MVV vs Willem II: match statistics
Willem II are in significantly better form than MVV, occupying 5th place in the table compared to the hosts' 16th position. The visitors have a clear offensive advantage, scoring 10 goals in the last 5 matches while conceding only 3, whereas MVV scored 7 and conceded 8 in the same period. Willem II also boasts superior technical indicators: a higher average of shots on target (5.5 vs 3.47), better shooting accuracy, and higher ball possession (46% vs 43%). The visitors' form in the last five matches (WLWDW) with 2.0 points per game surpasses the hosts' performances (LDDWD) with 1.2 points per game. MVV has a negative goal difference in home matches (0) and only a 40% win rate at home, while Willem II wins 44% of away matches with a positive goal difference (+1). All these factors point to the visitors' advantage, although a slight chance of a draw or a home upset cannot be completely ruled out.
MVV vs Willem II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
MVV play Willem II in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match date is 22 March 2026 at 16:45. Final score: 0:5.
Current form
MVV: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Willem II: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
MVV scores 1.08 and concedes 1.92 goals per match. Willem II scores 1.55 and concedes 1.11. League average: 3.19 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: MVV 53%, Willem II 55%. Over 2.5: MVV 61%, Willem II 55%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Willem II has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.27. MVV: 11.2 shots per match, Willem II: 14.6.
Match halves
MVV: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.63. Willem II: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
MVV: 76-90+ (9 goals). Willem II: 16-30 (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eerste Divisie: 3.19 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Willem II are in significantly better form than MVV, occupying 5th place in the table compared to the hosts' 16th position. The visitors have a clear offensive advantage, scoring 10 goals in the last 5 matches while conceding only 3, whereas MVV scored 7 and conceded 8 in the same period. Willem II also boasts superior technical indicators: a higher average of shots on target (5.5 vs 3.47), better shooting accuracy, and higher ball possession (46% vs 43%). The visitors' form in the last five matches (WLWDW) with 2.0 points per game surpasses the hosts' performances (LDDWD) with 1.2 points per game. MVV has a negative goal difference in home matches (0) and only a 40% win rate at home, while Willem II wins 44% of away matches with a positive goal difference (+1). All these factors point to the visitors' advantage, although a slight chance of a draw or a home upset cannot be completely ruled out.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| MVV | Willem II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Willem II is 650% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - MVV · 3 pts / match - Willem II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Willem II is 44% better for: goals scored per match.
1.08 goals / match - MVV · 1.55 goals / match - Willem II
Willem II is 73% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.92 goals / match - MVV · 1.11 goals / match - Willem II
MVV scores in 58% of matches (22 of 38 matches), while Willem II keeps a clean sheet in 32% (12 of 38 matches).
Willem II scores in 87% of matches (33 of 38 matches), while MVV keeps a clean sheet in 16% (6 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — MVV
Over / Under — Willem II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Willem II is 112% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.82 pts / match - MVV · 1.74 pts / match - Willem II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
MVV - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Willem II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
MVV
Willem II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).
Teams vs league
| MVV | Liga | Willem II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.00 | 3.19 | ▼ 2.66 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 53% | 61% | ▼ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 61% | 63% | ▼ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 21% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 77% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 82% | 86% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: MVV 0 - 1 - 0 Willem II. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of MVV vs Willem II?
The Eerste Divisie match finished MVV 0:5 Willem II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before MVV vs Willem II?
MVV score 1.08 goals per game on average and Willem II 1.55. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 53% of MVV's matches and 55% of Willem II's.
What form are MVV and Willem II in?
Over the last 5 games MVV have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Willem II 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for MVV vs Willem II?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.