Musanze vs Mukura: match statistics
Musanze demonstrates solid home form with 42% of matches won at their own ground and a goal difference of +4. The hosts average 1.5 goals per home match, and with failure to score in only 17% of games, this attests to their offensive effectiveness. Mukura achieves only 25% victories in away matches, holds a negative goal difference of -3, and has a clearly lower scoring average (0.92 per match). The recent form of both teams is comparable (1.6 vs 1.4 points per match); however, Musanze's home advantage, higher possession stats (56% vs 49%), and shot efficiency (22% vs 13%) favor the hosts. Mukura's high percentage of away draws (42%) suggests the visitors can offer resistance, making a draw a realistic scenario as well.
Musanze vs Mukura: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Musanze played Mukura in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match was played on 7 March 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Musanze: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Mukura: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Musanze scores 1.41 and concedes 1.05 goals per match. Mukura scores 1.09 and concedes 0.95. League average: 2.08 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Musanze 50%, Mukura 55%. Over 2.5: Musanze 41%, Mukura 27%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Musanze has higher xG: 1.08 vs 1.07. Musanze: 6.4 shots per match, Mukura: 5.9.
Match halves
Musanze: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.68. Mukura: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.59.
Goals by minute
Musanze: 76-90+ (10 goals). Mukura: 61-75 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National Soccer League: 2.08 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Musanze demonstrates solid home form with 42% of matches won at their own ground and a goal difference of +4. The hosts average 1.5 goals per home match, and with failure to score in only 17% of games, this attests to their offensive effectiveness. Mukura achieves only 25% victories in away matches, holds a negative goal difference of -3, and has a clearly lower scoring average (0.92 per match). The recent form of both teams is comparable (1.6 vs 1.4 points per match); however, Musanze's home advantage, higher possession stats (56% vs 49%), and shot efficiency (22% vs 13%) favor the hosts. Mukura's high percentage of away draws (42%) suggests the visitors can offer resistance, making a draw a realistic scenario as well.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Musanze | Mukura | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.59 | 0.55 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Musanze is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Musanze · 1.4 pts / match - Mukura
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Musanze is 29% better for: goals scored per match.
1.41 goals / match - Musanze · 1.09 goals / match - Mukura
Mukura is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.05 goals / match - Musanze · 0.95 goals / match - Mukura
Musanze scores in 73% of matches (16 of 22 matches), while Mukura keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 matches).
Mukura scores in 82% of matches (18 of 22 matches), while Musanze keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Musanze
Over / Under - Mukura
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Musanze - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mukura - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Musanze
Mukura
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Musanze | Liga | Mukura | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.45 | 2.08 | • 2.05 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 45% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 41% | 34% | ▼ 27% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 34% | ▼ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 68% | 63% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 73% | 69% | • 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Musanze 0 - 0 - 1 Mukura. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Musanze vs Mukura?
The National Soccer League match finished Musanze 0:1 Mukura. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Musanze vs Mukura?
Musanze score 1.41 goals per game on average and Mukura 1.09. The National Soccer League average is 2.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Musanze's matches and 55% of Mukura's.
What form are Musanze and Mukura in?
Over the last 5 games Musanze have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Mukura 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Musanze vs Mukura?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Musanze vs Mukura: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.