Mura vs NK Primorje: match statistics
Mura seems to have the advantage in this match, even though both teams are going through a difficult period with identical form in the last 5 matches (0.6 PPG). The key factor is the dramatic difference in NK Primorje's away results – the visitors have not won any match on the road this season (0% Win%), conceding an average of 2.27 goals per match and recording a goal difference of -19. Mura performs significantly better at home with a 30% win rate and an average of 1.2 goals scored, with possession at the level of 47%. NK Primorje has an alarming rate of 55% matches without scoring a goal on the road, which, given the hosts' defensive issues (1.3 goals conceded on average), suggests a low-scoring affair. Expected xG values are close for both teams, however, the home field advantage and the visitors' dismal away streak speak for a Mura victory, although a draw cannot be ruled out given the current form of both teams.
Mura vs NK Primorje: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mura played NK Primorje in PrvaLiga (Slovenia). The match was played on 7 March 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Mura: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. NK Primorje: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mura scores 0.96 and concedes 1.74 goals per match. NK Primorje scores 1.04 and concedes 2.00. League average: 3.17 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mura 43%, NK Primorje 57%. Over 2.5: Mura 52%, NK Primorje 61%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
NK Primorje has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.37. Mura: 10.3 shots per match, NK Primorje: 10.4.
Match halves
Mura: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.48. NK Primorje: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
Mura: 76-90+ (6 goals). NK Primorje: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
PrvaLiga: 3.17 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Mura seems to have the advantage in this match, even though both teams are going through a difficult period with identical form in the last 5 matches (0.6 PPG). The key factor is the dramatic difference in NK Primorje's away results – the visitors have not won any match on the road this season (0% Win%), conceding an average of 2.27 goals per match and recording a goal difference of -19. Mura performs significantly better at home with a 30% win rate and an average of 1.2 goals scored, with possession at the level of 47%. NK Primorje has an alarming rate of 55% matches without scoring a goal on the road, which, given the hosts' defensive issues (1.3 goals conceded on average), suggests a low-scoring affair. Expected xG values are close for both teams, however, the home field advantage and the visitors' dismal away streak speak for a Mura victory, although a draw cannot be ruled out given the current form of both teams.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mura | NK Primorje | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
NK Primorje is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
0.96 goals / match - Mura · 1.04 goals / match - NK Primorje
Mura is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.74 goals / match - Mura · 2 goals / match - NK Primorje
Mura scores in 52% of matches (12 of 23 matches), while NK Primorje keeps a clean sheet in 9% (2 of 23 matches).
NK Primorje scores in 61% of matches (14 of 23 matches), while Mura keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mura
Over / Under - NK Primorje
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mura is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.91 pts / match - Mura · 0.83 pts / match - NK Primorje
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mura - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 17%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
NK Primorje - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mura
NK Primorje
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (PrvaLiga).
Teams vs league
| Mura | Liga | NK Primorje | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.70 | 3.17 | ▼ 3.04 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 61% | ▼ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 52% | 65% | ▼ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 21% | ▼ 9% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 83% | 86% | ▼ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 81% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Mura 0 - 1 - 1 NK Primorje. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mura vs NK Primorje?
The PrvaLiga match finished Mura 3:1 NK Primorje. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Mura and NK Primorje?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Mura won 0, NK Primorje won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Mura vs NK Primorje?
Mura score 0.96 goals per game on average and NK Primorje 1.04. The PrvaLiga average is 3.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Mura's matches and 57% of NK Primorje's.
What form are Mura and NK Primorje in?
Over the last 5 games Mura have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and NK Primorje 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mura vs NK Primorje?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.