Nacional Asunción vs Guaraní: match statistics
Nacional Asunción displays significantly better home form with a 50% win rate and a +4 goal difference in home matches. The hosts have not suffered a defeat at their own stadium in the last three matches (WWLD), scoring an average of 2 goals per game. Guaraní has not won any away matches (0% Win%), showing poor form LDDL and a negative goal difference of -2. Moreover, the visitors concede an average of 2 goals away, which, given Nacional's offensive efficiency (averaging 3 goals per home match), puts them in a difficult position. The higher average possession of the hosts (57% vs 52%) and better shot conversion (19% vs 13%) further support a victory for Nacional Asunción, although Guaraní's solid draw form (50% Draw%) could make the match evenly contested.
Nacional Asunción vs Guaraní: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nacional Asunción played Guaraní in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The match was played on 1 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Nacional Asunción: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Guaraní: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nacional Asunción scores 2.00 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Guaraní scores 2.17 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.35 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nacional Asunción 71%, Guaraní 67%. Over 2.5: Nacional Asunción 57%, Guaraní 83%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 40%.
xG, shots and style
Guaraní has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.17. Nacional Asunción: 10.9 shots per match, Guaraní: 12.5.
Match halves
Nacional Asunción: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 1.14. Guaraní: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.17.
Goals by minute
Nacional Asunción: 31-45+ (3 goals). Guaraní: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Division Profesional: 2.35 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 40%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-3. Average goals 2.25, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Nacional Asunción displays significantly better home form with a 50% win rate and a +4 goal difference in home matches. The hosts have not suffered a defeat at their own stadium in the last three matches (WWLD), scoring an average of 2 goals per game. Guaraní has not won any away matches (0% Win%), showing poor form LDDL and a negative goal difference of -2. Moreover, the visitors concede an average of 2 goals away, which, given Nacional's offensive efficiency (averaging 3 goals per home match), puts them in a difficult position. The higher average possession of the hosts (57% vs 52%) and better shot conversion (19% vs 13%) further support a victory for Nacional Asunción, although Guaraní's solid draw form (50% Draw%) could make the match evenly contested.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nacional Asunción | Guaraní | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.46 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Guaraní is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - Nacional Asunción · 2.17 goals / match - Guaraní
Nacional Asunción is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Nacional Asunción · 1.5 goals / match - Guaraní
Nacional Asunción scores in 100% of matches (7 of 7 matches), while Guaraní keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
Guaraní scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Nacional Asunción keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nacional Asunción
Over / Under - Guaraní
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nacional Asunción is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.57 pts / match - Nacional Asunción · 1.33 pts / match - Guaraní
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nacional Asunción - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Guaraní - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nacional Asunción
Guaraní
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).
Teams vs league
| Nacional Asunción | Liga | Guaraní | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.35 | ▲ 3.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 49% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 40% | ▲ 83% |
| Clean sheets | • 29% | 29% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 56% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 79% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Nacional Asunción 1 - 0 - 3 Guaraní. Average goals 2.25, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nacional Asunción vs Guaraní?
The Division Profesional match finished Nacional Asunción 1:1 Guaraní. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Nacional Asunción and Guaraní?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Nacional Asunción won 1, Guaraní won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Nacional Asunción vs Guaraní?
Nacional Asunción score 2.00 goals per game on average and Guaraní 2.17. The Division Profesional average is 2.35 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Nacional Asunción's matches and 67% of Guaraní's.
What form are Nacional Asunción and Guaraní in?
Over the last 5 games Nacional Asunción have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Guaraní 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nacional Asunción vs Guaraní?
The statistical background for Nacional Asunción vs Guaraní — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.