Nacional Potosí vs Blooming: match statistics

Nacional Potosí are clearly stronger at home, winning 63% of their matches, scoring an average of 2 goals per game, and failing to score in none of them. Blooming win just 13% of their away fixtures, concede an average of 1.75 goals, and keep a clean sheet in only 13% of matches. The hosts also create better chances, as reflected by their average xG of 1.55 compared with Blooming’s 1.31, while their opponents allow an xG as high as 1.82. Nacional register 13.38 shots and 4.88 shots on target per home game, with a 15% conversion rate, whereas the visitors convert just 8% of their attempts. Neither team’s recent form is perfect, but Nacional have won 2 of their last 5 matches, compared with just 1 for Blooming. Therefore, home advantage should swing the result in favour of the hosts.

Nacional Potosí has a very solid home defense, conceding just 0.44 goals per match on average and keeping a clean sheet in 56% of games. Blooming scores only 1.00 goal per away match, and fails to score in 25% of its appearances, further increasing the risk that the visitors will draw a blank. The hosts should create chances against a Blooming defense that concedes an average of 1.75 goals and 1.82 xG, but for the BTTS market, the key factor remains limiting the visitors’ attacking output. Nacional’s season BTTS rate is only 44%, well below the league average of 63%, while the figures across the teams’ last five matches stand at 40% and 60%, respectively. A BTTS - Yes outcome cannot be ruled out, as Blooming has recently averaged 1.4 goals per match, but Nacional’s strong home defense slightly favors the BTTS - No scenario, meaning that at least one team fails to score.

Nacional Potosí score an average of 1.56 goals at home, while Blooming concede as many as 1.75 away from home, clearly supporting a home tally in the region of 1–2 goals. At the same time, Nacional Potosí concede just 0.44 goals per home match and keep a clean sheet in 56% of games, while Blooming average 1.00 goal away from home. The projection of around 2.70 goals is supported by the xG figures: 1.60 for the hosts and 1.31 for the visitors, although Nacional’s highly solid defence limits the opponent’s attacking potential. Across the entire season, Nacional’s matches finished under 3.5 goals in 89% of cases, compared with 62% for Blooming; even with a more open recent run, this remains the strongest signal. Therefore, the best option is Under 3.5 goals, as a scenario involving four or more goals would require a clear breakdown of the hosts’ defensive profile.

Nacional Potosí have a clear home advantage: they score an average of 1.56 goals and concede just 0.44, while Blooming concede as many as 1.75 goals per away match. The hosts led at the break in 6 of their 9 home fixtures, or 67%, averaging 1.0 goal scored and no goals conceded before half-time. Blooming led at half-time in only 25% of their away matches, scoring an average of 0.5 goals and conceding the same number in first halves. After the interval, the visitors still look defensively vulnerable, allowing an average of 1.25 goals, whereas Nacional keep a clean sheet in 56% of their matches overall. The hosts’ superior xG, 1.60 compared with 1.31, and 5.78 shots on target per match versus 4.25 further support the scenario of Nacional leading at half-time and holding on for the win, corresponding to an HT/FT 1/1 outcome.