MVV vs Oss: match statistics
MVV vs Oss: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
MVV played Oss in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 24 April 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
MVV: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Oss: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
MVV scores 1.11 and concedes 1.92 goals per match. Oss scores 1.41 and concedes 1.73. League average: 3.21 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: MVV 54%, Oss 68%. Over 2.5: MVV 62%, Oss 62%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Oss has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.27. MVV: 11.2 shots per match, Oss: 11.9.
Match halves
MVV: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.65. Oss: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.89.
Goals by minute
MVV: 76-90+ (9 goals). Oss: 46-60 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eerste Divisie: 3.21 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I forecast an away win (2). Oss has won 4 of its last 5 matches and scored 13 goals in that span, averaging 2.4 points per match, while MVV has failed to win any of their last 5 and has scored only 2 goals, averaging 0.4 points per match. MVV’s defense is vulnerable — at home they concede 1.83 goals per match on average and have 71 goals conceded this season, whereas Oss concedes 1.67 goals on the road (64 conceded this season). In terms of chance quality xG is almost even (MVV 1.32 at home vs Oss 1.33 away), but Oss has been more clinical recently and holds a superior season goal difference (52 scored vs 41 for MVV). Additionally, the visitors average 3.61 on-target shots away compared to 3.28 for MVV at home, which reinforces the Oss win prediction.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have high season BTTS rates: MVV 68% and Oss 67%, versus a league average of 62%, favoring a BTTS scenario. MVV averages 1.63 goals scored and 1.79 conceded per match (41 scored, 71 conceded this season), while Oss averages 1.17 scored and 1.67 conceded (52 scored, 64 conceded); attacking xG is 1.44 vs 1.33 and xG against is 1.88 vs 2.15, indicating chance creation and vulnerability to goals on both sides. In the last 5 matches Oss has 100% BTTS and scores 2.6 goals on average, whereas MVV has 40% BTTS, scores 0.4 and concedes 2.0 on average — the visitors have been scoring regularly while the hosts often concede. Clean sheets are rare (16% for MVV and 17% for Oss), and average shots and shots on target are 12.68 and 11.17, with 3.84 and 3.61 on target, which further supports goals from both sides; therefore recommendation: BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG and defensive model projects a total expected goals of 3.41 (MVV 1.80 vs Oss 1.61), indicating a higher-scoring game. Calculations are based on xG: MVV has xG_for 1.44 while Oss opponents generate xG_against 2.15 (hence 1.80 for the home side), and Oss has xG_for 1.33 while MVV opponents record xG_against 1.88 (hence 1.61 for the away side). Season metrics confirm the trend: MVV records over 1.5 in 95% of matches and Over 2.5 in 84%, Oss posts over 1.5 in 78% and Over 2.5 in 39%, while BTTS is 68% (MVV) vs 67% (Oss); the league average is 3.21 goals/match. Additionally, in the last 5 matches Oss scored 13 goals (2.6 per match), whereas MVV managed only 2 goals in the last 5 (0.4 per match) and concedes on average 2.0, which increases goal probability. As a result the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (approx. 86% chance), Over 2.5 also looks favorable (~66%), while Over 3.5 is less certain (~44%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back X/2 (draw at half-time, away win). Oss is in far better form — in the last 5 matches they have an 80% win rate (4 of 5) and score an average of 2.6 goals per game, while MVV have 0% wins in their last 5 and average only 0.4 goals per match. A draw at the break is likely: Oss were level at half-time in 61% of their games, and MVV were level at half-time in 60% of their last 5 matches. After the break the visitors accelerate — in their last 5 Oss score an average of 2.4 goals after half-time and in all 5 matches there was at least one second-half goal (100%), whereas MVV score only 0.2 after the break; similar xG of 1.44 versus 1.33 indicates comparable chance creation, but based on post-half form and finishing I prefer the Half-Time draw followed by an Oss turnaround to win.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| MVV | Oss | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Oss is 500% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - MVV · 2.4 pts / match - Oss
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Oss is 27% better for: goals scored per match.
1.11 goals / match - MVV · 1.41 goals / match - Oss
Oss is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.92 goals / match - MVV · 1.73 goals / match - Oss
MVV scores in 59% of matches (22 of 37 matches), while Oss keeps a clean sheet in 16% (6 of 37 matches).
Oss scores in 76% of matches (28 of 37 matches), while MVV keeps a clean sheet in 16% (6 of 37 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - MVV
Over / Under - Oss
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Oss is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.81 pts / match - MVV · 1.14 pts / match - Oss
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
MVV - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Oss - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 2.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 3.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +8 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
MVV
Oss
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).
Teams vs league
| MVV | Liga | Oss | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.03 | 3.21 | • 3.14 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 54% | 62% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 62% | 64% | ▼ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 21% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 73% | 77% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 81% | 85% | • 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: MVV 0 - 0 - 1 Oss. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of MVV vs Oss?
The Eerste Divisie match finished MVV 0:2 Oss. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before MVV vs Oss?
MVV score 1.11 goals per game on average and Oss 1.41. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 54% of MVV's matches and 68% of Oss's.
What form are MVV and Oss in?
Over the last 5 games MVV have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Oss 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for MVV vs Oss?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for MVV vs Oss: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.