Musanze vs Al Merreikh: match statistics
The match promises to be very evenly matched, justifying a prediction of a draw. Musanze presents solid home form with 50% wins and an average of 1.6 goals per match at home, however, Al Merreikh boasts an excellent away defense – 63% of matches without conceding a goal and just 0.38 goals conceded on average per match. Both teams have an identical goal difference (+4) in their respective contexts, and recent form speaks in favor of the visitors (2.2 points per match vs 1.8 for the hosts). Al Merreikh has a tendency to draw away (38%), which, combined with a solid defense and good disposition, suggests a split of points. Musanze, scoring regularly at home, might find a way to score, but breaking the visitors' defense will be a challenge, making a draw the most probable result.
Musanze vs Al Merreikh: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Musanze played Al Merreikh in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match was played on 13 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Musanze: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Al Merreikh: 0-5-0, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Musanze scores 1.42 and concedes 1.05 goals per match. Al Merreikh scores 1.12 and concedes 0.65. League average: 2.05 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Musanze 42%, Al Merreikh 41%. Over 2.5: Musanze 42%, Al Merreikh 24%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Al Merreikh has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.06. Musanze: 6.0 shots per match, Al Merreikh: 8.4.
Match halves
Musanze: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.63. Al Merreikh: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
Musanze: 76-90+ (9 goals). Al Merreikh: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National Soccer League: 2.05 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be very evenly matched, justifying a prediction of a draw. Musanze presents solid home form with 50% wins and an average of 1.6 goals per match at home, however, Al Merreikh boasts an excellent away defense – 63% of matches without conceding a goal and just 0.38 goals conceded on average per match. Both teams have an identical goal difference (+4) in their respective contexts, and recent form speaks in favor of the visitors (2.2 points per match vs 1.8 for the hosts). Al Merreikh has a tendency to draw away (38%), which, combined with a solid defense and good disposition, suggests a split of points. Musanze, scoring regularly at home, might find a way to score, but breaking the visitors' defense will be a challenge, making a draw the most probable result.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Musanze | Al Merreikh | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.59 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Musanze is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Musanze · 1 pts / match - Al Merreikh
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Musanze is 27% better for: goals scored per match.
1.42 goals / match - Musanze · 1.12 goals / match - Al Merreikh
Al Merreikh is 62% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.05 goals / match - Musanze · 0.65 goals / match - Al Merreikh
Musanze scores in 68% of matches (13 of 19 matches), while Al Merreikh keeps a clean sheet in 47% (8 of 17 matches).
Al Merreikh scores in 76% of matches (13 of 17 matches), while Musanze keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Musanze
Over / Under - Al Merreikh
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Musanze - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Al Merreikh - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Musanze
Al Merreikh
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Musanze | Liga | Al Merreikh | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.47 | 2.05 | ▼ 1.76 |
| Both teams scored | • 42% | 41% | • 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 42% | 34% | ▼ 24% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 32% | 36% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 68% | 64% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | • 68% | 68% | ▼ 59% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Al MerreikhGoalFady Sidiki Coulibaly
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Musanze 0 - 0 - 1 Al Merreikh. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Musanze vs Al Merreikh?
The National Soccer League match finished Musanze 1:1 Al Merreikh. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Musanze vs Al Merreikh?
Musanze score 1.42 goals per game on average and Al Merreikh 1.12. The National Soccer League average is 2.05 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Musanze's matches and 41% of Al Merreikh's.
What form are Musanze and Al Merreikh in?
Over the last 5 games Musanze have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Al Merreikh 0-5-0 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Musanze vs Al Merreikh?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Musanze vs Al Merreikh: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.