Musanze vs Rayon Sports: match statistics
Musanze presents solid home form with a 45% win rate at their own stadium and an impressive +4 goal difference in home matches. The hosts have earned 2.0 points per match in their last five encounters, winning three of them, which proves good form. Rayon Sports, despite a higher position in the table, holds a negative goal difference (-2) away and just a 42% win rate in away matches. Musanze boasts a better average of goals scored in home matches (1.55) than Rayon Sports does away (1.17), as well as better shot conversion (24% vs 15%). Given the hosts' advantage on home turf and the guests' weaker statistics in away matches, I predict a victory for Musanze, although Rayon Sports' form in the last five matches (2.2 PPG) keeps a draw as a realistic scenario.
Musanze vs Rayon Sports: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Musanze played Rayon Sports in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Musanze: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Rayon Sports: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Musanze scores 1.43 and concedes 1.05 goals per match. Rayon Sports scores 1.24 and concedes 1.10. League average: 2.05 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Musanze 48%, Rayon Sports 48%. Over 2.5: Musanze 43%, Rayon Sports 38%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Rayon Sports has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.06. Musanze: 6.1 shots per match, Rayon Sports: 8.4.
Match halves
Musanze: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67. Rayon Sports: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.57.
Goals by minute
Musanze: 76-90+ (10 goals). Rayon Sports: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National Soccer League: 2.05 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Musanze presents solid home form with a 45% win rate at their own stadium and an impressive +4 goal difference in home matches. The hosts have earned 2.0 points per match in their last five encounters, winning three of them, which proves good form. Rayon Sports, despite a higher position in the table, holds a negative goal difference (-2) away and just a 42% win rate in away matches. Musanze boasts a better average of goals scored in home matches (1.55) than Rayon Sports does away (1.17), as well as better shot conversion (24% vs 15%). Given the hosts' advantage on home turf and the guests' weaker statistics in away matches, I predict a victory for Musanze, although Rayon Sports' form in the last five matches (2.2 PPG) keeps a draw as a realistic scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Musanze | Rayon Sports | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.59 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rayon Sports is 10% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Musanze · 2.2 pts / match - Rayon Sports
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Musanze is 15% better for: goals scored per match.
1.43 goals / match - Musanze · 1.24 goals / match - Rayon Sports
Musanze is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.05 goals / match - Musanze · 1.1 goals / match - Rayon Sports
Musanze scores in 71% of matches (15 of 21 matches), while Rayon Sports keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 matches).
Rayon Sports scores in 81% of matches (17 of 21 matches), while Musanze keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Musanze
Over / Under - Rayon Sports
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Musanze - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Rayon Sports - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Musanze
Rayon Sports
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Musanze | Liga | Rayon Sports | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.48 | 2.05 | ▲ 2.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 48% | 45% | ▲ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 43% | 34% | ▲ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 29% | 34% | • 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 63% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | • 71% | 70% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Musanze 0 - 0 - 1 Rayon Sports. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Musanze vs Rayon Sports?
The National Soccer League match finished Musanze 1:1 Rayon Sports. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Musanze vs Rayon Sports?
Musanze score 1.43 goals per game on average and Rayon Sports 1.24. The National Soccer League average is 2.05 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Musanze's matches and 48% of Rayon Sports's.
What form are Musanze and Rayon Sports in?
Over the last 5 games Musanze have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Rayon Sports 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Musanze vs Rayon Sports?
The statistical background for Musanze vs Rayon Sports — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.