MVV vs Helmond Sport: match statistics
MVV vs Helmond Sport: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
MVV play Helmond Sport in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match date is 10 April 2026 at 20:00. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
MVV: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Helmond Sport: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
MVV scores 1.08 and concedes 1.92 goals per match. Helmond Sport scores 1.11 and concedes 1.63. League average: 3.19 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: MVV 53%, Helmond Sport 53%. Over 2.5: MVV 61%, Helmond Sport 53%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Helmond Sport has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.27. MVV: 11.2 shots per match, Helmond Sport: 11.7.
Match halves
MVV: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.63. Helmond Sport: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.58.
Goals by minute
MVV: 76-90+ (9 goals). Helmond Sport: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eerste Divisie: 3.19 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I predict an MVV win: the hosts average 1.53 goals per home match compared to just 0.65 goals scored by Helmond Sport away. MVV averages 12.59 shots per game with 12% conversion and 3.41 shots on target, while Helmond records 11.35 shots with only 6% conversion and 3.18 on target, translating to roughly half the attacking efficiency of the visitors. xG for both teams is similar (1.35 for MVV at home vs 1.26 for Helmond away), so higher finishing efficiency and a lower share of shutouts for the hosts (24% vs 47% for Helmond) will be decisive. Defensively both sides are vulnerable — they concede on average 1.94 goals per match, and MVV has allowed 12 goals in the last 5 home games (2.4 per game); over the last 5 matches MVV earns 0.8 points per game while Helmond only 0.4, confirming the visitors’ poorer form. Considering the attacking efficiency advantage (1.53 vs 0.65), better home win rate (35% vs Helmond’s 12% away wins) and goal difference (-7 vs -22), I estimate probabilities of about 60% for MVV, 25% for a draw and 15% for Helmond.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| MVV | Helmond Sport | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Helmond Sport is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - MVV · 1 pts / match - Helmond Sport
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Helmond Sport is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.92 goals / match - MVV · 1.63 goals / match - Helmond Sport
MVV scores in 58% of matches (22 of 38 matches), while Helmond Sport keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 38 matches).
Helmond Sport scores in 68% of matches (26 of 38 matches), while MVV keeps a clean sheet in 16% (6 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — MVV
Over / Under — Helmond Sport
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Helmond Sport is 51% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.82 pts / match - MVV · 1.24 pts / match - Helmond Sport
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
MVV - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Helmond Sport - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
MVV
Helmond Sport
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).
Teams vs league
| MVV | Liga | Helmond Sport | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.00 | 3.19 | ▼ 2.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 53% | 61% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 61% | 63% | ▼ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 21% | ▲ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 77% | ▼ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 82% | 86% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: MVV 1 - 0 - 0 Helmond Sport. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of MVV vs Helmond Sport?
The Eerste Divisie match finished MVV 0:0 Helmond Sport. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before MVV vs Helmond Sport?
MVV score 1.08 goals per game on average and Helmond Sport 1.11. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 53% of MVV's matches and 53% of Helmond Sport's.
What form are MVV and Helmond Sport in?
Over the last 5 games MVV have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Helmond Sport 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for MVV vs Helmond Sport?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for MVV vs Helmond Sport: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.