Paraguay - Division ProfesionalEstadio Arsenio EricoData current as of 30 August 2026

Nacional Asunción vs Libertad: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Nacional Asunción vs Libertad: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Nacional Asunción play Libertad in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The match date is 2 September 2026. Venue: Estadio Arsenio Erico.

Current form

Nacional Asunción: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Libertad: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Nacional Asunción scores 1.45 and concedes 0.93 goals per match. Libertad scores 1.61 and concedes 1.11. League average: 2.44 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Nacional Asunción 62%, Libertad 46%. Over 2.5: Nacional Asunción 41%, Libertad 50%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 45%.

xG, shots and style

Libertad has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.35. Nacional Asunción: 12.4 shots per match, Libertad: 14.6.

Match halves

Nacional Asunción: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.86. Libertad: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.96.

Goals by minute

Nacional Asunción: 76-90+ (13 goals). Libertad: 46-60 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Division Profesional: 2.44 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 45%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 6 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-3. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Nacional AsunciónLibertad
1.45Goals scored / match1.61
Nacional AsunciónLibertad
0.93Goals conceded / match1.11
Nacional AsunciónLibertad
52%Average possession55%
Nacional AsunciónLibertad
4.21Shots on target / match5.21
Nacional AsunciónLibertad

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.45Shots per match14.61
Nacional AsunciónLibertad
4.21Shots on target5.21
Nacional AsunciónLibertad
11.6%Shot conversion11%
Nacional AsunciónLibertad
52%Possession55%
Nacional AsunciónLibertad
1.35xG for1.58
Nacional AsunciónLibertad
1.18xG against1.21
Nacional AsunciónLibertad

Shooting quality

Nacional Asunción: BalancedLibertad: Dominant
Nacional AsunciónLibertad
Accuracy (shots on target)34%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Libertad is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Nacional Asunción · 2.4 pts / match - Libertad

Nacional Asunción
LDDWW
Season result split
45% W41% R14% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-12-4
1.76 pts / match · goal difference +15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-4-1
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.44Opponent xG: 1.44BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Libertad
WLWWW
Season result split
50% W14% R36% P
Season (W-D-L)
14-4-10
1.64 pts / match · goal difference +14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-1-8
Last 5 away
3-0-2
WLWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.94Opponent xG: 1.18BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Libertad is 11% better for: goals scored per match.

1.45 goals / match - Nacional Asunción · 1.61 goals / match - Libertad

Nacional Asunción is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.93 goals / match - Nacional Asunción · 1.11 goals / match - Libertad

Nacional Asunción scoring profile: very strong

Nacional Asunción scores in 86% of matches (25 of 29 matches), while Libertad keeps a clean sheet in 32% (9 of 28 matches).

Libertad scoring profile: strong

Libertad scores in 75% of matches (21 of 28 matches), while Nacional Asunción keeps a clean sheet in 34% (10 of 29 matches).

42Goals scored (season)45
Nacional AsunciónLibertad
27Goals conceded (season)31
Nacional AsunciónLibertad
2.38Average goals in match2.71
Nacional AsunciónLibertad
8Goals scored (last 5)10
Nacional AsunciónLibertad
4Goals conceded (last 5)5
Nacional AsunciónLibertad

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal75%
Nacional AsunciónLibertad
41%2 goals39%
Nacional AsunciónLibertad
10%3 goals21%
Nacional AsunciónLibertad
3%4 goals11%
Nacional AsunciónLibertad

How often they concede at least...

