Netherlands - Eerste DivisieDe GeusseltData current as of 01 November 2026

MVV vs VVV: match statistics

MVV crest
MVV
1 : 2half-time 0:2
VVV crest
VVV

MVV vs VVV: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

MVV played VVV in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 31 October 2026. Venue: De Geusselt. Final score: 1:2.

Current form

MVV: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. VVV: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

MVV scores 1.33 and concedes 2.25 goals per match. VVV scores 2.83 and concedes 1.67. League average: 3.59 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: MVV 67%, VVV 67%. Over 2.5: MVV 67%, VVV 83%. League level: BTTS 70%, Over 2.5 68%.

xG, shots and style

VVV has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.16. MVV: 9.6 shots per match, VVV: 15.3.

Match halves

MVV: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.83. VVV: half-time lead 58%, second-half goals 1.58.

Goals by minute

MVV: 76-90+ (5 goals). VVV: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Eerste Divisie: 3.59 goals per match, BTTS 70%, Over 2.5 68%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

VVV sit 2nd in the table, while MVV are 10th. The visitors have won 3 of their last 5 matches, compared with just 1 win for the hosts. Away from home, VVV average 2.67 goals and 7 shots on target per match, against MVV’s 1.17 goals and 3 shots on target at home. The visitors’ advantage is also reflected in the quality of chances created: their away xG is 1.90, while MVV’s home xG is 1.19. MVV concede an average of 1.83 goals at home and have let in 12 goals across their last 5 matches, increasing the likelihood of VVV’s attack finding success. However, the visitors concede 1.67 goals per match away from home, so despite the clear edge for VVV, an MVV win or a draw remains a realistic possibility.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

Both teams have recorded BTTS in 67% of their matches, with the figure standing at 60% in each team’s last five games. MVV average 3.0 goals at home, while VVV average 2.67 away; both teams also concede 1.67 goals per game in those respective conditions. Their attacking potential is reflected in the xG figures: 1.54 for the hosts and 1.90 for the visitors, while their opponents concede an average xG of 1.63 and 1.82 respectively. One note of caution is MVV’s recent dip in attack, averaging 1.2 goals across their last five matches, although VVV conceded 1.8 goals per game over that period. Therefore, BTTS - Yes looks more likely, though the risk that at least one team fails to score remains significant.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

In the analyzed home matches for MVV and away matches for VVV, at least 2 goals were scored every time, while Over 2.5 goals also landed in 83% of matches involving the two teams. Their attacking potential is reflected in average xG figures of 1.54 for MVV and 1.90 for VVV, while their opponents conceded 1.63 and 1.82 xG, respectively. In their last 5 matches, MVV conceded an average of 2.4 goals, while VVV scored 3.0, further supporting the case for goals from the visitors. The 3.85-goal projection points to a chance of clearing higher lines as well, but Over 1.5 remains the strongest pick, given the consistency of both teams' results and an estimated probability of 94%.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

The strongest scenario is VVV leading at the break and winning, although the advantage is not large enough to rule out a turnaround. In their last five matches, MVV have not led at half-time once and have been trailing on three occasions, while VVV led at the break twice. The visitors have recently averaged 3.0 goals per match compared with MVV’s 1.2, and their average xG is 1.90 against the hosts’ 1.54. VVV have won 3 of their last 5 matches, while MVV have won just 1; moreover, the visitors have averaged 1.8 goals after half-time, while the hosts have conceded 1.4 in that period. However, MVV can respond after the break, averaging 1.83 goals in the second half over the season. Therefore, 2/2 is the most likely HT/FT outcome, but it is not a dominant scenario.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Half-by-half

0 : 2
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

68Possession (%)32
MVVVVV
9Shots8
MVVVVV
3Shots on target5
MVVVVV
1.14xG1.01
MVVVVV
7Corners4
MVVVVV
48Dangerous attacks21
MVVVVV
7Fouls13
MVVVVV
0Cards3
MVVVVV

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.33Goals scored / match2.83
MVVVVV
2.25Goals conceded / match1.67
MVVVVV
54%Average possession49%
MVVVVV
3.08Shots on target / match5.83
MVVVVV

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.58Shots per match15.33
MVVVVV
3.08Shots on target5.83
MVVVVV
13.9%Shot conversion18.5%
MVVVVV
54%Possession49%
MVVVVV
1.16xG for1.72
MVVVVV
1.56xG against1.72
MVVVVV

Shooting quality

MVV: Efficient finishingVVV: Attacking
MVVVVV
Accuracy (shots on target)32%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.430.49

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

VVV is 150% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - MVV · 2 pts / match - VVV

MVV
WLLLD
Season result split
42% W17% D42% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-2-5
1.42 pts / match · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-1-2
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
WDLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.12Opponent xG: 1.70BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
VVV
LWWDW
Season result split
67% W8% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-1-3
2.08 pts / match · goal difference +14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-0-2
Last 5 away
3-0-2
LWLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 3.0Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 2.12Opponent xG: 1.33BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

VVV is 113% better for: goals scored per match.

