper
Koper is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.67 goals / match - Mura · 1.35 goals / match - Koper
Mura scores in 53% of matches (16 of 30 matches), while Koper keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 31 matches).
Koper scores in 90% of matches (28 of 31 matches), while Mura keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mura
Over / Under - Koper
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Koper is 85% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.87 pts / match - Mura · 1.61 pts / match - Koper
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mura - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Koper - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mura
Koper
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (PrvaLiga).
Teams vs league
| Mura | Liga | Koper | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.63 | 3.13 | ▲ 3.52 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 59% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 53% | 65% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 22% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 83% | 86% | • 87% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 80% | ▲ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Mura 1 - 0 - 2 Koper. Average goals 3.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mura vs Koper?
The PrvaLiga match finished Mura 0:1 Koper. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Mura and Koper?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Mura won 1, Koper won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Mura vs Koper?
Mura score 0.97 goals per game on average and Koper 2.16. The PrvaLiga average is 3.13 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Mura's matches and 71% of Koper's.
What form are Mura and Koper in?
Over the last 5 games Mura have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Koper 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mura vs Koper?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.