Musanze vs Marines: match statistics
Musanze presents solid form at their own stadium with a 44% win rate in home matches and a +2 goal difference. The hosts score an average of 1.44 goals per match at home with 60% ball possession, indicating game control. Marines struggle with away efficiency – only 38% wins and as many as 63% losses on the road, with 38% of matches ending without them scoring. Although the guests have a higher average xG (1.49 vs 1.16), their poor away form (4 losses in the last 5 away matches) weighs against them. Musanze's advantage in possession and the home field asset give the hosts a real chance of victory, though Marines may put up resistance based on their defense (0.88 goals conceded per match away).
Musanze vs Marines: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Musanze played Marines in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match was played on 11 January 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Musanze: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Marines: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Musanze scores 1.31 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Marines scores 1.13 and concedes 0.81. League average: 1.98 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Musanze 44%, Marines 31%. Over 2.5: Musanze 38%, Marines 31%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 32%.
xG, shots and style
Marines has higher xG: 1.26 vs 1.11. Musanze: 6.4 shots per match, Marines: 8.0.
Match halves
Musanze: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.56. Marines: half-time lead 56%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Musanze: 76-90+ (7 goals). Marines: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National Soccer League: 1.98 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 32%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Musanze presents solid form at their own stadium with a 44% win rate in home matches and a +2 goal difference. The hosts score an average of 1.44 goals per match at home with 60% ball possession, indicating game control. Marines struggle with away efficiency – only 38% wins and as many as 63% losses on the road, with 38% of matches ending without them scoring. Although the guests have a higher average xG (1.49 vs 1.16), their poor away form (4 losses in the last 5 away matches) weighs against them. Musanze's advantage in possession and the home field asset give the hosts a real chance of victory, though Marines may put up resistance based on their defense (0.88 goals conceded per match away).
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Musanze | Marines | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.52 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Marines is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Musanze · 1.4 pts / match - Marines
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Musanze is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
1.31 goals / match - Musanze · 1.13 goals / match - Marines
Marines is 40% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - Musanze · 0.81 goals / match - Marines
Musanze scores in 69% of matches (11 of 16 matches), while Marines keeps a clean sheet in 44% (7 of 16 matches).
Marines scores in 75% of matches (12 of 16 matches), while Musanze keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Musanze
Over / Under - Marines
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Marines is 48% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.31 pts / match - Musanze · 1.94 pts / match - Marines
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Musanze - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Marines - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 56% of matches and wins 50%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +6 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Musanze
Marines
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Musanze | Liga | Marines | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.44 | 1.98 | • 1.94 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 44% | 40% | ▼ 31% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 38% | 32% | • 31% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 31% | 37% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 63% | 61% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 69% | 67% | ▲ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Musanze vs Marines?
The National Soccer League match finished Musanze 3:1 Marines. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Musanze vs Marines?
Musanze score 1.31 goals per game on average and Marines 1.13. The National Soccer League average is 1.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 32% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Musanze's matches and 31% of Marines's.
What form are Musanze and Marines in?
Over the last 5 games Musanze have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Marines 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Musanze vs Marines?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.