Musanze vs Gorilla: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Musanze played Gorilla in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match was played on 23 December 2025. Final score: 0:1.

Current form

Musanze: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Gorilla: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Musanze scores 1.38 and concedes 1.23 goals per match. Gorilla scores 0.64 and concedes 0.86. League average: 1.91 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Musanze 54%, Gorilla 36%. Over 2.5: Musanze 38%, Gorilla 21%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 30%.

xG, shots and style

Musanze has higher xG: 1.15 vs 0.84. Musanze: 6.6 shots per match, Gorilla: 4.5.

Match halves

Musanze: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.69. Gorilla: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.36.

Goals by minute

Musanze: 76-90+ (7 goals). Gorilla: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

National Soccer League: 1.91 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 30%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

62Possession (%)38
MusanzeGorilla
5Shots3
MusanzeGorilla
0Shots on target1
MusanzeGorilla
0.89xG0.63
MusanzeGorilla
7Corners1
MusanzeGorilla
76Dangerous attacks48
MusanzeGorilla
12Fouls16
MusanzeGorilla
0Cards0
MusanzeGorilla

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.38Goals scored / match0.64
MusanzeGorilla
1.23Goals conceded / match0.86
MusanzeGorilla
55%Average possession47%
MusanzeGorilla
2.62Shots on target / match1.71
MusanzeGorilla

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

6.62Shots per match4.5
MusanzeGorilla
2.62Shots on target1.71
MusanzeGorilla
20.9%Shot conversion14.3%
MusanzeGorilla
55%Possession47%
MusanzeGorilla
1.15xG for0.84
MusanzeGorilla
1.41xG against1.2
MusanzeGorilla

Shooting quality

Musanze: Efficient finishingGorilla: Counter-attacking
MusanzeGorilla
Accuracy (shots on target)40%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.170.19
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.530.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Gorilla is 25% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Musanze · 1 pts / match - Gorilla

Musanze
DLLWL
Season result split
38% W31% R31% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-4-4
1.46 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-2-1
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
DWWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.05Opponent xG: 1.61BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Gorilla
WDDLL
Season result split
21% W43% R36% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-6-5
1.07 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-3-1
Last 5 away
1-3-1
DDLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 0.83Opponent xG: 1.25BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Musanze is 116% better for: goals scored per match.

1.38 goals / match - Musanze · 0.64 goals / match - Gorilla

Gorilla is 43% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.23 goals / match - Musanze · 0.86 goals / match - Gorilla

Musanze scoring profile: strong

Musanze scores in 77% of matches (10 of 13 matches), while Gorilla keeps a clean sheet in 36% (5 of 14 matches).

Gorilla scoring profile: mixed

Gorilla scores in 50% of matches (7 of 14 matches), while Musanze keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 matches).

18Goals scored (season)9
MusanzeGorilla
16Goals conceded (season)12
MusanzeGorilla
2.62Average goals in match1.5
MusanzeGorilla
7Goals scored (last 5)3
MusanzeGorilla
9Goals conceded (last 5)6
MusanzeGorilla

How often they score at least...

77%1 goal50%
MusanzeGorilla
38%2 goals14%
MusanzeGorilla
23%3 goals0%
MusanzeGorilla
0%4 goals0%
MusanzeGorilla

How often they concede at least...

69%1 goal64%
MusanzeGorilla
38%2 goals14%
MusanzeGorilla
15%3 goals7%
MusanzeGorilla
0%4 goals0%
MusanzeGorilla

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

8%BTTS at half-time14%
MusanzeGorilla
8%BTTS in both halves0%
MusanzeGorilla
15%Scored in both halves0%
MusanzeGorilla

BTTS and goal count

31%Min. 3 goals and BTTS14%
MusanzeGorilla
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS7%
MusanzeGorilla
60%BTTS - last 540%
MusanzeGorilla

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

62%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
MusanzeGorilla
46%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
MusanzeGorilla
23%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
MusanzeGorilla

2nd half

77%Min. 1 goal after half-time57%
MusanzeGorilla
46%Min. 2 goals after half-time14%
MusanzeGorilla
8%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
MusanzeGorilla

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Musanze is 52% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.31 pts / match - Musanze · 0.86 pts / match - Gorilla

Musanze - half-time state
31% leading38% draw31% trailing
Gorilla - half-time state
7% leading64% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.31Points per match (1st half)0.86
MusanzeGorilla
0.69Goals scored (1st half)0.29
MusanzeGorilla
0.62Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
MusanzeGorilla
1.31Average goals (1st half)0.79
MusanzeGorilla
62%Clean sheet before half-time57%
MusanzeGorilla
69%No goal before half-time79%
MusanzeGorilla

After half-time (2nd half)

1.62Points per match (2nd half)1.14
MusanzeGorilla
0.69Goals scored (2nd half)0.36
MusanzeGorilla
0.62Goals conceded (2nd half)0.36
MusanzeGorilla
1.31Average goals (2nd half)0.71
MusanzeGorilla
62%Clean sheet after half-time64%
MusanzeGorilla
38%No goal after half-time71%
MusanzeGorilla

Musanze - second-half results

38% W46% R15% P
17
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.31
PPG before half-time
Lead holding123%

Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Gorilla - second-half results

21% W50% R29% P
12
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.86
PPG before half-time
Lead holding300%

Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Musanze - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.202.00
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match1.20.6
Average goals in match2.01.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals80%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-20
Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4
Gorilla - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.00
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match0.80.4
Average goals in match1.20.6
1 goal60%60%
2 goals60%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-2-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Musanze
ScoredConceded
4
1
0-15
1
4
16-30
4
3
31-45
0
0
46-60
2
4
61-75
7
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Gorilla
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
2
3
16-30
1
4
31-45
0
0
46-60
2
3
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.05
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
108%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
45%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
39%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Musanze

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.26
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.41
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.23
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
142%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
131%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.66
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
39% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 22% come in the first quarter-hour.
39%

Gorilla

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.36
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.34
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
68%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
89%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).

Teams vs league

MusanzeLigaGorilla
Average goals in match 2.621.91 1.50
Both teams scored 54%40% 36%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 38%30% 21%
Clean sheets 31%37% 36%
Goal before half-time 62%59% 50%
Goal after half-time 77%67% 57%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.91
Average goals per match
40%
Both teams scored
30%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
37%
Clean sheets
0.97
Home goals / match
0.94
Away goals / match
+3%
Home attack advantage
+3%
Home defence advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
26%
2 goals
5%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of Musanze vs Gorilla?

The National Soccer League match finished Musanze 0:1 Gorilla. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Musanze vs Gorilla?

Musanze score 1.38 goals per game on average and Gorilla 0.64. The National Soccer League average is 1.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 30% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Musanze's matches and 36% of Gorilla's.

What form are Musanze and Gorilla in?

Over the last 5 games Musanze have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Gorilla 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Musanze vs Gorilla?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.