Nacional Asunción vs Sportivo Ameliano: match statistics
Nacional Asunción displays impressive home form with a 67% win rate and an average of 2.33 goals per match. The hosts stand out with high shot accuracy (18%) and ball possession dominance (57%), giving them an edge over the visitors. Sportivo Ameliano has a poorer scoring record in away matches (averaging 0.5 goals) and a 50% loss rate on the road. The difference in xG values (1.4 for the hosts vs 0.92 for the visitors) and the fact that Nacional has not drawn at home this season suggest their advantage. The hosts' positive goal difference (+4) compared to the visitors' neutral goal difference away from home confirms their higher chances of victory.
Nacional Asunción vs Sportivo Ameliano: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nacional Asunción played Sportivo Ameliano in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The match was played on 19 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Nacional Asunción: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Sportivo Ameliano: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nacional Asunción scores 2.20 and concedes 0.80 goals per match. Sportivo Ameliano scores 1.40 and concedes 0.60. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nacional Asunción 60%, Sportivo Ameliano 20%. Over 2.5: Nacional Asunción 60%, Sportivo Ameliano 40%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Nacional Asunción has higher xG: 1.28 vs 1.13. Nacional Asunción: 11.8 shots per match, Sportivo Ameliano: 12.0.
Match halves
Nacional Asunción: half-time lead 60%, second-half goals 1.20. Sportivo Ameliano: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Nacional Asunción: 31-45+ (3 goals). Sportivo Ameliano: 61-75 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Division Profesional: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-3. Average goals 2.25, BTTS 25%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Nacional Asunción displays impressive home form with a 67% win rate and an average of 2.33 goals per match. The hosts stand out with high shot accuracy (18%) and ball possession dominance (57%), giving them an edge over the visitors. Sportivo Ameliano has a poorer scoring record in away matches (averaging 0.5 goals) and a 50% loss rate on the road. The difference in xG values (1.4 for the hosts vs 0.92 for the visitors) and the fact that Nacional has not drawn at home this season suggest their advantage. The hosts' positive goal difference (+4) compared to the visitors' neutral goal difference away from home confirms their higher chances of victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nacional Asunción | Sportivo Ameliano | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.46 | 0.44 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nacional Asunción is 20% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Nacional Asunción · 2 pts / match - Sportivo Ameliano
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nacional Asunción is 57% better for: goals scored per match.
2.2 goals / match - Nacional Asunción · 1.4 goals / match - Sportivo Ameliano
Sportivo Ameliano is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.8 goals / match - Nacional Asunción · 0.6 goals / match - Sportivo Ameliano
Nacional Asunción scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Sportivo Ameliano keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 matches).
Sportivo Ameliano scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Nacional Asunción keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nacional Asunción
Over / Under - Sportivo Ameliano
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nacional Asunción is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - Nacional Asunción · 1.6 pts / match - Sportivo Ameliano
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nacional Asunción - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 60% of matches and wins 80%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Sportivo Ameliano - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nacional Asunción
Sportivo Ameliano
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).
Teams vs league
| Nacional Asunción | Liga | Sportivo Ameliano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.55 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 55% | ▼ 20% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 48% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 27% | ▲ 60% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 61% | • 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 77% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Nacional Asunción 1 - 0 - 3 Sportivo Ameliano. Average goals 2.25, both teams scored in 25% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nacional Asunción vs Sportivo Ameliano?
The Division Profesional match finished Nacional Asunción 1:1 Sportivo Ameliano. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Nacional Asunción and Sportivo Ameliano?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Nacional Asunción won 1, Sportivo Ameliano won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Nacional Asunción vs Sportivo Ameliano?
Nacional Asunción score 2.20 goals per game on average and Sportivo Ameliano 1.40. The Division Profesional average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Nacional Asunción's matches and 20% of Sportivo Ameliano's.
What form are Nacional Asunción and Sportivo Ameliano in?
Over the last 5 games Nacional Asunción have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Sportivo Ameliano 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nacional Asunción vs Sportivo Ameliano?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Nacional Asunción vs Sportivo Ameliano: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.