Netherlands - Eerste DivisieDe GeusseltData current as of 02 September 2026

MVV vs Roda JC: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

MVV vs Roda JC: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

MVV play Roda JC in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match date is 6 September 2026. Venue: De Geusselt.

Current form

MVV: 4-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Roda JC: 2-1-1, 1.75 points/match.

Goal statistics

MVV scores 2.00 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Roda JC scores 1.25 and concedes 1.00. League average: 3.79 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: MVV 75%, Roda JC 50%. Over 2.5: MVV 75%, Roda JC 50%. League level: BTTS 79%, Over 2.5 74%.

xG, shots and style

Roda JC has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.31. MVV: 10.3 shots per match, Roda JC: 12.3.

Match halves

MVV: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.25. Roda JC: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.50.

Goals by minute

MVV: 31-45+ (2 goals). Roda JC: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Eerste Divisie: 3.79 goals per match, BTTS 79%, Over 2.5 74%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(3.27)
(3.40)
(2.11)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2Goals scored / match1.25
MVVRoda JC
1Goals conceded / match1
MVVRoda JC
50%Average possession50%
MVVRoda JC
4.5Shots on target / match6
MVVRoda JC

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.25Shots per match12.25
MVVRoda JC
4.5Shots on target6
MVVRoda JC
19.5%Shot conversion10.2%
MVVRoda JC
50%Possession50%
MVVRoda JC
1.31xG for1.42
MVVRoda JC
1.27xG against1.41
MVVRoda JC

Shooting quality

MVV: Efficient finishingRoda JC: Balanced
MVVRoda JC
Accuracy (shots on target)44%49%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.440.21

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

MVV is 71% better for: last-5 form.

3 pts / match - MVV · 1.75 pts / match - Roda JC

MVV
WWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
100% W0% R0% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-0-0
3.00 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-0
Last 5 at home
2-0-0
WW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.31Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 75%Over 2.5: 75%
Roda JC
LWWD
Season result split
50% W25% R25% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-1
1.75 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-1
1.75 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Last 5 away
1-0-1
LW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.3Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.42Opponent xG: 1.41BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 50%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

MVV is 60% better for: goals scored per match.

2 goals / match - MVV · 1.25 goals / match - Roda JC

MVV scoring profile: very strong

MVV scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while Roda JC keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).

Roda JC scoring profile: very strong

Roda JC scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while MVV keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).

8Goals scored (season)5
MVVRoda JC
4Goals conceded (season)4
MVVRoda JC
3Average goals in match2.25
MVVRoda JC
8Goals scored (last 5)5
MVVRoda JC
4Goals conceded (last 5)4
MVVRoda JC

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal75%
MVVRoda JC
75%2 goals50%
MVVRoda JC
25%3 goals0%
MVVRoda JC
0%4 goals0%
MVVRoda JC

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal75%
MVVRoda JC
25%2 goals25%
MVVRoda JC
0%3 goals0%
MVVRoda JC
0%4 goals0%
MVVRoda JC

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

50%BTTS at half-time50%
MVVRoda JC
25%BTTS in both halves25%
MVVRoda JC
75%Scored in both halves50%
MVVRoda JC

BTTS and goal count

75%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
MVVRoda JC
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
MVVRoda JC
75%BTTS - last 550%
MVVRoda JC

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
MVVRoda JC
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
MVVRoda JC
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
MVVRoda JC

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
MVVRoda JC
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time25%
MVVRoda JC
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
MVVRoda JC

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

MVV - half-time state
25% leading75% draw0% trailing
Roda JC - half-time state
25% leading75% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.5Points per match (1st half)1.5
MVVRoda JC
0.75Goals scored (1st half)0.75
MVVRoda JC
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
MVVRoda JC
1.25Average goals (1st half)1.25
MVVRoda JC
50%Clean sheet before half-time50%
MVVRoda JC
25%No goal before half-time25%
MVVRoda JC

After half-time (2nd half)

2.5Points per match (2nd half)1.25
MVVRoda JC
1.25Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
MVVRoda JC
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
MVVRoda JC
1.75Average goals (2nd half)1
MVVRoda JC
50%Clean sheet after half-time50%
MVVRoda JC
0%No goal after half-time50%
MVVRoda JC

MVV - second-half results

75% W25% R0% P
6
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding400%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Roda JC - second-half results

25% W50% R25% P
6
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

MVV - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.502.50
Goals scored / match0.81.3
Goals conceded / match0.50.5
Average goals in match1.31.8
1 goal75%100%
2 goals50%50%
3 goals0%25%
Clean sheet50%50%
No goal25%0%
Goal difference+1+3
Half-time: 25% leading - 75% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 75% won - 25% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 50% - Half-time goals total: 3
Roda JC - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.501.25
Goals scored / match0.80.5
Goals conceded / match0.50.5
Average goals in match1.31.0
1 goal75%75%
2 goals50%25%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet50%50%
No goal25%50%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 25% leading - 75% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 25% won - 50% draw - 25% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 50% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

MVV
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
0
0
16-30
2
0
31-45
2
1
46-60
1
0
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Roda JC
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
1
0
16-30
2
2
31-45
2
0
46-60
0
1
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.63
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
69%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
63%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-62%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
75%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

MVV

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.96
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.69
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.27
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
105%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
53%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Roda JC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.41
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
66%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
53%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).

Teams vs league

MVVLigaRoda JC
Average goals in match 3.003.79 2.25
Both teams scored 75%79% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 75%74% 50%
Clean sheets 25%11% 25%
Goal before half-time 75%86% 75%
Goal after half-time 100%88% 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.79
Average goals per match
79%
Both teams scored
74%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
11%
Clean sheets
1.90
Home goals / match
1.88
Away goals / match
+1%
Home attack advantage
+1%
Home defence advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
52%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
10%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
62%
2 goals
33%
3 goals
14%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): MVV 0 - 1 - 1 Roda JC. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do MVV and Roda JC play?

MVV face Roda JC on 6 September 2026 in Eerste Divisie at De Geusselt. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between MVV and Roda JC?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches MVV won 0, Roda JC won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before MVV vs Roda JC?

MVV score 2.00 goals per game on average and Roda JC 1.25. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 74% of games. Both teams score in 75% of MVV's matches and 50% of Roda JC's.

What form are MVV and Roda JC in?

Over the last 5 games MVV have a 4-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Roda JC 2-1-1 (1.75 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for MVV vs Roda JC?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for MVV vs Roda JC: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.