NAC Breda vs PSV: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

NAC Breda played PSV in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 22 November 2025. Final score: 0:1.

Current form

NAC Breda: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. PSV: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

NAC Breda scores 1.25 and concedes 1.75 goals per match. PSV scores 3.33 and concedes 1.42. League average: 3.36 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: NAC Breda 67%, PSV 75%. Over 2.5: NAC Breda 75%, PSV 83%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 67%.

xG, shots and style

PSV has higher xG: 2.13 vs 1.34. NAC Breda: 12.0 shots per match, PSV: 18.8.

Match halves

NAC Breda: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.75. PSV: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 1.67.

Goals by minute

NAC Breda: 46-60 (5 goals). PSV: 16-30 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Eredivisie: 3.36 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 67%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

47Possession (%)53
NAC BredaPSV
16Shots9
NAC BredaPSV
3Shots on target4
NAC BredaPSV
1.28xG0.91
NAC BredaPSV
6Corners5
NAC BredaPSV
10Dangerous attacks10
NAC BredaPSV
11Fouls15
NAC BredaPSV
2Cards1
NAC BredaPSV

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.25Goals scored / match3.33
NAC BredaPSV
1.75Goals conceded / match1.42
NAC BredaPSV
47%Average possession60%
NAC BredaPSV
3.92Shots on target / match7.42
NAC BredaPSV

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12Shots per match18.75
NAC BredaPSV
3.92Shots on target7.42
NAC BredaPSV
10.4%Shot conversion17.8%
NAC BredaPSV
47%Possession60%
NAC BredaPSV
1.34xG for2.13
NAC BredaPSV
1.63xG against1.34
NAC BredaPSV

Shooting quality

NAC Breda: BalancedPSV: Dominant
NAC BredaPSV
Accuracy (shots on target)33%40%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.45

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

PSV is 200% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - NAC Breda · 3 pts / match - PSV

NAC Breda
LDDWL
Season result split
25% W25% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-3-6
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-1-2
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LWLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 1.32BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
PSV
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
83% W8% D8% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-1-1
2.58 pts / match · goal difference +23
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-0-0
Last 5 away
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 3.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 2.05Opponent xG: 0.93BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

PSV is 166% better for: goals scored per match.

1.25 goals / match - NAC Breda · 3.33 goals / match - PSV

PSV is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.75 goals / match - NAC Breda · 1.42 goals / match - PSV

NAC Breda scoring profile: very strong

NAC Breda scores in 75% of matches (9 of 12 matches), while PSV keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 matches).

PSV scoring profile: very strong

PSV scores in 92% of matches (11 of 12 matches), while NAC Breda keeps a clean sheet in 8% (1 of 12 matches).

15Goals scored (season)40
NAC BredaPSV
21Goals conceded (season)17
NAC BredaPSV
3Average goals in match4.75
NAC BredaPSV
8Goals scored (last 5)19
NAC BredaPSV
9Goals conceded (last 5)6
NAC BredaPSV

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal92%
NAC BredaPSV
42%2 goals92%
NAC BredaPSV
8%3 goals58%
NAC BredaPSV
0%4 goals50%
NAC BredaPSV

How often they concede at least...

92%1 goal83%
NAC BredaPSV
67%2 goals50%
NAC BredaPSV
17%3 goals8%
NAC BredaPSV
0%4 goals0%
NAC BredaPSV

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time42%
NAC BredaPSV
0%BTTS in both halves25%
NAC BredaPSV
17%Scored in both halves92%
NAC BredaPSV

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS75%
NAC BredaPSV
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
NAC BredaPSV
80%BTTS - last 580%
NAC BredaPSV

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

83%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
NAC BredaPSV
17%Min. 2 goals before half-time67%
NAC BredaPSV
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time33%
NAC BredaPSV

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
NAC BredaPSV
58%Min. 2 goals after half-time75%
NAC BredaPSV
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time42%
NAC BredaPSV

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

PSV is 80% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.25 pts / match - NAC Breda · 2.25 pts / match - PSV

NAC Breda - half-time state
33% leading25% draw42% trailing
PSV - half-time state
67% leading25% draw8% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.25Points per match (1st half)2.25
NAC BredaPSV
0.5Goals scored (1st half)1.67
NAC BredaPSV
0.58Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
NAC BredaPSV
1.08Average goals (1st half)2.17
NAC BredaPSV
42%Clean sheet before half-time50%
NAC BredaPSV
58%No goal before half-time8%
NAC BredaPSV

After half-time (2nd half)

0.92Points per match (2nd half)1.92
NAC BredaPSV
0.75Goals scored (2nd half)1.67
NAC BredaPSV
1.17Goals conceded (2nd half)0.92
NAC BredaPSV
1.92Average goals (2nd half)2.58
NAC BredaPSV
17%Clean sheet after half-time33%
NAC BredaPSV
50%No goal after half-time8%
NAC BredaPSV

NAC Breda - second-half results

25% W17% D58% L
15
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding76%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.6

Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

PSV - second-half results

50% W42% D8% L
27
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
+14
Goal difference (1st half)
23
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding124%

Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 83%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

NAC Breda - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.40
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match0.61.2
Average goals in match1.22.2
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
PSV - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match3.001.80
Goals scored / match2.01.8
Goals conceded / match0.21.0
Average goals in match2.22.8
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%100%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal0%0%
Goal difference+9+4
Half-time: 100% leading - 0% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 10

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

NAC Breda
ScoredConceded
1
4
0-15
2
0
16-30
3
3
31-45
5
5
46-60
0
3
61-75
4
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

PSV
ScoredConceded
6
1
0-15
8
1
16-30
6
4
31-45
8
2
46-60
6
6
61-75
6
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.88
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 2.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
115%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
71%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
69%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

NAC Breda

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.29
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.21
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
67%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
117%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

PSV

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.79
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+1.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
222%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
76%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.42
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).

Teams vs league

NAC BredaLigaPSV
Average goals in match 3.003.36 4.75
Both teams scored 67%61% 75%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 75%67% 83%
Clean sheets 8%20% 17%
Goal before half-time 83%88% 100%
Goal after half-time 100%87% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.36
Average goals per match
61%
Both teams scored
67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
1.86
Home goals / match
1.50
Away goals / match
+24%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
87%
1 goal
57%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
15%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. NAC BredaSubstitutionOn: Daan van ReeuwijkOff: Fredrik Oldrup Jensen
  2. NAC BredaYellow cardCherrion Valerius
  3. NAC BredaYellow cardCharles-Andreas Brym

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Marc NagtegaalMatches officiated: 21
3.14Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 252%Home wins19%Draws28%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of NAC Breda vs PSV?

The Eredivisie match finished NAC Breda 0:1 PSV. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before NAC Breda vs PSV?

NAC Breda score 1.25 goals per game on average and PSV 3.33. The Eredivisie average is 3.36 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 67% of NAC Breda's matches and 75% of PSV's.

What form are NAC Breda and PSV in?

Over the last 5 games NAC Breda have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and PSV 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for NAC Breda vs PSV?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.