Netherlands - Eerste DivisieData current as of 22 September 2026

NAC Breda vs Eindhoven: match statistics

Reasoning:

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NAC Breda vs Eindhoven: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

NAC Breda play Eindhoven in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match date is 26 September 2026.

Current form

NAC Breda: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Eindhoven: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

NAC Breda scores 1.86 and concedes 2.14 goals per match. Eindhoven scores 1.57 and concedes 1.86. League average: 3.77 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: NAC Breda 86%, Eindhoven 71%. Over 2.5: NAC Breda 86%, Eindhoven 71%. League level: BTTS 74%, Over 2.5 73%.

xG, shots and style

NAC Breda has higher xG: 2.21 vs 1.20. NAC Breda: 22.1 shots per match, Eindhoven: 11.3.

Match halves

NAC Breda: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 1.00. Eindhoven: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

NAC Breda: 76-90+ (4 goals). Eindhoven: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Eerste Divisie: 3.77 goals per match, BTTS 74%, Over 2.5 73%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.32)
(5.25)
(7.65)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

NAC BredaEindhoven
1.86Goals scored / match1.57
NAC BredaEindhoven
2.14Goals conceded / match1.86
NAC BredaEindhoven
59%Average possession46%
NAC BredaEindhoven
6.57Shots on target / match2.71
NAC BredaEindhoven

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

22.14Shots per match11.29
NAC BredaEindhoven
6.57Shots on target2.71
NAC BredaEindhoven
8.4%Shot conversion13.9%
NAC BredaEindhoven
59%Possession46%
NAC BredaEindhoven
2.21xG for1.2
NAC BredaEindhoven
1.24xG against1.55
NAC BredaEindhoven

Shooting quality

NAC Breda: DominantEindhoven: Counter-attacking
NAC BredaEindhoven
Accuracy (shots on target)30%24%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.58

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

NAC Breda
WDLLW
Season result split
43% W14% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-3
1.43 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-2
Last 5 at home
1-0-2
LWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 2.15Opponent xG: 1.32BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%
Eindhoven
LLDWW
Season result split
43% W14% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-3
1.43 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Last 5 away
1-1-1
WLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.15Opponent xG: 1.55BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

NAC Breda is 18% better for: goals scored per match.

1.86 goals / match - NAC Breda · 1.57 goals / match - Eindhoven

Eindhoven is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.14 goals / match - NAC Breda · 1.86 goals / match - Eindhoven

NAC Breda scoring profile: very strong

NAC Breda scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Eindhoven keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).

Eindhoven scoring profile: very strong

Eindhoven scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while NAC Breda keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 matches).

13Goals scored (season)11
NAC BredaEindhoven
15Goals conceded (season)13
NAC BredaEindhoven
4Average goals in match3.43
NAC BredaEindhoven
11Goals scored (last 5)8
NAC BredaEindhoven
12Goals conceded (last 5)10
NAC BredaEindhoven

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal86%
NAC BredaEindhoven
86%2 goals57%
NAC BredaEindhoven
14%3 goals14%
NAC BredaEindhoven
0%4 goals0%
NAC BredaEindhoven

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal71%
NAC BredaEindhoven
71%2 goals43%
NAC BredaEindhoven
29%3 goals43%
NAC BredaEindhoven
14%4 goals14%
NAC BredaEindhoven

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

43%BTTS at half-time43%
NAC BredaEindhoven
14%BTTS in both halves29%
NAC BredaEindhoven
29%Scored in both halves57%
NAC BredaEindhoven

BTTS and goal count

86%Min. 3 goals and BTTS71%
NAC BredaEindhoven
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
NAC BredaEindhoven
100%BTTS - last 580%
NAC BredaEindhoven

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
NAC BredaEindhoven
43%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
NAC BredaEindhoven
29%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
NAC BredaEindhoven

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time86%
NAC BredaEindhoven
71%Min. 2 goals after half-time57%
NAC BredaEindhoven
29%Min. 3 goals after half-time57%
NAC BredaEindhoven

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

NAC Breda is 43% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.43 pts / match - NAC Breda · 1 pts / match - Eindhoven

NAC Breda - half-time state
43% leading14% draw43% trailing
Eindhoven - half-time state
14% leading57% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.43Points per match (1st half)1
NAC BredaEindhoven
0.86Goals scored (1st half)0.57
NAC BredaEindhoven
0.86Goals conceded (1st half)0.86
NAC BredaEindhoven
1.71Average goals (1st half)1.43
NAC BredaEindhoven
14%Clean sheet before half-time43%
NAC BredaEindhoven
43%No goal before half-time43%
NAC BredaEindhoven

After half-time (2nd half)

0.86Points per match (2nd half)1.43
NAC BredaEindhoven
1Goals scored (2nd half)1
NAC BredaEindhoven
1.29Goals conceded (2nd half)1
NAC BredaEindhoven
2.29Average goals (2nd half)2
NAC BredaEindhoven
29%Clean sheet after half-time43%
NAC BredaEindhoven
43%No goal after half-time14%
NAC BredaEindhoven

NAC Breda - second-half results

14% W43% D43% L
10
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.43
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Eindhoven - second-half results

43% W14% D43% L
7
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding307%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

NAC Breda - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.000.60
Goals scored / match1.21.0
Goals conceded / match0.81.6
Average goals in match2.02.6
1 goal100%80%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+2-3
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 6
Eindhoven - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.40
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match1.62.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference-20
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

NAC Breda
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
2
3
16-30
3
2
31-45
0
5
46-60
3
2
61-75
4
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Eindhoven
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
0
1
16-30
2
3
31-45
4
2
46-60
0
2
61-75
3
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.71
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.9 : 1.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
79%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
74%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

NAC Breda

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.97
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.25
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.35
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.90
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
89%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
127%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.03
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

Eindhoven

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.35
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.37
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
93%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
89%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.03
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).

Teams vs league

NAC BredaLigaEindhoven
Average goals in match 4.003.77 3.43
Both teams scored 86%74% 71%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 86%73% 71%
Clean sheets 0%14% 29%
Goal before half-time 100%80% 71%
Goal after half-time 86%86% 86%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.77
Average goals per match
74%
Both teams scored
73%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
14%
Clean sheets
2.09
Home goals / match
1.68
Away goals / match
+24%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defence advantage
+22%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
59%
2 goals
35%
3 goals
19%
4 goals

FAQ

When do NAC Breda and Eindhoven play?

NAC Breda face Eindhoven on 26 September 2026 in Eerste Divisie. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before NAC Breda vs Eindhoven?

NAC Breda score 1.86 goals per game on average and Eindhoven 1.57. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 73% of games. Both teams score in 86% of NAC Breda's matches and 71% of Eindhoven's.

What form are NAC Breda and Eindhoven in?

Over the last 5 games NAC Breda have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Eindhoven 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for NAC Breda vs Eindhoven?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.