MVV vs Almere City: match statistics
Almere City clearly outperforms MVV in terms of form and offensive quality. The hosts occupy the last, 19th position in the table with only 36% home wins and a high average of conceded goals (1.73 per match). MVV has a negative goal difference (-2) in home matches and only 18% clean sheets. Almere City, despite playing away, displays significantly better offensive efficiency with an average of 1.82 goals per away match and 6.09 shots on target. The visitors have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 12 goals, which indicates good scoring form. The difference in expected goals (xG) also favors Almere City (1.76 vs 1.3). Despite the visitors having 55% away losses, their offensive potential and MVV's defensive weakness make Almere City's victory the most likely scenario.
MVV vs Almere City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
MVV played Almere City in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 2 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
MVV: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Almere City: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
MVV scores 1.21 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Almere City scores 2.17 and concedes 1.67. League average: 3.33 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: MVV 50%, Almere City 63%. Over 2.5: MVV 67%, Almere City 75%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Almere City has higher xG: 1.95 vs 1.32. MVV: 11.5 shots per match, Almere City: 17.8.
Match halves
MVV: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.71. Almere City: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.21.
Goals by minute
MVV: 76-90+ (8 goals). Almere City: 76-90+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eerste Divisie: 3.33 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Almere City clearly outperforms MVV in terms of form and offensive quality. The hosts occupy the last, 19th position in the table with only 36% home wins and a high average of conceded goals (1.73 per match). MVV has a negative goal difference (-2) in home matches and only 18% clean sheets. Almere City, despite playing away, displays significantly better offensive efficiency with an average of 1.82 goals per away match and 6.09 shots on target. The visitors have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 12 goals, which indicates good scoring form. The difference in expected goals (xG) also favors Almere City (1.76 vs 1.3). Despite the visitors having 55% away losses, their offensive potential and MVV's defensive weakness make Almere City's victory the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| MVV | Almere City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Almere City is 71% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - MVV · 2.4 pts / match - Almere City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Almere City is 79% better for: goals scored per match.
1.21 goals / match - MVV · 2.17 goals / match - Almere City
Almere City is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - MVV · 1.67 goals / match - Almere City
MVV scores in 58% of matches (14 of 24 matches), while Almere City keeps a clean sheet in 25% (6 of 24 matches).
Almere City scores in 88% of matches (21 of 24 matches), while MVV keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - MVV
Over / Under - Almere City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Almere City is 86% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.83 pts / match - MVV · 1.54 pts / match - Almere City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
MVV - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Almere City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
MVV
Almere City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).
Teams vs league
| MVV | Liga | Almere City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.21 | 3.33 | ▲ 3.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 63% | • 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 67% | 66% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 21% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 75% | 79% | ▼ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 83% | 85% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: MVV 0 - 0 - 1 Almere City. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of MVV vs Almere City?
The Eerste Divisie match finished MVV 1:1 Almere City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before MVV vs Almere City?
MVV score 1.21 goals per game on average and Almere City 2.17. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.33 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 50% of MVV's matches and 63% of Almere City's.
What form are MVV and Almere City in?
Over the last 5 games MVV have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Almere City 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for MVV vs Almere City?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.