66%1 goal68%
Nacional AsunciónLibertad
21%2 goals32%
Nacional AsunciónLibertad
7%3 goals11%
Nacional AsunciónLibertad
0%4 goals0%
Nacional AsunciónLibertad

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

62%
Nacional Asunción - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.18 of 29 matches
52%
League average

Goal patterns

31%BTTS at half-time25%
Nacional AsunciónLibertad
3%BTTS in both halves7%
Nacional AsunciónLibertad
28%Scored in both halves39%
Nacional AsunciónLibertad

BTTS and goal count

34%Min. 3 goals and BTTS39%
Nacional AsunciónLibertad
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
Nacional AsunciónLibertad
40%BTTS - last 580%
Nacional AsunciónLibertad

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

69%Min. 1 goal before half-time61%
Nacional AsunciónLibertad
31%Min. 2 goals before half-time39%
Nacional AsunciónLibertad
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
Nacional AsunciónLibertad

2nd half

72%Min. 1 goal after half-time82%
Nacional AsunciónLibertad
41%Min. 2 goals after half-time43%
Nacional AsunciónLibertad
10%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
Nacional AsunciónLibertad

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Nacional Asunción - half-time state
28% leading48% draw24% trailing
Libertad - half-time state
25% leading57% draw18% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.31Points per match (1st half)1.32
Nacional AsunciónLibertad
0.59Goals scored (1st half)0.64
Nacional AsunciónLibertad
0.55Goals conceded (1st half)0.54
Nacional AsunciónLibertad
1.14Average goals (1st half)1.18
Nacional AsunciónLibertad
52%Clean sheet before half-time64%
Nacional AsunciónLibertad
48%No goal before half-time50%
Nacional AsunciónLibertad

After half-time (2nd half)

1.76Points per match (2nd half)1.64
Nacional AsunciónLibertad
0.86Goals scored (2nd half)0.96
Nacional AsunciónLibertad
0.38Goals conceded (2nd half)0.57
Nacional AsunciónLibertad
1.24Average goals (2nd half)1.54
Nacional AsunciónLibertad
72%Clean sheet after half-time61%
Nacional AsunciónLibertad
38%No goal after half-time36%
Nacional AsunciónLibertad

Nacional Asunción - second-half results

45% W41% R14% P
38
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
51
Second-half points
+14
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.31
PPG before half-time
Lead holding161%

Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Libertad - second-half results

46% W25% R29% P
37
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
46
Second-half points
+11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.32
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Nacional Asunción - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.60
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match1.21.2
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+2+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Libertad - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.40
Goals scored / match0.81.2
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match1.41.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+1+4
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Nacional Asunción
ScoredConceded
3
7
0-15
7
3
16-30
7
6
31-45
7
3
46-60
5
5
61-75
13
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.

Libertad
ScoredConceded
3
4
0-15
7
5
16-30
8
6
31-45
11
2
46-60
7
8
61-75
9
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.55
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
54%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-2%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
65%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Nacional Asunción

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.35
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.25
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
104%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
89%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.16
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

Libertad

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.37
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-11.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
153%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
80%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.76
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).

Teams vs league

Nacional AsunciónLigaLibertad
Average goals in match 2.382.44 2.71
Both teams scored 62%52% 46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 41%45% 50%
Clean sheets 34%28% 32%
Goal before half-time 69%63% 61%
Goal after half-time 72%80% 82%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.44
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.39
Home goals / match
1.05
Away goals / match
+32%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
63%
1 goal
26%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (6): Nacional Asunción 3 - 0 - 3 Libertad. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Nacional Asunción
2 : 1
Libertad
Libertad
2 : 1
Nacional Asunción
Club Nacional
3 : 1
Club Libertad
Club Libertad
0 : 1
Club Nacional
Club Libertad
1 : 0
Club Nacional
Club Nacional
0 : 3
Club Libertad

FAQ

When do Nacional Asunción and Libertad play?

Nacional Asunción face Libertad on 2 September 2026 in Division Profesional at Estadio Arsenio Erico. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Nacional Asunción and Libertad?

In the last 6 head-to-head matches Nacional Asunción won 3, Libertad won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Nacional Asunción vs Libertad?

Nacional Asunción score 1.45 goals per game on average and Libertad 1.61. The Division Profesional average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Nacional Asunción's matches and 46% of Libertad's.

What form are Nacional Asunción and Libertad in?

Over the last 5 games Nacional Asunción have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Libertad 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nacional Asunción vs Libertad?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Nacional Asunción vs Libertad: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.