MVV vs Utrecht II: match statistics
Statistical analysis suggests balanced chances for both teams. MVV shows good form in the last five matches (3 wins, 2.0 PPG) but has a weak home record (40% wins, 50% losses). Utrecht II is also in good disposition (3 wins in the last 5 matches), yet their away form is concerning (30% wins, 50% losses). A key factor is Utrecht II's advantage in xG statistics (1.43 vs 1.25 for MVV) and higher average shots on target away (4.7 vs 3.3). Both teams have identical clean sheet percentages at their respective venues (20% and 10%) and similar goal differences. Considering the balanced statistics, weak form of both teams at their respective venues, and similar offensive and defensive levels, a draw seems the most probable result of this meeting.
MVV vs Utrecht II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
MVV played Utrecht II in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 23 January 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
MVV: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Utrecht II: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
MVV scores 1.23 and concedes 1.86 goals per match. Utrecht II scores 1.73 and concedes 1.82. League average: 3.32 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: MVV 50%, Utrecht II 68%. Over 2.5: MVV 64%, Utrecht II 68%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Utrecht II has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.32. MVV: 11.3 shots per match, Utrecht II: 14.0.
Match halves
MVV: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.68. Utrecht II: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 1.09.
Goals by minute
MVV: 76-90+ (7 goals). Utrecht II: 46-60 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eerste Divisie: 3.32 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis suggests balanced chances for both teams. MVV shows good form in the last five matches (3 wins, 2.0 PPG) but has a weak home record (40% wins, 50% losses). Utrecht II is also in good disposition (3 wins in the last 5 matches), yet their away form is concerning (30% wins, 50% losses). A key factor is Utrecht II's advantage in xG statistics (1.43 vs 1.25 for MVV) and higher average shots on target away (4.7 vs 3.3). Both teams have identical clean sheet percentages at their respective venues (20% and 10%) and similar goal differences. Considering the balanced statistics, weak form of both teams at their respective venues, and similar offensive and defensive levels, a draw seems the most probable result of this meeting.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| MVV | Utrecht II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
MVV is 11% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - MVV · 1.8 pts / match - Utrecht II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Utrecht II is 41% better for: goals scored per match.
1.23 goals / match - MVV · 1.73 goals / match - Utrecht II
MVV scores in 59% of matches (13 of 22 matches), while Utrecht II keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 matches).
Utrecht II scores in 77% of matches (17 of 22 matches), while MVV keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - MVV
Over / Under - Utrecht II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Utrecht II is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.91 pts / match - MVV · 1.14 pts / match - Utrecht II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
MVV - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Utrecht II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
MVV
Utrecht II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).
Teams vs league
| MVV | Liga | Utrecht II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.09 | 3.32 | ▲ 3.55 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 62% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 64% | 65% | ▲ 68% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 21% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 73% | 79% | ▼ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 82% | 85% | • 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: MVV 0 - 0 - 1 Utrecht II. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of MVV vs Utrecht II?
The Eerste Divisie match finished MVV 2:2 Utrecht II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before MVV vs Utrecht II?
MVV score 1.23 goals per game on average and Utrecht II 1.73. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.32 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 50% of MVV's matches and 68% of Utrecht II's.
What form are MVV and Utrecht II in?
Over the last 5 games MVV have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Utrecht II 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for MVV vs Utrecht II?
The statistical background for MVV vs Utrecht II — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.