MVV vs PSV II: match statistics
PSV II presents clearly better form and offensive statistics. The visitors have scored 14 goals in their last 5 matches and won 3 of them, while MVV has scored only 5 goals and secured just 1 victory. PSV II has significantly better shooting accuracy (6.58 shots on target per match vs 3.17 for MVV) and a higher average possession (50% vs 45%). MVV sits only in 16th place in the table with a negative goal difference at home (-2), and their home form is poor (42% losses). Despite being 3rd in the league, PSV II has defensive issues on the road (2.42 goals conceded on average), which could lead to an open match, but their offensive advantage (2.08 goals scored on average) should tip the scales in their favor. Taking all parameters into account, a victory for the visitors is the most likely scenario.
MVV vs PSV II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
MVV played PSV II in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 6 February 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
MVV: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. PSV II: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
MVV scores 1.20 and concedes 1.96 goals per match. PSV II scores 2.13 and concedes 1.92. League average: 3.32 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: MVV 52%, PSV II 71%. Over 2.5: MVV 64%, PSV II 83%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
PSV II has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.31. MVV: 11.4 shots per match, PSV II: 15.0.
Match halves
MVV: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.68. PSV II: half-time lead 63%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
MVV: 76-90+ (8 goals). PSV II: 46-60 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eerste Divisie: 3.32 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
PSV II presents clearly better form and offensive statistics. The visitors have scored 14 goals in their last 5 matches and won 3 of them, while MVV has scored only 5 goals and secured just 1 victory. PSV II has significantly better shooting accuracy (6.58 shots on target per match vs 3.17 for MVV) and a higher average possession (50% vs 45%). MVV sits only in 16th place in the table with a negative goal difference at home (-2), and their home form is poor (42% losses). Despite being 3rd in the league, PSV II has defensive issues on the road (2.42 goals conceded on average), which could lead to an open match, but their offensive advantage (2.08 goals scored on average) should tip the scales in their favor. Taking all parameters into account, a victory for the visitors is the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| MVV | PSV II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
PSV II is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - MVV · 1.8 pts / match - PSV II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
PSV II is 77% better for: goals scored per match.
1.2 goals / match - MVV · 2.13 goals / match - PSV II
MVV scores in 60% of matches (15 of 25 matches), while PSV II keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 24 matches).
PSV II scores in 88% of matches (21 of 24 matches), while MVV keeps a clean sheet in 16% (4 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - MVV
Over / Under - PSV II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
PSV II is 117% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.92 pts / match - MVV · 2 pts / match - PSV II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
MVV - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
PSV II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 63% of matches and wins 50%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +6 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
MVV
PSV II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).
Teams vs league
| MVV | Liga | PSV II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.16 | 3.32 | ▲ 4.04 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 52% | 64% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 64% | 66% | ▲ 83% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 20% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 76% | 78% | ▲ 92% |
| Goal after half-time | • 84% | 85% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: MVV 0 - 1 - 0 PSV II. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of MVV vs PSV II?
The Eerste Divisie match finished MVV 2:1 PSV II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before MVV vs PSV II?
MVV score 1.20 goals per game on average and PSV II 2.13. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.32 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 52% of MVV's matches and 71% of PSV II's.
What form are MVV and PSV II in?
Over the last 5 games MVV have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and PSV II 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for MVV vs PSV II?
The statistical background for MVV vs PSV II — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.