MVV vs De Graafschap: match statistics
De Graafschap presents definitely better form and occupies the 3rd place in the table, while MVV sits in the 18th position. The visitors have an impressive record of 14 victories this season and an excellent series in the last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses) with 8 goals scored and only 2 conceded. MVV, on the other hand, is performing very poorly, with a goal difference of -23 overall in the season and merely 1 win in the last 5 meetings. De Graafschap has a 50% win rate in away matches as well as significantly better offensive statistics (6.29 shots on target per match vs 3.15 for the hosts) and an advantage in possession (53% vs 44%). The difference in class and current form speaks decisively in favor of the visitors, who should claim the full three points in this clash.
MVV vs De Graafschap: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
MVV played De Graafschap in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 27 February 2026. Final score: 3:3.
Current form
MVV: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. De Graafschap: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
MVV scores 1.14 and concedes 1.96 goals per match. De Graafschap scores 1.86 and concedes 1.46. League average: 3.24 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: MVV 50%, De Graafschap 71%. Over 2.5: MVV 64%, De Graafschap 61%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
De Graafschap has higher xG: 2.04 vs 1.28. MVV: 11.2 shots per match, De Graafschap: 18.0.
Match halves
MVV: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.64. De Graafschap: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.93.
Goals by minute
MVV: 76-90+ (8 goals). De Graafschap: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eerste Divisie: 3.24 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
De Graafschap presents definitely better form and occupies the 3rd place in the table, while MVV sits in the 18th position. The visitors have an impressive record of 14 victories this season and an excellent series in the last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses) with 8 goals scored and only 2 conceded. MVV, on the other hand, is performing very poorly, with a goal difference of -23 overall in the season and merely 1 win in the last 5 meetings. De Graafschap has a 50% win rate in away matches as well as significantly better offensive statistics (6.29 shots on target per match vs 3.15 for the hosts) and an advantage in possession (53% vs 44%). The difference in class and current form speaks decisively in favor of the visitors, who should claim the full three points in this clash.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| MVV | De Graafschap | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
De Graafschap is 175% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - MVV · 2.2 pts / match - De Graafschap
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
De Graafschap is 63% better for: goals scored per match.
1.14 goals / match - MVV · 1.86 goals / match - De Graafschap
De Graafschap is 34% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.96 goals / match - MVV · 1.46 goals / match - De Graafschap
MVV scores in 57% of matches (16 of 28 matches), while De Graafschap keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 28 matches).
De Graafschap scores in 82% of matches (23 of 28 matches), while MVV keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - MVV
Over / Under - De Graafschap
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
De Graafschap is 89% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.89 pts / match - MVV · 1.68 pts / match - De Graafschap
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
MVV - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
De Graafschap - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
MVV
De Graafschap
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).
Teams vs league
| MVV | Liga | De Graafschap | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.11 | 3.24 | • 3.32 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 62% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 64% | 65% | ▼ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 21% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 75% | 77% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | • 86% | 86% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: MVV 1 - 0 - 0 De Graafschap. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of MVV vs De Graafschap?
The Eerste Divisie match finished MVV 3:3 De Graafschap. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before MVV vs De Graafschap?
MVV score 1.14 goals per game on average and De Graafschap 1.86. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 50% of MVV's matches and 71% of De Graafschap's.
What form are MVV and De Graafschap in?
Over the last 5 games MVV have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and De Graafschap 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for MVV vs De Graafschap?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.