1.33 goals / match - MVV · 2.83 goals / match - VVV

VVV is 35% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.25 goals / match - MVV · 1.67 goals / match - VVV

MVV scoring profile: very strong

MVV scores in 83% of matches (10 of 12 matches), while VVV keeps a clean sheet in 33% (4 of 12 matches).

VVV scoring profile: very strong

VVV scores in 100% of matches (12 of 12 matches), while MVV keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 matches).

16Goals scored (season)34
MVVVVV
27Goals conceded (season)20
MVVVVV
3.58Average goals in match4.5
MVVVVV
6Goals scored (last 5)15
MVVVVV
12Goals conceded (last 5)9
MVVVVV

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal100%
MVVVVV
42%2 goals100%
MVVVVV
8%3 goals58%
MVVVVV
0%4 goals25%
MVVVVV

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal67%
MVVVVV
50%2 goals42%
MVVVVV
33%3 goals33%
MVVVVV
33%4 goals25%
MVVVVV

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time42%
MVVVVV
8%BTTS in both halves8%
MVVVVV
25%Scored in both halves67%
MVVVVV

BTTS and goal count

58%Min. 3 goals and BTTS67%
MVVVVV
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
MVVVVV
60%BTTS - last 560%
MVVVVV

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time92%
MVVVVV
42%Min. 2 goals before half-time75%
MVVVVV
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time50%
MVVVVV

2nd half

92%Min. 1 goal after half-time92%
MVVVVV
67%Min. 2 goals after half-time58%
MVVVVV
50%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
MVVVVV

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

VVV is 83% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - MVV · 1.83 pts / match - VVV

MVV - half-time state
17% leading50% draw33% trailing
VVV - half-time state
58% leading8% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1.83
MVVVVV
0.5Goals scored (1st half)1.25
MVVVVV
0.83Goals conceded (1st half)1
MVVVVV
1.33Average goals (1st half)2.25
MVVVVV
42%Clean sheet before half-time42%
MVVVVV
50%No goal before half-time25%
MVVVVV

After half-time (2nd half)

1.42Points per match (2nd half)2.42
MVVVVV
0.83Goals scored (2nd half)1.58
MVVVVV
1.42Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
MVVVVV
2.25Average goals (2nd half)2.25
MVVVVV
33%Clean sheet after half-time67%
MVVVVV
42%No goal after half-time8%
MVVVVV

MVV - second-half results

42% W17% D42% L
12
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding247%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.6

Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

VVV - second-half results

75% W17% D8% L
22
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
+11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.83
PPG before half-time
Lead holding116%

Leads at half-time in 58% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

MVV - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.401.40
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match1.01.4
Average goals in match1.42.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-3-3
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
VVV - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.40
Goals scored / match1.21.8
Goals conceded / match1.00.8
Average goals in match2.22.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals60%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal20%0%
Goal difference+1+5
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

MVV
ScoredConceded
2
5
0-15
1
1
16-30
3
4
31-45
4
5
46-60
1
5
61-75
5
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

VVV
ScoredConceded
4
4
0-15
5
2
16-30
6
6
31-45
7
2
46-60
5
1
61-75
7
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

4.04
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 2.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
113%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
67%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-50%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
83%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
4+
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

MVV

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.40
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.52
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+7.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.69
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
67%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
141%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.62
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

VVV

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
0.00
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+1.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
177%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
84%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.08
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).

Teams vs league

MVVLigaVVV
Average goals in match• 3.583.59▲ 4.50
Both teams scored▼ 67%70%▼ 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)• 67%68%▲ 83%
Clean sheets• 17%16%▲ 33%
Goal before half-time▼ 75%83%▲ 92%
Goal after half-time▲ 92%85%▲ 92%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.59
Average goals per match
70%
Both teams scored
68%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
16%
Clean sheets
1.98
Home goals / match
1.60
Away goals / match
+24%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+21%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
56%
2 goals
32%
3 goals
16%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. VVVSubstitutionOn: Matheos TsigkasOff: Leon Gino Schmidt
  2. MVVSubstitutionOn: Mika LuijendijkOff: Robert Klaasen
  3. VVVYellow cardÉanna Clancy
  4. VVVYellow cardYouri Schoonderwalt
  5. VVVSubstitutionOn: Philip HeiseOff: Thomas Janssen
  6. VVVYellow cardIsmail Oulad M'Hand

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): MVV 1 - 0 - 1 VVV. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

MVV
2 : 1
VVV Venlo
VVV Venlo
1 : 0
MVV

FAQ

What was the result of MVV vs VVV?

The Eerste Divisie match finished MVV 1:2 VVV. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between MVV and VVV?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches MVV won 1, VVV won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before MVV vs VVV?

MVV score 1.33 goals per game on average and VVV 2.83. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 68% of games. Both teams score in 67% of MVV's matches and 67% of VVV's.

What form are MVV and VVV in?

Over the last 5 games MVV have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and VVV 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for MVV vs VVV?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.