NAC Breda vs NEC: match statistics
NEC display far superior form and quality this season, sitting in 4th place compared to NAC Breda's 16th position. The visitors boast an impressive record of 43 goals scored against just 29 conceded, while the hosts have netted only 16 goals while conceding 26. Form over the last five matches clearly favors NEC (2.2 points per match, 13 goals scored) compared to the catastrophic state of NAC (0.4 points per match, only 1 goal). NEC dominate in possession (61% vs 51%), shot conversion (14% vs 7%), and average goals per match (2.22 vs 1.00 away vs home). Although the visitors have yet to keep a clean sheet on the road, their offensive superiority and current form (WWDWD streak) give them a realistic chance of winning. The hosts' only asset is a slightly better defense in home matches, but their lack of attacking efficiency and winless streak make it difficult to back them for success.
NAC Breda vs NEC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
NAC Breda played NEC in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 17 January 2026. Final score: 3:4.
Current form
NAC Breda: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. NEC: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
NAC Breda scores 0.89 and concedes 1.44 goals per match. NEC scores 2.53 and concedes 1.71. League average: 3.26 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: NAC Breda 50%, NEC 76%. Over 2.5: NAC Breda 50%, NEC 82%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
NEC has higher xG: 1.87 vs 1.43. NAC Breda: 13.4 shots per match, NEC: 15.8.
Match halves
NAC Breda: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.50. NEC: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.71.
Goals by minute
NAC Breda: 46-60 (5 goals). NEC: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eredivisie: 3.26 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
NEC display far superior form and quality this season, sitting in 4th place compared to NAC Breda's 16th position. The visitors boast an impressive record of 43 goals scored against just 29 conceded, while the hosts have netted only 16 goals while conceding 26. Form over the last five matches clearly favors NEC (2.2 points per match, 13 goals scored) compared to the catastrophic state of NAC (0.4 points per match, only 1 goal). NEC dominate in possession (61% vs 51%), shot conversion (14% vs 7%), and average goals per match (2.22 vs 1.00 away vs home). Although the visitors have yet to keep a clean sheet on the road, their offensive superiority and current form (WWDWD streak) give them a realistic chance of winning. The hosts' only asset is a slightly better defense in home matches, but their lack of attacking efficiency and winless streak make it difficult to back them for success.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| NAC Breda | NEC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
NEC is 450% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - NAC Breda · 2.2 pts / match - NEC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
NEC is 184% better for: goals scored per match.
0.89 goals / match - NAC Breda · 2.53 goals / match - NEC
NAC Breda is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.44 goals / match - NAC Breda · 1.71 goals / match - NEC
NAC Breda scores in 56% of matches (10 of 18 matches), while NEC keeps a clean sheet in 18% (3 of 17 matches).
NEC scores in 94% of matches (16 of 17 matches), while NAC Breda keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - NAC Breda
Over / Under - NEC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
NEC is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - NAC Breda · 1.24 pts / match - NEC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
NAC Breda - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 17%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
NEC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
NAC Breda
NEC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| NAC Breda | Liga | NEC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.33 | 3.26 | ▲ 4.24 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 63% | ▲ 76% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 63% | ▲ 82% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 19% | • 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 78% | 85% | ▲ 94% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 85% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: NAC Breda 0 - 0 - 1 NEC. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of NAC Breda vs NEC?
The Eredivisie match finished NAC Breda 3:4 NEC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before NAC Breda vs NEC?
NAC Breda score 0.89 goals per game on average and NEC 2.53. The Eredivisie average is 3.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 50% of NAC Breda's matches and 76% of NEC's.
What form are NAC Breda and NEC in?
Over the last 5 games NAC Breda have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and NEC 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for NAC Breda vs NEC?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.