MVV vs Heracles: match statistics
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MVV vs Heracles: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
MVV play Heracles in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: De Geusselt.
Current form
MVV: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Heracles: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
MVV scores 1.30 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Heracles scores 3.10 and concedes 1.20. League average: 3.52 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: MVV 60%, Heracles 60%. Over 2.5: MVV 60%, Heracles 80%. League level: BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Heracles has higher xG: 2.47 vs 1.18. MVV: 9.7 shots per match, Heracles: 22.3.
Match halves
MVV: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.80. Heracles: half-time lead 70%, second-half goals 1.50.
Goals by minute
MVV: 76-90+ (4 goals). Heracles: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eerste Divisie: 3.52 goals per match, BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| MVV | Heracles | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.45 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Heracles is 233% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - MVV · 2 pts / match - Heracles
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Heracles is 138% better for: goals scored per match.
1.3 goals / match - MVV · 3.1 goals / match - Heracles
Heracles is 67% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - MVV · 1.2 goals / match - Heracles
MVV scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Heracles keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 matches).
Heracles scores in 90% of matches (9 of 10 matches), while MVV keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - MVV
Over / Under - Heracles
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Heracles is 92% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / match - MVV · 2.3 pts / match - Heracles
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
MVV - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Heracles - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 70% of matches and wins 80%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
MVV
Heracles
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).
Teams vs league
| MVV | Liga | Heracles | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.30 | 3.52 | ▲ 4.30 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 60% | 66% | ▼ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 60% | 66% | ▲ 80% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 20% | 18% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 81% | • 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 84% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
When do MVV and Heracles play?
MVV face Heracles on 18 October 2026 in Eerste Divisie at De Geusselt. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before MVV vs Heracles?
MVV score 1.30 goals per game on average and Heracles 3.10. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 60% of MVV's matches and 60% of Heracles's.
What form are MVV and Heracles in?
Over the last 5 games MVV have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Heracles 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for MVV vs Heracles?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for MVV vs Heracles: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.